Week 15 of the 2025-26 NFL season concludes with a crucial AFC matchup as the Pittsburgh Steelers host the Miami Dolphins. Both teams are fighting for their Playoff lives and a loss could end those postseason hopes.

The Dolphins (6-7) enter this MNF clash having won four games in a row and emerging as a sleeper in the AFC. Miami was once left for dead, but turned their season around and might have saved their head coach’s job.

The Steelers (7-6) bounced back in Week 14 by defeating the Baltimore Ravens and recapturing first place in the AFC North. It was a huge win in the standings and the locker room after Pittsburgh was blown out by the Bills in Week 13. It also snapped a two-game losing skid.

While neither team is a real threat to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl, both are hoping to get into the postseason dance and go on a Cinderella run.

Currently, the Steelers are favored by a field goal, according to the latest NFL betting lines. With that said, let’s dive deeper into the MNF odds, courtesy of the top sports betting sites, and make our Week 15 NFL picks for the Miami Dolphins vs. Pittsburgh Steelers.

What Channel Is Monday Night Football On?

• Monday Night Football Channel: ESPN
• Monday Night Football Time: 8:15pm ET
• Monday Night Football Announcers: Joe Buck and Troy Aikman

The Miami Dolphins vs. Pittsburgh Steelers will kick off at 8:15pm ET live from Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA.

Monday Night Football Odds

The following Monday Night Football odds are courtesy of ScoresandStats:

Keep an eye on the latest NFL odds for MNF and monitor how the lines change up until kickoff.

The Pittsburgh Steelers opened as a -2.5-point spread along with being listed as a -130 favorite. They climbed as high as 3.5 points and a -193 moneyline. Currently, the Steelers are favored by 3 points, but the moneyline has fallen to -170 odds.

The Miami Dolphins opened as a +110 Underdog before seeing their line go as high as +160 odds. Currently, Miami’s moneyline sits between +140 and +150. The Total opened at 44.5 points and has slowly fallen to the current Over/Under of 41.5 points. 

The Chargers pulled off an emotional win last week by stopping the Eagles from scoring a last-minute touchdown and securing the victory. That win also left us emotional as we dropped to 10-8 SU with our MNF record due to backing Philly.

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Monday Night Football Betting Trends

The following Monday Night Football betting trends include data from last season:

Miami Dolphins Betting Trends

• 5-1 SU in last six games
• 4-1 SU in last five December games
• 4-2 ATS in last six games
• Over is 4-1 in last five road games

Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Trends

• 4-10 SU in last 14 AFC East games
• 4-1 ATS in last five Monday games
• 2-4 ATS in last six Week 15 games
• Under is 4-2 in last six games

Monday Night Football Matchup

These two NFL Teams have played against each other 29 times and the Pittsburgh Steelers hold a slight advantage with a 15-14 series record.  

The last time that these two teams played against each other, the Miami Dolphins won 16-10 at home. Miami is 3-2 SU in the last five meetings. Yet, the Steelers are 7-3 SU in the last 10 matchups. And, Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in their last six home games against Miami.

The last time these two teams played at Pittsburgh was in 2019, and the Steelers won 27 to 14. The Under is 4-2 in their last six home games against the Dolphins.

Monday Night Football Predictions

Let’s take a look at the participants in this week’s Monday Night Football game, and make our winning NFL picks: 

Miami Dolphins Monday Night Football

The Dolphins turned things around after an abysmal TNF game against the Ravens after Lamar Jackson made his return from a multi-game absence. Over that span, Miami crushed the Bills 30-13 and then escaped wins against the Commanders and Saints, before dropping the Jets last weekend by 24 points.

Through that stretch, and most of the season, running back De’Von Achane has been on a tear. He has put up 92 rushing yards or more each of those games. In fact, he’s gone over 120 yards in three of those four wins. Achane has over 100 total yards in five straight games.

For the season, Achane has 1,126 rushing yards and averages 86.6 ypg. He also has seven rushing TDs to go along with 4 receiving TDs, 383 receiving yards and 55 receptions. Achane ranks as Miami’s no.2 receiver. He’s just two receptions behind Waddle for the most on this team.

The Steelers are 21^st against the run and allow 125.3 rushing ypg. Look for Miami to get Achane going in the passing game as well. Even without T.J. Watt, the Steelers still have an aggressive pass rush and they will get after Tua Tagovailoa. So, I expect quick passes for this offense. If the line can hold up, Tagovailoa could find success against the 27^th ranked pass defense that allows 244 ypg.

Pittsburgh Steelers Monday Night Football

The Steelers have dropped three of their last five games. However, the two wins that they earned were against divisional foes, which has kept Pittsburgh at the top of the AFC North standings by a game.

Last week, Aaron Rodgers threw for 284 yards, 1 TD, and the Pittsburgh offense looked like it found some confidence heading into the final four games of the season. This is huge for a team that has struggled to throw the ball consistently along with a poor rushing attack.

Pittsburgh’s ground game is 29^th in the NFL at just 89.2 ypg. However, Miami has the 8^th worst run defense as they give up 131.9 ypg. So, the Steelers could lean on the run more especially since Miami has a tough pass defense that allows only 202.6 ypg and is 10^th in sack rate (7.38%). The Dolphins have been much better on defense over this four-game winning streak.

