Oregon Football Odds and Predictions: 11-1, Underdog Only Once Skip to content
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Oregon Ducks

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The Ducks lost once in the 2025 regular season, at home to Indiana, and were the underdog in a single game, a 30-24 win at Penn State. Oregon football odds were short all year: three games carried no moneyline and the eight priced as favorites returned 0.28 units.

Short prices

Oregon went 11-1. Five FBS teams had a better record; two matched it. The Ducks were favored in 11 games and covered six. Three of those had no posted moneyline: 69-3 over Oklahoma State, 41-7 over Oregon State and 21-7 over Wisconsin. The other eight returned 0.28 units, at very short prices.

One unit on the Ducks to win, every game0+1+1.88 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 9 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The misses as favorites came mostly against very big lines: 34-14 at Northwestern at -24.5, Oregon State at -34.5 and Wisconsin at -31.5. The other two: an 18-16 win at Iowa laying 4.5, and the 20-30 home loss to Indiana at -280.

The Ducks 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-30 v Montana State Bobcats 59-132025-09-06 v Oklahoma State Cowboys 69-32025-09-13 at Northwestern Wildcats 34-142025-09-20 v Oregon State Beavers 41-72025-09-27 at Penn State Nittany Lions 30-242025-10-11 v Indiana Hoosiers 20-302025-10-18 at Rutgers Scarlet Knights 56-102025-10-25 v Wisconsin Badgers 21-72025-11-08 at Iowa Hawkeyes 18-162025-11-14 v Minnesota Golden Gophers 42-132025-11-22 v USC Trojans 42-272025-11-29 at Washington Huskies 26-14Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
11-1 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The one underdog game

At Penn State Oregon got 4.5 points and +160, and won 30-24. That single game made 1.6 of the 1.88 units the moneyline returned over nine priced games. Only five FBS teams were underdogs fewer times; five others were also underdogs once.

Home and away

Five road games, five wins, three covers, 2.63 units. At home: 6-1, with four covers in seven, and the four priced home games 0.75 units down because of the Indiana loss.

The Ducks at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (7)won 6 (85.7%)covered 4 of 7 (57.1%)Away (5)won 5 (100.0%)covered 3 of 5 (60.0%)Favorite (11)won 10 (90.9%)covered 6 of 11 (54.5%)Underdog (1)won 1 (100.0%)covered 1 of 1 (100.0%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The total

Six over, six under. Oregon scored 38.17 points a game and allowed 14.83, a mark only seven FBS teams beat.

The playoff run: 51-34 over James Madison, 23-0 over Texas Tech, then a 22-56 semifinal loss to Indiana.

Questions and answers

How often did Oregon cover as a favorite in 2025?

6 times in 11.

When was Oregon an underdog in 2025?

Once, at Penn State: a 30-24 win at +160.

Do Oregon games go over?

Six of 12 went over and six under.

Past games

  1. UCLA at Oregon · 10 OctNo bet
  2. Vikings at Oregon · 18 SepThe Portland State vs Oregon recap turned into one of the most decisive betting reversals possible.
  3. Oregon at Oklahoma St · 12 SepThe Oregon vs Oklahoma State recap produced the most violent market reversal of Saturday’s NCAAF board.

Big Ten Conference