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Super Bowl Odds have changed sharply now that the 2026 NFL season is producing real results. The Los Angeles Rams remain the Super Bowl LXI favorite at +670 heading into their Monday night game against the Giants, but Buffalo has closed the gap at +780 after starting 2-0. Seattle is +1000, San Francisco has shortened to +1200, and Kansas City is +1300.
The biggest betting change is our championship position. Buffalo is now the ScoresAndStats prediction for new money, although we want +800 or better rather than forcing a +780 ticket. Seattle at +1000 is the strongest current price-adjusted value among the top contenders, Kansas City remains attractive at +1300, and the Rams are a wait rather than an automatic bet after Myles Garrett landed on injured reserve.
- Current favorite: Los Angeles Rams +670
- ScoresAndStats championship prediction: Buffalo Bills at +800 or better
- Best current futures value: Seattle Seahawks at +1000 or better
- Best AFC price value: Kansas City Chiefs at +1300 or better
- Rams strategy: Hold an existing +800 ticket, but wait for +750 or better before adding
Super Bowl Odds 2027: Week 2 Market Update
The preseason board is no longer the right framework for this market. Los Angeles was approximately +500 to +550 in the previous ScoresAndStats update. The Rams are now +670 after losing 27-7 to San Francisco in Week 1 and placing Garrett on injured reserve following knee surgery.
Buffalo has moved the other direction. The Bills are 2-0 after beating Houston 36-31 and Detroit 41-31. Josh Allen has nine total touchdowns without a turnover through two games, and Buffalo has scored 77 points. That combination has helped shorten the Bills from the +1000 area to +780.
Seattle and San Francisco have strengthened the NFC West’s claim as the league’s most important futures division. The defending champion Seahawks improved to 2-0 with a 31-7 win at Arizona even with Drew Lock starting for injured quarterback Sam Darnold. San Francisco is also 2-0 after beating the Rams by 20 and Miami 35-13.
The early results do not mean every two-game trend will last. They do mean the price must change when new information affects the underlying championship case. That is especially important with futures because bettors can be right about a team and still make a poor wager by taking the wrong number.
Current Super Bowl LXI Odds
Odds last checked: September 21, 2026. Prices can change.
The following Super Bowl LXI board reflects the current DraftKings market snapshot available on September 21. Futures can vary substantially between sportsbooks, so bettors should compare the number they can actually bet rather than treating one operator as a universal price. ScoresAndStats also maintains sportsbook reviews for bettors comparing available operators.
| Team | Super Bowl LXI Odds |
|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams | +670 |
| Buffalo Bills | +780 |
| Baltimore Ravens | +950 |
| Seattle Seahawks | +1000 |
| San Francisco 49ers | +1200 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | +1300 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | +1600 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +1700 |
| Detroit Lions | +1800 |
| Denver Broncos | +2000 |
| Houston Texans | +2200 |
| New England Patriots | +2200 |
| Dallas Cowboys | +2500 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +2500 |
| Green Bay Packers | +2500 |
| Chicago Bears | +3000 |
| Minnesota Vikings | +3000 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +4500 |
| New York Giants | +4500 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +5000 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +5500 |
| Indianapolis Colts | +6500 |
| Washington Commanders | +7400 |
| New Orleans Saints | +8000 |
| Carolina Panthers | +9000 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +12500 |
| Atlanta Falcons | +15000 |
| New York Jets | +20000 |
| Cleveland Browns | +25000 |
| Arizona Cardinals | +30000 |
| Tennessee Titans | +30000 |
| Miami Dolphins | +100000 |
What Changed After Week 2
The Rams Are Still Favored, but No Longer Separated
The previous market treated Los Angeles almost like a standalone tier. That is no longer true. A +670 Rams price implies roughly a 13% win probability before accounting for sportsbook hold, while Buffalo at +780 is approximately 11.4%.
The gap has narrowed because the Rams’ case became less clean.
