Who is favored to win the Super Bowl? The San Francisco 49ers are, at +540 on DraftKings, as ESPN listed the market on October 20, 2026, after Week 6 ended. The Buffalo Bills and the Kansas City Chiefs are next at +750, the Baltimore Ravens are +1000, and the Los Angeles Rams and the Seattle Seahawks are +1200.
San Francisco is 6-0 after beating Washington 23-17 on Monday night, October 19. The 49ers were +1100 on September 24 and +620 on October 16. The Rams were +700 on October 16 and are +1200 after losing 18-16 to Arizona at home on Sunday.
Super Bowl odds for all 32 teams
| Team | Record | Price | Implied chance | Share of board |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco 49ers | 6-0 | +540 | 15.6% | 12.9% |
| Buffalo Bills | 5-1 | +750 | 11.8% | 9.7% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 5-0 | +750 | 11.8% | 9.7% |
| Baltimore Ravens | 4-2 | +1000 | 9.1% | 7.5% |
| Los Angeles Rams | 2-4 | +1200 | 7.7% | 6.3% |
| Seattle Seahawks | 3-3 | +1200 | 7.7% | 6.3% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 4-2 | +1300 | 7.1% | 5.9% |
| Chicago Bears | 4-2 | +1500 | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| New England Patriots | 4-2 | +1800 | 5.3% | 4.3% |
| Minnesota Vikings | 5-0 | +1800 | 5.3% | 4.3% |
| Denver Broncos | 4-2 | +2000 | 4.8% | 3.9% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3-2 | +2100 | 4.5% | 3.7% |
| Detroit Lions | 3-2 | +2500 | 3.8% | 3.2% |
| Houston Texans | 2-4 | +3000 | 3.2% | 2.7% |
| Green Bay Packers | 4-2 | +3000 | 3.2% | 2.7% |
| Dallas Cowboys | 2-4 | +3500 | 2.8% | 2.3% |
| Carolina Panthers | 3-2 | +4000 | 2.4% | 2.0% |
| Atlanta Falcons | 2-4 | +7000 | 1.4% | 1.2% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 3-3 | +9000 | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 4-2 | +12000 | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Indianapolis Colts | 2-4 | +12000 | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1-5 | +12500 | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Washington Commanders | 1-4-1 | +12500 | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| New York Giants | 3-2-1 | +12500 | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| New Orleans Saints | 2-4 | +15000 | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 2-4 | +20000 | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Cleveland Browns | 4-2 | +20000 | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Arizona Cardinals | 2-4 | +40000 | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 0-6 | +50000 | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| New York Jets | 2-4 | +50000 | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Tennessee Titans | 1-5 | +100000 | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Miami Dolphins | 0-5 | +100000 | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Prices are DraftKings’ Super Bowl winner market as ESPN carried it at 05:51 UTC on October 20, 2026, after the last game of Week 6. Records are ESPN’s standings at the same read. Every team has played five or six games.
Implied chance is 100 divided by the price plus 100, so +540 implies 15.6%. Across the 32 teams those chances add up to 121.4%, and the 21.4 points over 100 are the book’s margin. Share of board divides each chance by that total, which spreads the margin evenly: 15.6% becomes 12.9%.
The 11 teams at +2000 or shorter hold 76.0% of the board. Thirteen teams are +10000 or longer, a price where $100 wins at least $10,000. Split by conference the board is close to level: the 16 AFC teams hold 50.6% and the 16 NFC teams 49.4%.
A Super Bowl future is worth a bet only when you rate a team’s chance above its implied figure, because the payout is set against that number. We state no Super Bowl pick today. The picks this page carried in September are further down, with today’s prices beside them.
What Week 6 did to the board
Week 6 ended with San Francisco’s 23-17 win over Washington on Monday night. Between our previous read, at 06:09 UTC on October 16, and today’s, 24 of the 32 prices changed. These are the results behind the moves near the top of the board, each with the team’s price on October 16 and today:
- Kansas City beat the Chargers 22-6 and went from +950 to +750. The Chiefs are 5-0. The Chargers are 0-6 and went from +20000 to +50000.
- The Rams lost 18-16 to Arizona at SoFi Stadium and went from +700 to +1200. They are 2-4, four games behind San Francisco in the NFC West.
- Baltimore lost 13-10 at Cleveland and went from +800 to +1000. The Ravens are 4-2.
- Chicago won 31-23 at Atlanta and went from +2000 to +1500.
- Buffalo won 33-30 at Las Vegas and went from +800 to +750. New England beat the Jets 26-19 and went from +2000 to +1800.
- Houston beat Jacksonville 34-31 at Wembley Stadium in London. Houston went from +4500 to +3000 and Jacksonville from +1200 to +1300.
- Carolina won 25-14 at Philadelphia and went from +7400 to +4000. The Eagles have lost four straight and went from +6000 to +20000.
- Green Bay beat Dallas 23-13 and went from +4500 to +3000, and Dallas from +2800 to +3500.
