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Texas Tech Red Raiders

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The Red Raiders won four of their nine games as underdogs in 2025-26, three of them at +360 or longer, and those wins made 7.15 units. Only 28 Division I teams did better backing their underdog games.

Three long prices

Texas Tech beat Duke 82-81 at a neutral site at +360, won 78-75 at Arizona at +360, and won 82-73 at Iowa State at +400. Each of those three paid more than the 20 priced games as favorites lost between them, 1.36 units.

One unit on the Raiders to win, every game0-2+2+4+6+8+5.79 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 29 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Over all 29 priced games a unit on the Red Raiders made 5.79, a return 37 teams beat. Away from home it made 4.22 on a 5-5 record; at home, 14-2, only 0.36.

When it came

February was the month: 6-2 straight up, 6-2 on the spread and 6.55 units, Arizona and Iowa State included. November was the reverse, 6-2 straight up but 1-6 against the number, with home misses as favorites of 19.5 points or more against Sam Houston, Milwaukee and Wyoming. December added 3.1 units, the Duke win worth more than all of it. March went 0-3: TCU won 73-65 at home at -425, then BYU and Iowa State in the Big 12 tournament.

The Raiders 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-04 v Lindenwood Lions 98-602025-11-07 v Sam Houston Bearkats 98-772025-11-11 at Illinois Fighting Illini 77-812025-11-14 v Milwaukee Panthers 80-632025-11-20 v Wake Forest Demon Deacons 84-832025-11-21 v Purdue Boilermakers 56-862025-11-26 v LSU New Orleans Privateers 82-502025-11-30 v Wyoming Cowboys 76-722025-12-07 v LSU Tigers 82-582025-12-13 v Arkansas Razorbacks 86-932025-12-16 v Northern Colorado Bears 101-902025-12-20 v Duke Blue Devils 82-812025-12-28 v Winthrop Eagles 87-572026-01-03 v Oklahoma State Cowboys 102-802026-01-06 at Houston Cougars 65-692026-01-10 at Colorado Buffaloes 73-712026-01-14 v Utah Utes 88-742026-01-17 v BYU Cougars 84-712026-01-20 at Baylor Bears 92-732026-01-24 v Houston Cougars 90-862026-01-31 at UCF Knights 80-882026-02-02 v Kansas Jayhawks 61-642026-02-08 at West Virginia Mountaineers 70-632026-02-11 v Colorado Buffaloes 78-442026-02-14 at Arizona Wildcats 78-752026-02-17 at Arizona State Sun Devils 67-722026-02-21 v Kansas State Wildcats 100-722026-02-24 v Cincinnati Bearcats 80-682026-02-28 at Iowa State Cyclones 82-732026-03-03 v TCU Horned Frogs 65-732026-03-07 at BYU Cougars 76-822026-03-12 v Iowa State Cyclones 53-75Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
22-10 in 32 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The spread

Fifteen covers and 16 misses, with one game unlined. At home the Red Raiders lost twice in 16 games but covered only 8 of 15. As favorites Texas Tech covered 10 of 22, including a 72-67 loss at Arizona State at -375; as underdogs, 5 of 9.

The Raiders at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (16)won 14 (87.5%)covered 8 of 15 (53.3%)Away (10)won 5 (50.0%)covered 5 of 10 (50.0%)Favorite (22)won 17 (77.3%)covered 10 of 22 (45.5%)Underdog (9)won 4 (44.4%)covered 5 of 9 (55.6%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Opponents and the total

Houston split two meetings and Texas Tech covered both. Iowa State also split, the second a 75-53 loss in the Big 12 tournament. Unders led overs 18 to 14. Texas Tech scored 80.41 a game, and 75 teams in Division I put up more. In the NCAA tournament the Red Raiders beat Akron 91-71 and lost 90-65 to Alabama.

Questions and answers

Are the Red Raiders worth backing as underdogs?

In 2025-26 they won 4 of 9 as underdogs for 7.15 units.

What did a unit on Texas Tech every game return in 2025-26?

5.79 units over 29 priced games; three more had no price.

When did Texas Tech miss spreads in 2025-26?

Mostly in November, 1 cover in 7, and as favorites, 10 covers in 22.

Big 12 Conference