Wild at Panthers Best Pick, Prediction and Odds

Our number makes this a coin flip, and the price makes the Wild a 42.8% underdog. Take the Wild at +124.

The Florida Panthers are -148 against the Minnesota Wild at +124 at DraftKings. With the margin removed, that is a 57.2% chance for the Panthers and 42.8% for the Wild. Our number is 50.0% each. The gap is 7.2 points on the Wild, and the threshold for a bet is 5.

How the number is built

The method is one clause: our home win chance is the average of the home team’s 2025-26 home win rate and the visitor’s 2025-26 road loss rate, with a win in overtime or a shootout counted as a win.

The Panthers went 23-15-3 at home last season: 23 wins, 15 regulation losses and 3 losses after regulation. That is a 56.1% home win rate over 41 games. The Wild went 23-14-4 on the road, so they lost 18 of 41, a 43.9% road loss rate. The average of 56.1 and 43.9 is 50.0 for the Panthers, and 50.0 for the Wild.

The market’s figure is the moneyline with the margin removed. The margin is the few points a book builds into both prices so that they add up to more than 100%. Out of -148 and +124, it leaves the Panthers at 57.2% and the Wild at 42.8%.

It is a new season. The 2026-27 schedule started on 29 September, and no game from it is in these figures. Rosters change over a summer, and nothing on this page measures what changed.

The Panthers at home, the Wild on the road

At home, the Panthers scored 3.24 goals a game and allowed 3.00. The Wild on the road scored 3.46 and allowed 3.05. The visitor scored 0.22 a game more and allowed 0.05 more.

The Panthers were two different teams. They went 23-15-3 at home and 17-23-1 on the road, a 56.1% win rate against 41.5%. On the road they were outscored by 0.85 a game. The method uses only the home half, the better one.

The Wild won 23 in each building. Away from home they went 23-14-4, a 56.1% road win rate, the same as the Panthers’ home rate.

The Wild also went to extra time more than the Panthers: 27 of their 82 games against 12. In one-goal games the Wild went 20-5-12 and the Panthers 21-6-4. The method makes no adjustment for close games. It takes each team’s results as they fell.

Across the full season the Wild finished 46-24-12 with 104 points and outscored opponents by 0.39 goals a game. In the playoffs they beat the Dallas Stars 4-2 and lost 4-1 to the Colorado Avalanche. The Panthers finished 40-38-4 with 84 points, were outscored by 0.31 a game and did not reach the playoffs.

The teams met twice and split. The Panthers won 4-3 in overtime in Minnesota in January. The Wild won 3-2 in Florida in March. Two games prove nothing.

The price

The Panthers opened at -148 and the Wild at +124. Read on 28 September 2026 at 18:26 UTC, DraftKings via ESPN, they had not moved.

Both halves of our number sit below the market’s 57.2% for the Panthers: their own 56.1% home win rate, and the 43.9% of road games the Wild lost.

Pick: Wild moneyline

Minnesota Wild +124. Our number is 50.0%, the market’s is 42.8%, and the 7.2-point gap clears the 5-point threshold.

It rests on 82 games, 41 at home for the Panthers and 41 on the road for the Wild, all from last season.

What changes it

The price. With the book’s margin at today’s size, the Wild at +113 still leave a gap of 5.0 points and the bet stands. At +112 the gap is 4.8, and the call becomes a pass. The full page re-reads the line on the day of the game.

The summer is the other thing. A season of home and road results says how these two teams played in 2025-26, and nothing on this page says who is in either lineup on 10 October. Check the lineups before you bet.

Wild at Panthers, Saturday 10 October, 6:00 PM ET, Amerant Bank Arena. Price: DraftKings via ESPN, read 28 September 2026, 18:26 UTC. Results: ESPN, read 28 September 2026. Nothing here states who is available.