The Kansas City Chiefs are the AFC West favorite at -200 on DraftKings, as ESPN listed the market at 11:27 UTC on Saturday, October 17, 2026. The Denver Broncos are next at +184, then the Las Vegas Raiders at +1400 and the Los Angeles Chargers at +11500. On October 12 the Chiefs were -235 and the Broncos +250.
Kansas City is 4-0 and has already beaten Denver and Las Vegas. Denver opened Week 6 on Thursday by beating Seattle 17-14 in overtime and is 4-2, a game back. Las Vegas is 3-2, a game and a half back, and the Chargers are 0-5. Eight of the division’s 12 games are still to be played.
AFC West odds
| Team | Price | Implied chance | Share with the margin removed | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | -200 | 66.7% | 60.9% | 4-0 |
| Denver Broncos | +184 | 35.2% | 32.2% | 4-2 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +1400 | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3-2 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +11500 | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0-5 |
Prices are DraftKings’ AFC West winner market as ESPN carried it at 11:27 UTC on October 17, 2026. Records are ESPN’s standings at the same read.
Implied chance is the share of the time a bet has to win to break even. For a favorite it is the price divided by the price plus 100, so -200 is 200 divided by 300, or 66.7%. For the others it is 100 divided by the price plus 100, so Denver’s +184 is 35.2%.
The four implied chances add up to 109.4%, so the book’s margin on this market is 9.4 points. The last column divides each chance by that total. With the margin taken out, the prices give Kansas City 60.9%, Denver 32.2%, Las Vegas 6.1% and the Chargers 0.8%.
A division bet is worth making only when you rate a team’s chance above its implied figure. We state no AFC West pick. The sections below hold what each price has to be measured against: the standings, the points and the schedule. How this kind of bet settles is in our futures bet guide.
AFC West standings
| Team | Record | Division | Conference | Points for | Points against | Difference | Games behind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | 4-0 | 2-0 | 4-0 | 118 | 77 | +41 | – |
| Denver Broncos | 4-2 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 114 | 125 | -11 | 1 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 3-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 132 | 129 | +3 | 1.5 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 84 | 129 | -45 | 4.5 |
These are ESPN’s standings read at 11:27 UTC on October 17, 2026. Kansas City had its bye in Week 5 and has played four games, Denver has played six with Thursday’s, and Las Vegas and the Chargers have played five.
The Chiefs have allowed 77 points, the fewest in the division, and their point difference of +41 is the best of the four. Denver is 4-2 while being outscored, 114 points to 125. Las Vegas has scored 132, the most in the division, and has lost its last two games. The Chargers have been outscored by 45.
Each AFC West team’s next game
| Game | Kickoff | Spread | Moneyline | Total | Our page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chargers at Chiefs | Sun, October 18, 4:25 pm ET | Chiefs -7.5 (-112), Chargers +7.5 (-108) | Chiefs -455, Chargers +350 | Over 41.5 (-105), Under 41.5 (-115) | Chargers at Chiefs prediction |
| Bills at Raiders | Sun, October 18, 4:25 pm ET | Raiders +4.5 (-102), Bills -4.5 (-118) | Raiders +190, Bills -230 | Over 53.5 (-115), Under 53.5 (-105) | Bills at Raiders prediction |
| Broncos at Cardinals | Sun, October 25, 4:05 pm ET | no line listed | no line listed | no line listed | Broncos at Cardinals prediction |
Lines are DraftKings as ESPN listed them at 11:27 UTC on October 17, 2026, and they will move before kickoff. Denver’s game at Arizona is in Week 7 and had no line listed yet.
Chargers at Chiefs is the fifth division game of the season. A Kansas City win would put the Chiefs at 3-0 inside the division and the Chargers at 0-3. Our prediction for that game passes on Chiefs -8.5, the line when it was published; DraftKings now has the Chiefs at -7.5. The Chargers have their bye in Week 7.
AFC West division games left
| Week | Game | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Chargers at Chiefs | Sun, October 18, 4:25 pm ET |
| 8 | Chiefs at Broncos | Sun, November 1, 4:25 pm ET |
| 11 | Raiders at Broncos | Sun, November 22, 4:25 pm ET |
| 14 | Chargers at Raiders | Sun, December 13, 4:05 pm ET |
| 15 | Broncos at Raiders | Sun, December 20, 4:25 pm ET |
| 17 | Chiefs at Chargers | January 3, time not set |
| 18 | Raiders at Chiefs | January 10, time not set |
| 18 | Chargers at Broncos | January 10, time not set |
ESPN lists the Week 17 and Week 18 games by date, with no kickoff time yet.
Each team has four division games left. Denver gets three of its four at home, with Kansas City, Las Vegas and the Chargers all visiting, because the Broncos have already played at Kansas City and at the Chargers. The Chargers have one of their four at home. Kansas City and Las Vegas have two each.
Chiefs at Broncos on November 1 is the only game left between the top two, and Raiders at Chiefs closes the schedule in Week 18.
The four division games already played:
| Week | Date | Game | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | September 14 | Broncos at Chiefs | Chiefs 31, Broncos 10 |
| 2 | September 20 | Raiders at Chargers | Raiders 26, Chargers 14 |
| 4 | October 4 | Chiefs at Raiders | Chiefs 30, Raiders 27 |
| 5 | October 11 | Broncos at Chargers | Broncos 23, Chargers 17 |
What each AFC West price asks
Kansas City at -200. A $200 bet wins $100, and it breaks even if the Chiefs take the division 66.7% of the time. They lead by a game and hold a win over each of the two teams closest to them. Their four remaining division games are the Chargers twice, a trip to Denver and the Raiders at home in Week 18.
Denver at +184. A $100 bet wins $184 and needs 35.2%. The Broncos lost 31-10 at Kansas City in Week 1, won 23-17 at the Chargers on October 11 and beat Seattle on Thursday. The return game with the Chiefs is in Denver.
Las Vegas at +1400. A $100 bet wins $1,400 and needs 6.7%. The Raiders are 3-2 overall and 1-1 in the division, the same division record as Denver, half a game behind the Broncos overall. They lost 30-27 at home to Kansas City in Week 4, and both of their games with Denver are still to come, on November 22 and December 20.
Los Angeles at +11500. A $100 bet wins $11,500 and needs 0.9%. The Chargers are four and a half games behind with 12 to play, and both of their division losses came at home.
Last season’s AFC West standings
| Team | Record | Division | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos | 14-3 | 5-1 | 401 | 311 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 11-6 | 5-1 | 368 | 340 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 6-11 | 1-5 | 362 | 328 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 3-14 | 1-5 | 241 | 432 |
Denver won the division at 14-3, and the Chargers were second at 11-6. Kansas City finished third at 6-11 despite outscoring its opponents by 34 points, and Las Vegas was last at 3-14.
The Chiefs and the Raiders each went 1-5 inside the division last season. Kansas City has already won two division games in 2026, and Las Vegas has matched its one.
More NFL odds
Team pages, with each club’s games and our predictions: Kansas City Chiefs, Denver Broncos, Las Vegas Raiders, Los Angeles Chargers.
The division winner goes into the conference bracket, priced on our AFC Championship odds and Super Bowl odds pages. Every game we cover is on the NFL picks and predictions hub. Paid picks for these games come from the PicksToday handicappers.