They were beaten 27-7 by San Francisco in the opener, and Garrett will miss at least four games on injured reserve. Los Angeles still has Matthew Stafford, Puka Nacua, Sean McVay and a roster built to contend, but the original argument for paying +500 relied partly on a defensive ceiling that cannot be evaluated the same way without Garrett.
Monday night’s Giants game is therefore a futures catalyst. A convincing Rams win could shorten the number again. A second loss could produce a better buying opportunity. There is no need to force a position before the market receives that information.
Buffalo and Seattle Have Strengthened Their Cases
Buffalo’s 2-0 start has been backed by offensive production rather than two fortunate one-score escapes. The Bills scored 36 against Houston and 41 against Detroit, and Allen has created touchdowns without giving the ball away. That is exactly the type of repeatable quarterback-driven advantage worth paying attention to in September.
Seattle’s start may be even more important for futures bettors. Darnold left the opener with a glute injury and missed Week 2, yet Seattle still reached 2-0. Lock then led a 31-7 road win over Arizona, while the Seahawks reported positive movement in Darnold’s recovery. That reduces the concern that one short-term quarterback absence can derail the season.
San Francisco Has Forced a Major Market Correction
San Francisco was available in the high-teens range in the previous update. The 49ers are now +1200 after beating the Rams 27-7 and Miami 35-13.
The football case has improved, but the betting case is more complicated. A team can become more convincing while its wager becomes less attractive. At +1200, the market has already charged bettors for much of what San Francisco showed over the first two weeks. We prefer waiting for +1400 or better rather than chasing the current move.
Baltimore and Houston Lose Betting Appeal
Baltimore remains one of the shortest teams on the board at +950 despite falling to 1-1 after a 24-17 home loss to New Orleans. The Ravens are still a legitimate contender, but the old +1200 to +1300 value case no longer exists at the current number. A shorter price after an uneven start is not where we want to add.
Houston is the opposite situation. The Texans have drifted to +2200, but a longer price is not automatically value. Houston is 0-2 after a 20-6 home loss to Cincinnati and failed to score a touchdown in Week 2. Until the offense converts yards into points more consistently, the extra payout does not compensate enough for the new evidence.
When and Where Is Super Bowl LXI?
Super Bowl LXI is scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027, at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California. The venue and date are confirmed in SoFi Stadium’s Super Bowl LXI announcement.
This will be the second Super Bowl played at SoFi Stadium. The Rams won Super Bowl LVI there in February 2022, beating Cincinnati 23-20. Seattle enters the current season as defending champion after defeating New England 29-13 in Super Bowl LX.
| Super Bowl LXI Detail | Information |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, February 14, 2027 |
| Venue | SoFi Stadium |
| Location | Inglewood, California |
| Defending Champion | Seattle Seahawks |
| Current Favorite | Los Angeles Rams |
Best Super Bowl Futures Bets After Week 2
Buffalo Bills Super Bowl Prediction
Buffalo is the updated ScoresAndStats prediction to win Super Bowl LXI, but the bet is price-dependent.
The current +780 number implies approximately an 11.4% championship probability before sportsbook hold. That is not cheap, especially with Baltimore, Kansas City, Cincinnati and other dangerous AFC teams between Buffalo and the Super Bowl.
The case for Buffalo is that the Bills have shown a repeatable advantage at the position that matters most. Allen has nine total touchdowns and no turnovers through a 2-0 start, and Buffalo has already scored 77 points against Houston and Detroit. The offense does not need one narrow game script to succeed.
The main risk is price compression. Buffalo was around +1000 in the previous update, so bettors have already lost more than two points of potential payout.
ScoresAndStats Prediction: Buffalo Bills to win Super Bowl LXI. Playable price: +800 or better. At +780: monitor rather than chase.
Seattle Seahawks Super Bowl Value Pick
Seattle is the best current top-tier futures value at +1000.
A +1000 ticket implies about a 9.1% win probability before hold. That remains reasonable for a defending champion that is already 2-0 and just won 31-7 on the road without its starting quarterback.
