No WNBA team covered less often at home in 2026 than the Mercury, 8 times in 22. Backing them to win at home lost 9.57 units, also the league’s worst.
Not at home
The position: oppose the Mercury in Phoenix. They went 7-15 there, covered 36.4%, and the moneyline on those 22 games lost 9.57 units. Away the same bet lost 0.28 across 21 games and an 8-13 record; one neutral-site game sits outside both.
The road is also where they won at a price. Their three longest-priced wins all came away from Phoenix: 99-66 at the Las Vegas Aces at +350 on 9 May, 111-109 at the Indiana Fever at +310 on 24 June, and 89-80 at the Toronto Tempo at +180 three days later.
2026 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
Against the spread
19 covers, 25 misses, 43.2%. Only the New York Liberty covered less often. As favorites, 15 games, they covered 6. As underdogs, 29 games, they went 8-21 and covered 13. Backing their 15 favored games lost 2.81 units; only Seattle and New York lost more on their favorites.
16-28 in 44 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
The moneyline
Backing Phoenix in all 44 games: 8.8 units lost. August was the worst of it, 3-8 and 5.89 units down. June, 5-6 and 1.15 units up, was the best month. Eleven days after the Las Vegas win, Toronto beat them 98-90 in Phoenix with the Mercury at -325. They scored 84.36 points a game and allowed 87.59. Their one overtime game went the same way as most home nights: 111-102 to Los Angeles, with the Mercury at even money. Seattle, the one team they swept, returned 1.32 units over three games.
Running total over 44 priced 2026 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
Opponents
Four teams won all three meetings with them: the Atlanta Dream, the Minnesota Lynx, New York and the Washington Mystics. Washington covered all three. The Seattle Storm went the other way, 0-3 against Phoenix. The two four-game series split differently: 1-3 against Las Vegas, 2-2 with the Los Angeles Sparks.
2026 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
The total
Even at 22 apiece. No lean.
Questions and answers
How did the Mercury do against the spread in Phoenix in 2026?
8 covers in 22 home games, 36.4%, the lowest home rate in the WNBA.
How much did a unit on every Mercury game lose?
A loss of 8.8 units in 44 games; the home games alone lost 9.57.
Which teams swept the Mercury in 2026?
Atlanta, Minnesota, New York and Washington, each 3-0.