Seattle and Denver, who played on Thursday, October 15, are at the same prices as on October 16: Seattle +1200 and Denver +2000. Minnesota, Cincinnati, Detroit and Miami were off in Week 6. ESPN gives no time for each price, so when DraftKings made each move is not known.
Four Week 6 games on this board had a prediction on this site. Two passed: Seahawks at Broncos said “No bet on Denver +3.” and Denver won 17-14 in overtime, and Chargers at Chiefs said “No bet on Kansas City -7.5.” The Jets at Patriots page said “Patriots -7, and the over 42.5.” New England won by seven, so the side pushed, and the 45 points went over. The Bills at Raiders page said “Bills -5.5, and the under 53.5.” Buffalo won by three and the teams scored 63, so both lost.
How the prices moved since September 24
| Team | September 24 | October 20 | Implied chance then | Implied chance now | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco 49ers | +1100 | +540 | 8.3% | 15.6% | +7.3 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | +1200 | +750 | 7.7% | 11.8% | +4.1 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +2500 | +1300 | 3.8% | 7.1% | +3.3 |
| Chicago Bears | +3000 | +1500 | 3.2% | 6.2% | +3.0 |
| Minnesota Vikings | +2800 | +1800 | 3.4% | 5.3% | +1.8 |
| Carolina Panthers | +9000 | +4000 | 1.1% | 2.4% | +1.3 |
| Los Angeles Rams | +650 | +1200 | 13.3% | 7.7% | -5.6 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | +1600 | +20000 | 5.9% | 0.5% | -5.4 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +4500 | +50000 | 2.2% | 0.2% | -2.0 |
| Seattle Seahawks | +1000 | +1200 | 9.1% | 7.7% | -1.4 |
| Dallas Cowboys | +2400 | +3500 | 4.0% | 2.8% | -1.2 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +5000 | +12000 | 2.0% | 0.8% | -1.1 |
The table holds the six largest rises and the six largest falls in implied chance between the same DraftKings market on September 24 and today. The change is in percentage points.
San Francisco made the largest move, from +1100 to +540. The 49ers have won all six games and outscored their opponents by 67 points, the widest margin in the league. Kansas City went from +1200 to +750, and Jacksonville from +2500 to +1300 at 4-2.
The Rams fell furthest. They were the favorite at +650 on September 24 and are +1200 at 2-4. Of the 12 shortest prices, theirs is the only one held by a team with a losing record. Philadelphia went from +1600 to +20000, and the Chargers from +4500 to +50000 by losing all six games.
The 12 shortest prices and their next games
| Team | Price | Record | Next game | Kickoff (ET) | DraftKings line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco 49ers | +540 | 6-0 | 49ers at Falcons | Sunday, October 25, 1:00 PM | 49ers -3.5, total 49.5 |
| Buffalo Bills | +750 | 5-1 | Ravens at Bills (Week 8) | Sunday, November 1, 1:00 PM | not listed yet |
| Kansas City Chiefs | +750 | 5-0 | Chiefs at Seahawks | Sunday, October 25, 8:20 PM | Seahawks -2.5, total 42.5 |
| Baltimore Ravens | +1000 | 4-2 | Bengals at Ravens | Sunday, October 25, 1:00 PM | Ravens -3, total 51.5 |
| Los Angeles Rams | +1200 | 2-4 | Rams at Raiders | Sunday, October 25, 4:25 PM | Rams -4.5, total 47.5 |
| Seattle Seahawks | +1200 | 3-3 | Chiefs at Seahawks | Sunday, October 25, 8:20 PM | Seahawks -2.5, total 42.5 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +1300 | 4-2 | Colts at Jaguars (Week 8) | Sunday, November 1, 1:00 PM | not listed yet |
| Chicago Bears | +1500 | 4-2 | Patriots at Bears | Thursday, October 22, 8:15 PM | Bears -3, total 50.5 |
| New England Patriots | +1800 | 4-2 | Patriots at Bears | Thursday, October 22, 8:15 PM | Bears -3, total 50.5 |
| Minnesota Vikings | +1800 | 5-0 | Colts at Vikings | Sunday, October 25, 1:00 PM | Vikings -6.5, total 41.5 |
| Denver Broncos | +2000 | 4-2 | Broncos at Cardinals | Sunday, October 25, 4:05 PM | Broncos -4.5, total 43.5 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +2100 | 3-2 | Bengals at Ravens | Sunday, October 25, 1:00 PM | Ravens -3, total 51.5 |
Lines are DraftKings’ as ESPN listed them at the same read. Week 7 opens on Thursday, October 22, with New England at Chicago, both 4-2, and Chicago favored by 3. Buffalo, Jacksonville, Washington and the Chargers are off in Week 7, so the Bills and the Jaguars are shown with their Week 8 games, which have no line on ESPN yet.
The favorite plays on the road: San Francisco is a 3.5-point favorite at Atlanta, which is 2-4. Kansas City, 5-0, is a 2.5-point underdog at Seattle on Sunday night. The Rams are 4.5-point favorites at Las Vegas, Baltimore is favored by 3 at home to Cincinnati, Minnesota by 6.5 at home to Indianapolis, and Denver by 4.5 at Arizona.