Who Is Winning Monday Night Football?

The ground game is going to be important for both teams. Miami is dangerous when they lean on Achane and his running mates. As long as he’s healthy, which all signs indicate that he is, then I expected this Dolphins ground attack to do some damage and establish their offensive identity for MNF.

The Steelers also have a chance to be really productive on the ground. This could be huge for an offense that needs more balance especially since they don’t have the best passing attack. Although, we could also see an improvement in this area with the additions of Thielen and MVS.

Another in-game matchup to keep an eye on is turnovers. The Steelers give up the ball 1.1 times per game and the Dolphins average 1.4 giveaways per game. However, the Steelers are no.2 in the NFL at 1.8 takeaways and the Dolphins are no.10 at 1.3 takeaways per game. So, whichever team wins the turnover battle should have a huge advantage in this matchup.

With that said, I like Pittsburgh to win this game at home. Any success on the ground is going to make this team more dangerous on offense. And, though they may be older, Thielen and MVS give Rodgers security blankets while Metcalf can stretch defenses or win one-on-one battles.

The Steelers are 5-1 SU in their last six home games against the Dolphins. Miami is just 2-4 SU on the road this season.

I don’t see this being a high scoring game due to the offenses. The Under is 5-1 in Miami’s last six games. It’s also 4-1 in Pittsburgh’s last five home games. Furthermore, the Under is 4-1 in the last five head-to-head meetings. Over the last three meetings between these two teams, they’ve averaged a combined 36.33 ppg.

Bet: Pittsburgh Steelers -170, Spread (pass), U 41.5 (-110)

Monday Night Football Prop Bets

Let’s take a look at some of the best Player props and Game prop bets for this Monday Night Football matchup:

De’Von Achane Rushing Yards

• Over 78.5 ypg (-110)
• Under 78.5 ypg (-110)

It should come as no surprise that I think this will be a De’Von Achane game. Let’s start with Achane on the ground first. He’s averaging 86.6 rushing yards per game this season. He’s gone for 79 or more yards in seven games this season, including four in a row which has led to Miami’s winning streak.

The Steelers allow 125.3 rushing yards per game. I expect Achane to flirt with 90 to 100 rushing yards this Monday night.

Bet: Over 78.5 ypg (-110)

De’Von Achane Receiving Yards

• Over 28.5 ypg (-110)
• Under 28.5 ypg (-110)

I also like Achane to go for at least 29 receiving yards on MNF. He’s averaging 29.5 receiving yards per game and is second on the team with 55 receptions on 73 targets. The Steelers allow 244 passing ypg which is the 6^th most in the league.

I think Tua is going to get rid of the ball quickly due to Pittsburgh’s blitzing and pass rush, which should lead to plenty of targets for Achane. Take the Over.

Bet: Over 28.5 yards (-110) 

Aaron Rodgers Passing TDs

• Over 1.5 TDs (-110)
• Under 1.5 TDs (-110)

On the season, Aaron Rodgers has 20 passing touchdowns which is a little more than 1.5 TDs per game. However, he’s only thrown two or more TDs in five of his 12 starts. Rodgers has one or fewer TDs in five straight games. Take the Under.

Bet: Under 1.5 TDs (-110)

Best Bets For Monday Night Football

Check out our best bets for Monday Night Football:

• Pittsburgh Steelers (-170)
• Aaron Rodgers Under 1.5 passing TDs (-110)
• De’Von Achane Over 111.5 total yards (-110)

I like the Steelers to win this game. Miami is 2-4 SU on the road this season, while Pittsburgh has won five of their last six home games against the Dolphins.

Look for Rodgers to rack up passing yards, but I don’t see the second-oldest QB throwing for more than one TD this week. Rodgers has one or fewer TD passes in five straight games and seven of his 12 starts.

I do think this game will be competitive especially with De’Von Achane. I like for the talented running back to tally more than 111.5 total yards on MNF. He averages 86.6 rushing ypg and 29.5 receiving ypg, which is good for 116.1 total ypg. He could approach this mark on the ground alone.

If you put these best Week 15 MNF bets into a parlay, then you will win $479 for every $100 wagered. That’s almost a 5x on your parlay card.

If you put these best Week 14 MNF bets into a parlay, then you will win $545 for every $100 wagered. That’s over a 5x on your parlay card.

If this interests you, then check out our best NFL parlays of the week. We also have weekly College Football parlays, as well.

Monday Night Football Song

Monday Night Football’s theme “Heavy Action” has become a pop-culture staple as generations of fans will instantly recognize the theme song within the first few notes.

Yet, over time, broadcast networks have tried to retool the MNF song to add an extra layer of entertainment, importance, and relevance. For over two-decades, Monday Night Football belonged to Hank Williams Jr. and his hit “All My Rowdy Fans Are Coming Over Tonight.”

In 2023, ESPN debuted a new opening song. They took one of the 80’s biggest hits “In The Air Tonight” by Phil Collins and modernized it with an all-star collaboration from Christ Stapleton, Snoop Dogg and Cindy Blackman Santana. As of now, this rendition is expected to remain the Monday Night Football song for the 2025-26 season.

Monday Night Football Schedule