Seattle said there is a chance he can return to practice during Week 3, while Lock has already shown that the offense can survive a short absence.
Darnold’s injury is the main risk, but the latest team update was encouraging.
The other reason Seattle remains attractive is structural. The Seahawks do not need to be better than every team in September. They need enough championship probability to justify a 10-1 payout. A strong defense, proven postseason path and quarterback depth give them more ways to reach February than many teams priced in the same range.
Best Current Futures Value: Seattle Seahawks at +1000 or better. Main risk: Darnold's recovery and an NFC West that also contains San Francisco and Los Angeles.
Kansas City Chiefs AFC Value Pick
Kansas City at +1300 is more attractive than paying a single-digit price for Baltimore or a sub-8-1 number on Buffalo.
The Chiefs are 2-0 after beating Denver comfortably in Week 1 and surviving an overtime game against Indianapolis in Week 2. That second result was not dominant, but it still showed the type of late-game survival skill that matters for a futures ticket.
At +1300, the market implies roughly a 7.1% championship probability before hold. Bettors do not need Kansas City to be more likely than Buffalo to win the AFC. They need the Chiefs’ realistic title chance to exceed what 13-1 requires.
The risk is the conference path. Buffalo, Baltimore and Cincinnati all sit in the top eight of the current Super Bowl market, and Kansas City may have to beat multiple elite quarterbacks in January.
Best AFC Price Value: Kansas City Chiefs at +1300 or better.
San Francisco 49ers: Better Team, Shorter Bet
San Francisco has arguably produced the strongest two-game résumé among the NFC favorites. The 49ers beat Los Angeles 27-7 and followed it with a 35-13 win over Miami.
The problem is that the market noticed. The previous high-teens price has disappeared, and +1200 now implies about a 7.7% championship probability before hold.
That does not make San Francisco a bad prediction. It makes the current wager less forgiving.
The best move is to monitor the 49ers for a normal early-season setback rather than buy after a two-game surge.
49ers Betting Threshold: Wait for +1400 or better. Do not chase +1200 simply because the first two games were impressive.
Los Angeles Rams: Hold the +800 Ticket, Wait on New Money
The original ScoresAndStats Rams position at +800 remains better than the current market. That ticket should not be abandoned because Los Angeles lost one game.
New bettors face a different decision. Garrett is unavailable for at least four games, the Rams are 0-1 entering Monday night, and the current +670 price still makes them the shortest team on the board.
Those facts create a natural wait spot. If Los Angeles rebounds strongly, a bettor who passes may lose some price. If the Rams struggle again, the market may finally provide enough compensation for the injury uncertainty.
Rams Betting Threshold: Hold existing +800 tickets. For a new position, wait for +750 or better rather than forcing +670 before Monday night's result.
How to Bet Super Bowl Futures Now
Separate the Best Team From the Best Price
The team most likely to win the Super Bowl is not automatically the best futures bet. Los Angeles can remain the market favorite while Seattle or Kansas City offers a better price relative to its realistic championship path.
American odds make the comparison easier. +670 implies roughly 13% before hold, +1000 approximately 9.1%, and +1300 approximately 7.1%. The betting question is whether your realistic estimate is higher or lower than the probability embedded in the price.
Know the Next Market Catalyst
The Rams-Giants Monday night result can move Los Angeles immediately. Darnold’s return-to-practice timeline can affect Seattle. Another Buffalo offensive explosion can make +800 difficult to recover. Futures bettors should know what information is about to hit the market before deciding whether to bet or wait.
Weekly injuries, matchups and prices can be tracked through the ScoresAndStats NFL predictions hub and the current NFL Week 3 odds and predictions.
Do Not Turn Two Games Into a Full-Season Projection
September results matter because they provide information, but the sample is still small. San Francisco deserves an upgrade after two convincing wins. Houston deserves a downgrade after starting 0-2. Neither conclusion requires pretending the season is settled.
