The Buffalo Bills are the AFC East favorite at -300 on DraftKings, as ESPN listed the market at 00:32 UTC on November 2, 2026, after Sunday’s games. The New England Patriots are +230, and the New York Jets and Miami Dolphins are both +15000.
Buffalo is 6-1 after beating Baltimore 36-10, and New England is 5-3, a game and a half back, after winning 24-19 in Miami. The Patriots are 3-0 in the division, including a 29-26 win in Buffalo. The Jets are 2-6 and Miami 1-6.
AFC East odds
| Team | Price | Implied chance | Share with the margin removed | October 13 price | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | -300 | 75.0% | 70.3% | -190 | 6-1 |
| New England Patriots | +230 | 30.3% | 28.4% | +160 | 5-3 |
| New York Jets | +15000 | 0.7% | 0.6% | +1900 | 2-6 |
| Miami Dolphins | +15000 | 0.7% | 0.6% | +15000 | 1-6 |
DraftKings’ AFC East winner prices from ESPN at 00:32 UTC on November 2, 2026, with every Week 8 game of the division final. The October 13 column is the board this page carried then. Records are ESPN’s standings at the same time.
Buffalo’s -300 asks for $300 to win $100 and breaks even at 75.0%. New England’s +230 pays $230 on $100 and breaks even at 30.3%. All four together come to 106.6%, so the book’s margin is 6.6 points. Without it Buffalo holds 70.3% of the market and New England 28.4%.
The board has moved toward Buffalo since October 13. The Bills went from -190 to -240 by Sunday morning, when we read the board at 16:21 UTC, and to -300 after the win over Baltimore. New England went from +160 to +190 to +230, even after winning in Miami. The Jets drifted from +1900 to +6400 before Sunday and to +15000 after losing at home to Las Vegas.
AFC East standings
| Team | Record | Division | Points for | Points against | Difference | Games behind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | 6-1 | 0-1 | 233 | 181 | +52 | – |
| New England Patriots | 5-3 | 3-0 | 184 | 162 | +22 | 1.5 |
| New York Jets | 2-6 | 0-2 | 170 | 188 | -18 | 4.5 |
| Miami Dolphins | 1-6 | 1-1 | 117 | 181 | -64 | 5 |
ESPN’s standings at 00:32 UTC on November 2, 2026. Buffalo and Miami have played seven games, New England and the Jets eight.
Buffalo has the best point difference in the division, +52, after Sunday’s 26-point win. New England has allowed the fewest points, 162. Miami has been outscored by 64.
Week 8 results and our calls
| Game | Final | Our call as published | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills | Bills 36, Ravens 10 | “Pick: Under 54.5” | Won: 46 points |
| Las Vegas Raiders at New York Jets | Raiders 38, Jets 33 | “Pick: No bet” | No bet |
| New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins | Patriots 24, Dolphins 19 | “Pick: Over 43” | Push: 43 points |
The calls are quoted from our Ravens at Bills, Raiders at Jets and Patriots at Dolphins predictions, published before kickoff. The Jets were 1.5-point favorites on DraftKings and lost by five.
Patriots at Dolphins was the week’s only division game. New England trailed 13-3 at halftime and scored 21 points in the second half. The whole week is on our NFL Week 8 odds and predictions page.
Week 9 games for the AFC East
| Game | Kickoff |
|---|---|
| New York Jets at Kansas City Chiefs | Sun, November 8, 1:00 pm ET |
| Detroit Lions at Miami Dolphins | Sun, November 8, 1:00 pm ET |
| Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots | Sun, November 8, 4:25 pm ET |
| Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings | Mon, November 9, 8:15 pm ET |
Kickoffs from ESPN’s schedule. Our predictions for the week are listed on the NFL Week 9 odds and predictions page.
AFC East division games left
| Week | Game | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bills at Jets | Sun, November 15, 1:00 pm ET |
| 11 | Dolphins at Bills | Sun, November 22, 1:00 pm ET |
| 12 | Jets at Dolphins | Sun, November 29, 1:00 pm ET |
| 13 | Bills at Patriots | Sun, December 6, 4:25 pm ET |
| 16 | Patriots at Jets | Sun, December 27, 1:00 pm ET |
| 17 | Bills at Dolphins | Sun, January 3, 1:00 pm ET |
| 18 | Jets at Bills | January 10, time not set |
| 18 | Dolphins at Patriots | January 10, time not set |
Eight of the 12 division games are still to come. Buffalo has five left, the Jets and Miami four each, and New England three. The return game between the top two is in New England on December 6.
The four division games played:
| Week | Date | Game | Result | Our page |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | October 4 | Patriots at Bills | Patriots 29, Bills 26 | – |
| 6 | October 18 | Jets at Patriots | Patriots 26, Jets 19 | recap |
| 7 | October 25 | Dolphins at Jets | Dolphins 28, Jets 25 | recap |
| 8 | November 1 | Patriots at Dolphins | Patriots 24, Dolphins 19 | prediction |
What each AFC East price needs
Buffalo, -300. The Bills need 75.0%. They lead by a game and a half, but they are 0-1 in the division and five of their 10 remaining games are division games.
New England, +230. $100 wins $230 and needs 30.3%. The Patriots are 3-0 in the division, hold the win in Buffalo and get the second game at home.
New York, +15000. $100 wins $15,000 and needs 0.7%. The Jets are four and a half games back and 0-2 in the division.
Miami, +15000. The same price and the same 0.7%. The Dolphins are five games back with four division games left.
The preseason AFC East picks, as published
Before the season this page named New England to win the division: “New England is the preferred AFC East bet at +130 or better.” The Patriots are +230 after Week 8. The bet is not settled.
Its win-total picks, quoted as they were written:
- “Best Win Total: New England Patriots over 9.5 wins.”
- “Best Plus-Money Total: Buffalo Bills under 10.5 wins at +100 or better.”
- “Best Under: New York Jets under 5.5 wins.”
- “Secondary Lean: Miami Dolphins under 4.5 wins.”
Its predicted records were New England 11-6, Buffalo 10-7, the Jets 5-12 and Miami 4-13. After Week 8 the four stand at 5-3, 6-1, 2-6 and 1-6. None of these bets is settled. The futures bet guide explains how division and win-total bets work.
The AFC East last season
| Team | Record | Division | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots | 14-3 | 5-1 | 490 | 320 |
| Buffalo Bills | 12-5 | 4-2 | 481 | 365 |
| Miami Dolphins | 7-10 | 3-3 | 347 | 424 |
| New York Jets | 3-14 | 0-6 | 300 | 503 |
New England won the division at 14-3 and was the AFC’s second seed, two games ahead of Buffalo at 12-5. Miami finished 7-10. The Jets were 3-14 and lost all six of their division games, and they have already lost two this season.
More NFL odds pages
Buffalo is +355 to win the AFC and +650 to win the Super Bowl on the same DraftKings board, New England +620 and +1900. Those markets are on our AFC Championship odds and Super Bowl odds pages, and every game page is listed on the NFL picks and predictions hub.