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Golden State Valkyries

WNBA5 predictions

No WNBA team allowed fewer points in 2026 than the Valkyries, 75.11 a game, and 26 of their 44 games stayed under. As favorites they covered 17 times in 30, the best rate in the league.

The under comes first

The call on a Valkyries game starts with the total. Golden State allowed 75.11 points a game and scored 82.16, the second-lowest scoring average in the league. Their games finished under 26 times and over 18; the Dallas Wings were the only team to match that under count.

The Valkyries 2026 regular season, game by game2026-05-08 at Seattle Storm 91-802026-05-10 v Phoenix Mercury 95-792026-05-13 v Chicago Sky 63-692026-05-21 at New York Liberty 87-702026-05-22 at Indiana Fever 82-902026-05-25 v Connecticut Sun 97-702026-05-28 v Indiana Fever 90-882026-05-31 v Las Vegas Aces 81-912026-06-02 v Portland Fire 95-772026-06-04 at Minnesota Lynx 84-872026-06-06 at Las Vegas Aces 79-842026-06-09 v Phoenix Mercury 87-812026-06-12 at Seattle Storm 76-722026-06-15 v Los Angeles Sparks 78-582026-06-17 v Dallas Wings 91-802026-06-19 v Minnesota Lynx 75-812026-06-21 at Las Vegas Aces 73-922026-06-24 v Atlanta Dream 77-662026-06-26 v Atlanta Dream 78-752026-06-28 v New York Liberty 76-672026-07-04 at Atlanta Dream 88-832026-07-06 at Washington Mystics 62-492026-07-08 at Toronto Tempo 83-752026-07-10 at Connecticut Sun 79-642026-07-15 at Indiana Fever 88-752026-07-18 v Washington Mystics 74-692026-07-20 v Washington Mystics 82-902026-07-29 at Phoenix Mercury 89-912026-08-02 v Toronto Tempo 96-792026-08-04 v Toronto Tempo 92-812026-08-07 at Dallas Wings 94-762026-08-09 at Los Angeles Sparks 84-782026-08-12 v Chicago Sky 91-712026-08-17 v Dallas Wings 78-702026-08-19 v Minnesota Lynx 66-772026-08-21 at Chicago Sky 70-732026-08-24 at Minnesota Lynx 80-662026-08-26 at Connecticut Sun 89-642026-08-27 at New York Liberty 79-602026-08-30 at Portland Fire 86-692026-09-18 v Portland Fire 82-662026-09-19 v Seattle Storm 70-572026-09-22 at Portland Fire 82-902026-09-24 at Los Angeles Sparks 76-75Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
32-12 in 44 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Favorites worth backing

Favored 30 times, they won 25 and covered 17, 56.7%: the best cover rate of any WNBA favorite. A unit on them in those games made 4.19 units, also first. Overall they covered 25 of 44, second only to the Washington Mystics. At home they covered 13 of 22, a rate three other teams matched and only Connecticut beat; away they covered 12 of 22.

As underdogs they were just as useful: 7-7 in 14 games and 3.05 units, third in the league. All three of their longest-priced wins were road games: 87-70 at the New York Liberty at +195, 80-66 at the Minnesota Lynx at +170, and 88-83 at the Atlanta Dream at +160.

The Valkyries at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (22)won 17 (77.3%)covered 13 of 22 (59.1%)Away (22)won 15 (68.2%)covered 12 of 22 (54.5%)Favorite (30)won 25 (83.3%)covered 17 of 30 (56.7%)Underdog (14)won 7 (50.0%)covered 8 of 14 (57.1%)50%
2026 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The moneyline

Every game, to win: 7.24 units up, third behind Washington and the Portland Fire. Away games made 4.42 of it on a 15-7 record; home games 2.82 on 17-5. August was the best month, 10-2 and 3.67 units, with 8 covers in 12. Their longest winning run was nine games.

One unit on the Valkyries to win, every game0+2+4+6+8+7.24 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 44 priced 2026 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The shortest price they lost at was -900: 90-82 in overtime at Portland on 22 September. At home, Washington won 90-82 with the Valkyries at -375.

Opponents

The Las Vegas Aces were the one team they could not handle: 0-3, no covers. Against Atlanta, the Connecticut Sun, Dallas and New York it was three wins and three covers each. Minnesota, met four times, won three. Portland, also met four times, lost three, and Golden State covered three of the four.

Questions and answers

How many Valkyries games went under in 2026?

26 of 44, level with Dallas for the most unders in the league.

Were the Valkyries worth backing on the spread as favorites?

Yes in 2026: 17 covers in 30, 56.7%, the best rate of any WNBA favorite.

Which opponent did the Valkyries fail to beat in 2026?

Las Vegas: three meetings, three defeats, no covers.