This is also why we are not forcing a new longshot merely to fill a category. Jacksonville was attractive around +3000, but +2500 after a Week 2 loss is not a better wager. The Giants have shortened from the +7000 area to +4500 before playing the Rams. A larger payout is useful only when it compensates for the actual probability and risk.
Bettors interested in the individual award tied to the championship can use the dedicated Super Bowl MVP odds and predictions guide rather than mixing that separate market into the team futures analysis here.
Recent Super Bowl Winners
Seattle is attempting to become the NFL’s first repeat champion since Kansas City won Super Bowls LVII and LVIII. Recent results also reinforce why September futures should not be treated as foregone conclusions.
| Super Bowl | Champion | Final Score |
|---|---|---|
| LX | Seattle Seahawks | Seattle 29, New England 13 |
| LIX | Philadelphia Eagles | Philadelphia 40, Kansas City 22 |
| LVIII | Kansas City Chiefs | Kansas City 25, San Francisco 22 |
| LVII | Kansas City Chiefs | Kansas City 38, Philadelphia 35 |
| LVI | Los Angeles Rams | Los Angeles 23, Cincinnati 20 |
| LV | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Tampa Bay 31, Kansas City 9 |
Final Super Bowl Odds and Predictions
Buffalo replaces Los Angeles as the current ScoresAndStats championship prediction for new money, but price discipline matters. The Bills have done enough through two games to justify the upgrade, while the Rams have lost separation from the field because of their opening defeat and Garrett’s injury.
That does not mean bettors should chase Buffalo at any number. +800 or better is the entry point. If the board remains +780 or moves shorter, waiting is preferable to paying for two strong September performances.
Seattle is the current value position at +1000. Kansas City is the AFC price alternative at +1300. San Francisco is a serious contender, but +1200 already prices in much of its 2-0 start. The Rams remain viable, but we prefer the existing +800 ticket or a future re-entry at +750 or better.
| Category | ScoresAndStats View | Price Rule |
|---|---|---|
| Super Bowl LXI Prediction | Buffalo Bills | Bet +800 or better; monitor at +780 |
| Best Current Futures Value | Seattle Seahawks | +1000 or better |
| Best AFC Price Value | Kansas City Chiefs | +1300 or better |
| NFC Contender to Monitor | San Francisco 49ers | Wait for +1400 or better |
| Rams Re-Entry | Los Angeles Rams | Hold +800; wait for +750 to add |
| Price to Avoid Chasing | Baltimore Ravens | Pass at +950; reconsider +1100 or better |
The main Week 2 lesson is not to crown a champion in September. It is to update the probability faster than the narrative. Buffalo has earned an upgrade, Seattle has strengthened its value case, and the Rams deserve a wider margin for error than they did when the market was offering only +500.
Super Bowl Odds FAQs
Who is favored to win Super Bowl LXI?
The Los Angeles Rams remain the Super Bowl LXI favorite at +670 in the September 21 market snapshot. Buffalo is close behind at +780, followed by Baltimore at +950 and Seattle at +1000.
What is the ScoresAndStats prediction for Super Bowl LXI?
Buffalo is the updated ScoresAndStats prediction to win Super Bowl LXI, but the preferred betting threshold is +800 or better. At the current +780 price, monitoring for a better number is preferable to chasing the move.
What is the best current Super Bowl futures value?
Seattle is the preferred current value at +1000 or better. The Seahawks are 2-0, won 31-7 at Arizona with backup quarterback Drew Lock starting, and have received encouraging news about Sam Darnold’s recovery.
Why have the Rams Super Bowl odds moved?
The Rams drifted after losing 27-7 to San Francisco in Week 1 and placing Myles Garrett on injured reserve following knee surgery. They remain the favorite, but the current case carries more injury and early-season uncertainty than the preseason version.
When and where is Super Bowl LXI?
Super Bowl LXI is scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027, at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California. It will be the second Super Bowl played at SoFi Stadium.