Seattle Storm

The Storm won 8 of 44 games in 2026, the league’s lowest total, and still covered the spread in exactly half of them. At home they covered 13 of 22.

Losing, and covering

Can an 8-36 team be worth backing? On the spread, at home, the Storm were. In Seattle they went 6-16 and covered 13 times, 59.1%. The Connecticut Sun were the one team with a better home cover rate; the Chicago Sky, Dallas and Golden State tied Seattle’s. Away they went 2-20 and covered 9. Over the season: 22 covers, 22 misses.

June and July

The middle of the season shows it best. June: 2-9 straight up, 7 covers. July: 1-10, 7 covers again, while a unit on them to win lost 8.5. September closed 0-4 with no covers.

The moneyline

Backing Seattle to win every game lost 23.48 units, a -53.4% return and the worst in the league. The road cost 17.45 of it. They were underdogs 38 times, more than any team but Connecticut, and won 6. The two best nights were two days apart at home: 99-88 over the New York Liberty at +280 on 25 June, then 105-90 over the Atlanta Dream at +310 on 27 June.

Favored only six times, they won two and covered two, the lowest cover rate of any WNBA favorite. Two of those defeats came at home against Portland: 77-72 at -185 on 4 July, and 84-82 at -130 on 14 August.

Opponents and the total

The Portland Fire beat them four times in four and covered each one. The Dallas Wings also won all four. Atlanta won two of three but covered none, and backing Seattle in that series still made 1.1 units.

Seattle scored 82.18 points a game, third-fewest in the league, and allowed 88.93. Their games went under 24 times in 44, 54.5%; only Dallas and the Golden State Valkyries went under more often. A Storm home game is a points bet, never a price bet. Take the points.

Questions and answers