NHL
SpreadTotalMoneyCBJ+1.5U 5.5+105STL-1.5O 5.5-125
NHL · Saturday 10 October
Blue Jackets at Blues Final Score: Blues Win 5-3
Final: St. Louis Blues 5, Columbus Blue Jackets 3, Saturday 10 October at Enterprise Center.
Our call was no bet. Before the game this page said: “No bet on the Blue Jackets at +105. Our number has this game level, and Columbus needs +123 or longer to be a bet.”
What decided it
St. Louis won the second period by 3. St. Louis had 27 shots to Columbus’s 23, and scored 0 power-play goals to 0.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Blue Jackets | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| St. Louis Blues | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
The last DraftKings moneyline ESPN holds for the game is Columbus Blue Jackets -105, St. Louis Blues -115, with a total of 5.5. St. Louis, the favourite, won. The 8 goals went over the total.
What comes next
Columbus plays next at the Carolina Hurricanes on Thursday 29 October. St. Louis plays next against the Boston Bruins on Thursday 29 October.
The prediction, as published before the game
Everything below is the page as it stood before the game, kept unchanged as the record. It was titled “Blue Jackets at Blues Best Pick, Prediction and Odds”.
No bet on the Blue Jackets at +105. Our number has this game level, and Columbus needs +123 or longer to be a bet.
The St. Louis Blues are -125 and the Columbus Blue Jackets +105 at DraftKings. With the margin removed, that is a 53.2% chance for St. Louis and 46.8% for Columbus. Our number gives each team 50.0%. The gap is 3.2 points toward Columbus, and a side is a bet only at 5 points or more. Pass.
When this page first went up, on 29 September, no line had been posted, and the call was whichever side the market priced at +123 or longer. The market has since made St. Louis the favourite and left Columbus as the plus-price side, at +105, well short of +123. The full number agrees with that page: no bet.
How the number is built
One clause: our home win chance is the average of the home team’s 2025-26 home win rate and the visitor’s 2025-26 road loss rate, where a win in overtime or a shootout counts as a win. Games at a neutral site are left out of both.
The Blues went 20-14-7 at home, meaning 20 wins, 14 regulation losses and 7 losses after regulation. That is a 48.8% home win rate over 41 games. The Blue Jackets went 20-17-4 on the road and lost 21 of 41, a 51.2% road loss rate. The two rates add to exactly 100, so the average lands on 50.0% for each side.
The margin is the few points a book builds into both prices so that they add to more than 100%. At -125 and +105 the two prices add to 104.3%. Removed, it leaves the Blues at 53.2% and the Blue Jackets at 46.8%.
The market leans to the home side and our number does not. Rosters change over a summer, and this page has no measure of what changed. The evidence in hand is 41 home games for the Blues and 41 road games for the Blue Jackets, all from 2025-26. No game from 2026-27 is in these figures, so nothing here can say whether St. Louis has earned the favourite’s price since.
The Blues at home, the Blue Jackets on the road
The two halves are close to identical. At home the Blues scored 2.83 goals a game and allowed 3.07. The Blue Jackets on the road scored 2.88 and allowed 3.10. Both were outscored in these games, St. Louis by 0.24 a game and Columbus by 0.22.
The other halves split the teams more. The Blues went 17-19-5 on the road, three fewer wins than at home. The Blue Jackets won 20 games in each half, going 20-13-8 at home. Neither of those halves is in the method.
Across the full season the Blue Jackets finished 40-30-12 with 92 points, and their goals for and against came out level at 3.09 a game each. The Blues finished 37-33-12 with 86 points and were outscored by 27 goals, 0.33 a game. Neither team played a playoff game.
Close games filled both seasons. In one-goal games St. Louis went 18-9-12 and Columbus 18-13-12. Columbus had 24 games go past regulation, St. Louis 16.
The teams met twice in 2025-26 and Columbus won both: 3-2 at home on 1 November and 5-3 in St. Louis on 31 January. Two games prove nothing, and the method does not use them.
Pick: No bet on the Blue Jackets +105
Pass on the moneyline. The gap is 3.2 points toward Columbus, against a 5-point threshold.
The line opened at Blues -125 and Blue Jackets +105 and had not moved when it was read. Read on 9 October 2026 at 14:57 UTC, DraftKings via ESPN, St. Louis was -125 and Columbus +105.
What changes it
A drift toward St. Louis. Against the Blues at -125, the Blue Jackets become a bet at +120 or longer, where the gap reaches 5.0 points. At +123 or longer they are a bet whatever St. Louis is priced at. The Blues would need +123 or longer as well, which would take the line all the way across.
A price is only one of the unknowns. This page states nothing about either lineup on 10 October. Check the lineups before you bet.
The total and the puck line
The total is 5.5, over -125 and under +105. The Blues’ games went over 5.5 in 39 of 82 and the Blue Jackets’ in 48 of 82. St. Louis’s home games averaged 5.90 goals, Columbus’s road games 5.98.
The two over rates, 47.6% and 58.5%, average 53.0%. The over at -125 is priced at 53.2% with the margin removed. The two numbers are 0.2 points apart. Pass on the total.
The puck line has the Blues -1.5 at +195 and the Blue Jackets +1.5 at -238. St. Louis won by two goals or more in 19 of 82 games. Columbus lost by two or more in 17 of 82. Averaged, St. Louis -1.5 lands 22.0% of the time against 32.5% priced, so the Blue Jackets +1.5 land 78.0% against 67.5% priced. That is a gap of 10.5 points. A gap that wide calls for caution: our figure is built from last season’s goal margins only, and the market prices things it does not see. Our method bets the moneyline only, so on the puck line this is a lean and no more: the Blue Jackets +1.5, at a price of -238. There is no bet on this game.
Blue Jackets at Blues, Saturday 10 October, 7:00 PM ET, Enterprise Center. Prices: DraftKings via ESPN, read 9 October 2026, 14:57 UTC. Results: ESPN, read 9 October 2026. Nothing here states who is available.