Our Broncos at Cardinals prediction holds the game’s facts and makes no call yet.
When and where the Super Bowl is played
Super Bowl LXI is on Sunday, February 14, 2027, at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California. ESPN lists the kickoff for 6:30 p.m. ET. The NFL’s calendar of important dates for the season gives the same date and stadium.
SoFi is where the Rams play their home games. The last Super Bowl held there was LVI in February 2022, and the Rams won it 23-20 over Cincinnati.
| Super Bowl | Date | Winner | Score | Runner-up | Stadium |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LX | February 8, 2026 | Seattle Seahawks | 29-13 | New England Patriots | Levi’s Stadium |
| LIX | February 9, 2025 | Philadelphia Eagles | 40-22 | Kansas City Chiefs | Caesars Superdome |
| LVIII | February 11, 2024 | Kansas City Chiefs | 25-22 | San Francisco 49ers | Allegiant Stadium |
| LVII | February 12, 2023 | Kansas City Chiefs | 38-35 | Philadelphia Eagles | State Farm Stadium |
| LVI | February 13, 2022 | Los Angeles Rams | 23-20 | Cincinnati Bengals | SoFi Stadium |
| LV | February 7, 2021 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 31-9 | Kansas City Chiefs | Raymond James Stadium |
Seattle won Super Bowl LX 29-13 over New England in February and is +1200 on today’s board. Kansas City played in four of the last six Super Bowls and won two of them. The Chiefs are 5-0, one of three unbeaten teams with San Francisco and Minnesota.
Earlier Super Bowl picks on this page
Before October 13 this page carried the Super Bowl futures picks below, in an edition dated September 21, 2026, after Week 2. Each is quoted as it appeared, next to the DraftKings price for the same team today.
| Team | The pick, as published on September 21 | Price on October 20 |
|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | “ScoresAndStats Prediction: Buffalo Bills to win Super Bowl LXI. Playable price: +800 or better. At +780: monitor rather than chase.” | +750 |
| Seattle Seahawks | “Best Current Futures Value: Seattle Seahawks at +1000 or better.” | +1200 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | “Best AFC Price Value: Kansas City Chiefs at +1300 or better.” | +750 |
| San Francisco 49ers | “49ers Betting Threshold: Wait for +1400 or better. Do not chase +1200 simply because the first two games were impressive.” | +540 |
| Los Angeles Rams | “Rams Betting Threshold: Hold existing +800 tickets. For a new position, wait for +750 or better rather than forcing +670 before Monday night’s result.” | +1200 |
| Baltimore Ravens | “Price to Avoid Chasing: Pass at +950; reconsider +1100 or better” | +1000 |
Every one of those picks is still open, because the market settles with the game on February 14. Buffalo, the pick to win it, is 5-1 and +750, level with Kansas City behind San Francisco.
Comparing prices, and the other NFL futures
All 32 prices on this page are DraftKings’. Super Bowl futures differ from book to book, so check the number you can bet against this board. OddsTrader’s offshore sportsbook rankings order offshore books by odds, limits and payouts, and our sportsbook reviews cover individual operators.
The same season is priced in smaller pieces. Each division has its own board: the AFC East, AFC North, AFC South and AFC West, and the NFC East, NFC North, NFC South and NFC West. The conference titles are on the AFC Championship odds and NFC Championship odds pages, and the playoff field on who makes the NFL playoffs.
Two awards have boards of their own, the NFL MVP odds and the Super Bowl MVP odds. How a futures price works is covered in what is a futures bet, and the bets on the game itself in our Super Bowl betting guide.
The lines for every Week 7 game are on the NFL Week 7 odds and predictions page, and every game we have called is on the NFL predictions hub.
Super Bowl odds FAQs
Who is favored to win the Super Bowl?
The San Francisco 49ers are the favorite at +540 on DraftKings, as ESPN listed the market on October 20, 2026, after Week 6. The Buffalo Bills and the Kansas City Chiefs are +750, the Baltimore Ravens +1000, and the Los Angeles Rams and the Seattle Seahawks +1200.
What do the Super Bowl odds imply?
A price of +540 implies a 15.6% chance, +750 implies 11.8% and +1000 implies 9.1%. The 32 prices add up to 121.4%, and the 21.4 points over 100 are the book’s margin.
Which teams have moved most on the Super Bowl board?
Since September 24 the San Francisco 49ers have shortened from +1100 to +620 and then +540, and the Kansas City Chiefs from +1200 to +750. The Los Angeles Rams have gone from +650 to +1200 and the Philadelphia Eagles from +1600 to +20000.
When and where is Super Bowl LXI?
Super Bowl LXI is on Sunday, February 14, 2027, at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California. ESPN lists the kickoff for 6:30 p.m. ET.
Who won the last Super Bowl?
The Seattle Seahawks won Super Bowl LX, 29-13 over the New England Patriots, on February 8, 2026. Seattle is +1200 to win the next one.