
Golden State Valkyries
No WNBA team allowed fewer points in 2026 than the Valkyries, 75.11 a game, and 26 of their 44 games stayed under. As favorites they covered 17 times in 30, the best rate in the league.
The under comes first
The call on a Valkyries game starts with the total. Golden State allowed 75.11 points a game and scored 82.16, the second-lowest scoring average in the league. Their games finished under 26 times and over 18; the Dallas Wings were the only team to match that under count.
Favorites worth backing
Favored 30 times, they won 25 and covered 17, 56.7%: the best cover rate of any WNBA favorite. A unit on them in those games made 4.19 units, also first. Overall they covered 25 of 44, second only to the Washington Mystics. At home they covered 13 of 22, a rate three other teams matched and only Connecticut beat; away they covered 12 of 22.
As underdogs they were just as useful: 7-7 in 14 games and 3.05 units, third in the league. All three of their longest-priced wins were road games: 87-70 at the New York Liberty at +195, 80-66 at the Minnesota Lynx at +170, and 88-83 at the Atlanta Dream at +160.
The moneyline
Every game, to win: 7.24 units up, third behind Washington and the Portland Fire. Away games made 4.42 of it on a 15-7 record; home games 2.82 on 17-5. August was the best month, 10-2 and 3.67 units, with 8 covers in 12. Their longest winning run was nine games.
The shortest price they lost at was -900: 90-82 in overtime at Portland on 22 September. At home, Washington won 90-82 with the Valkyries at -375.
Opponents
The Las Vegas Aces were the one team they could not handle: 0-3, no covers. Against Atlanta, the Connecticut Sun, Dallas and New York it was three wins and three covers each. Minnesota, met four times, won three. Portland, also met four times, lost three, and Golden State covered three of the four.
Questions and answers
How many Valkyries games went under in 2026?
26 of 44, level with Dallas for the most unders in the league.
Were the Valkyries worth backing on the spread as favorites?
Yes in 2026: 17 covers in 30, 56.7%, the best rate of any WNBA favorite.
Which opponent did the Valkyries fail to beat in 2026?
Las Vegas: three meetings, three defeats, no covers.
Past games
- My number is Golden State by 4.0 and the market has the Valkyries by 7.5.
- My number is Golden State by 1.4 and the market has the Valkyries by 3.5.
- Golden State is 7-4 at home against winning teams and wins those games by 1.3 points on average, while Dallas loses its equivalent road games by 6.7.
- Los Angeles is 3-9 at home against winning teams.
- Golden State should win, by about eight, and the price asks for 12.5.











