Golden Knights at Kraken Best Pick, Prediction and Odds

Bet the Kraken at +123 or longer. Our number has this game at 50-50, and the price gives Seattle 38.4%.

The Vegas Golden Knights are -180 and the Seattle Kraken +150 at DraftKings, which is a 38.4% chance for the Kraken once the margin is removed. Our number gives the Kraken 50.0%. The gap is 11.6 points. A side is a bet when the gap is 5 points or more, so the Kraken are a bet.

When this page first went up on 29 September, no line had been posted, and the call was either side at +123 or longer. The posted price makes Seattle the underdog at +150, so the call is now the Kraken.

How the number is built

One clause: our home win chance is the average of the home team’s 2025-26 home win rate and the visitor’s 2025-26 road loss rate, where a win in overtime or a shootout counts as a win.

The Kraken went 19-17-5 at home, meaning 19 wins, 17 regulation losses and 5 losses after regulation. That is a 46.3% home win rate over 41 games. The Golden Knights went 19-14-8 on the road and lost 22 of 41, a 53.7% road loss rate. The average of 46.3 and 53.7 is 50.0 for each side.

The margin is the few points a book builds into both prices so that they add to more than 100%. At -180 and +150 the two prices add to 104.3%. Removed, it leaves the Golden Knights at 61.6% and the Kraken at 38.4%.

It is a new season. Rosters change over a summer, and this page has no measure of what changed. Last season is the only evidence in hand: 41 home games for the Kraken and 41 road games for the Golden Knights. That is the main risk in this bet. The market prices Vegas as a much better team than one season of these splits shows.

The Kraken at home, the Golden Knights on the road

The Kraken at home scored 2.95 goals a game and allowed 3.05. The Golden Knights on the road scored 2.90 and allowed 3.00. Both sides were outscored by 0.10 a game in these conditions.

The split is where the price and our number part. Seattle was poor on the road, 15-20-6 for a 36.6% win rate, and Vegas won 20 of 41 at home, 48.8%. Neither split applies here. In Seattle, the Kraken won 19 of 41 and the Golden Knights lost 22 of 41 away.

Across the full season the Golden Knights finished 39-26-17 with 95 points and outscored opponents by 15 goals, 0.18 a game. The Kraken finished 34-37-11 with 79 points and were outscored by 37 goals, 0.45 a game. Vegas won three playoff series, over Utah 4-2, Anaheim 4-2 and Colorado 4-0, before losing 4-2 to Carolina. Seattle missed the playoffs. None of that is in the method, which uses home and road results only.

The teams met four times in 2025-26 and Seattle won three. The Kraken won 2-1 in overtime at home on 11 October, 3-2 at Vegas on 31 January and 4-3 in a shootout at home on 9 April. Vegas won 4-1 at home on 15 April. Four games are a small sample, and the method does not use them.

Pick: Kraken at +150

Bet the Kraken on the moneyline at +150. The gap is 11.6 points against a 5-point threshold.

The line opened at Kraken +145 and Golden Knights -175, a gap of 10.9 points, and has moved 5 cents toward Vegas on each side since. Read on 6 October 2026 at 08:14 UTC, DraftKings via ESPN, the Kraken were +150 and the Golden Knights -180.

What changes it

A shorter price on the Kraken. The bet holds at +123 or longer, whatever Vegas is priced at. Below that, pass. The Golden Knights would need +123 or longer as well, which is a long way from -180.

A price is only one of the unknowns. This page states nothing about either lineup on 6 October. Check the lineups before you bet.

The total and the puck line

The total is 6.5, over +110 and under -130. The Kraken’s games went over 6.5 in 29 of 82 and the Golden Knights’ in 38 of 82. The Kraken’s home games averaged 6.00 goals, the Golden Knights’ road games 5.90.

The two over rates, 35.4% and 46.3%, average 40.9%. The under is priced at 54.3% with the margin removed, and our 59.1% is 4.8 points above it. That is short of 5. Pass on the total.

The puck line has the Golden Knights -1.5 at +142 and the Kraken +1.5 at -170. The Golden Knights won by two goals or more in 23 of 82 games. The Kraken lost by two or more in 32 of 82. Averaged, Vegas -1.5 lands 33.5% of the time against 39.6% priced, a gap of 6.1 points. Lean Kraken +1.5 at -170. It stays a lean, because the moneyline is the one call this page bets.

Golden Knights at Kraken, Tuesday 6 October, 9:00 PM ET, Climate Pledge Arena. Prices: DraftKings via ESPN, read 6 October 2026, 08:14 UTC. Results: ESPN, read 6 October 2026. Nothing here states who is available.