Ravens at Cowboys Final Score: Ravens Win 34-31

Final: Baltimore Ravens 34, Dallas Cowboys 31, Sunday 27 September at Maracanã Stadium.

Our call won. Before the game this page said: “Pick the over 52.5.” The over 52.5 won: the teams scored 65.

What decided it

Baltimore won the second quarter by 7. Baltimore turned the ball over 0 times to Dallas’s 1, and gained 378 yards to 415.

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Baltimore Ravens	7	10	7	10	34
Dallas Cowboys	10	3	8	10	31

Scoring by quarter, from ESPN.

The last DraftKings line ESPN holds for the game is BAL -3, with a total of 54.5. Baltimore pushed as the favourite. The 65 points went over the total.

What comes next

Baltimore plays next against the Tennessee Titans on Sunday 4 October: our prediction. Dallas plays next at the Houston Texans on Sunday 4 October: our prediction.

The prediction, as published before the game

Everything below is the page as it stood before the game, kept unchanged as the record. It was titled “Pick the over 52.5 – Ravens at Cowboys prediction, odds and best picks”.

Fifty-two and a half is the highest total on the board this week, and I still want the over.

Watch how Dallas defends. That is the whole game. They scored 27.7 a game last season and allowed 30.1, the worst defensive rate among the teams playing this week.

The tell

Source: NFL 2025 regular season via Nucleus, 17 games each, checked against ESPN.

Look at that bottom row. Dallas allowed 30.1 points a game across seventeen games, more than any other team playing this week. Baltimore scored 24.9 and allowed 23.4, which is an ordinary profile, and it does not have to be extraordinary for this to go over.

If Dallas defends the way they did all last season, Baltimore does not need a special afternoon to reach the high twenties, and Dallas has shown they will answer.

The number is already high and still short

Source: NFL 2025 regular season via Nucleus. The dashed line is the median total across 11 US sportsbooks, read 2026-09-24.

That dashed line is 52.5. Count the Dallas dots to the right of it. A team that concedes 30 a game and scores 27.7 produces a lot of games in the fifties and sixties, and the market has priced most of that in without pricing all of it.

This is a neutral-site game in Rio de Janeiro, with Dallas as the designated home team. I am not going to pretend I know what that does to scoring, because I do not, and it is the one factor here I cannot put a number on.

The spread

Source: US sportsbooks via Nucleus. Each point is the first download in which that line appeared. Prices read 2026-09-24.

Dallas is getting three and a half, half a point more than on Monday, with seven of the 11 books now at 3.5. On last season’s rates Baltimore is about two points better on a neutral field, which is close enough to that number that I do not have an edge on it. No bet on the side.

I would rather say that than manufacture a lean. The total is where the disagreement is, and it has not moved: 52.5 on Monday, 52.5 at ten of the 11 books now. The half point went to the spread and none of it touched the total, so the over is the same bet at the same number.

This season so far

Source: ESPN scoreboard, read 24 September 2026. Each quarter breakdown adds up to its final score.

Both 1-1. Four games between them, and four games will not tell you whether a defence that conceded 30 a game has fixed itself.

Last season, game by game

Source: NFL 2025 regular season via Nucleus, 17 games each, checked against ESPN.

Dallas at 7-9-1 with a -40 differential is the shape of a team in a lot of shootouts. Very few of their games were quiet.

Injury report

From the teams’ reports as carried by Nucleus, read 2026-09-25 19:38 UTC. Statuses change up to kickoff.

Baltimore Ravens: Out: Robert Longerbeam (CB, coach's decision); on injured reserve: Bilhal Kone (CB, lower body), Adam Randall (RB, undisclosed), T.J. Tampa (CB, knee); questionable: Zay Flowers (WR, hamstring), Trey Hendrickson (LB, finger), Chris Moore (WR, ankle), Ronnie Stanley (OT, toe), Malaki Starks (S, hamstring).

Dallas Cowboys: Out: Malik Hooker (S, forearm), P.J. Locke (S, foot), DeMarvion Overshown (LB, hamstring); on injured reserve: Damone Clark (LB, undisclosed), Malik Davis (RB, hip), Princeton Fant (TE, knee – acl + mcl), Kelvin Gilliam (DT, triceps), Marist Liufau (LB, forearm), Devin Moore (CB, undisclosed), D'Andre Rogers (TE, knee), Tyler Smith (G, thumb), Payton Turner (DE, back).

What the moneyline says

Source: moneylines across US sportsbooks via Nucleus, read 2026-09-24.

About 62 percent for Baltimore once the margin is out, from -185 and +150. That has firmed since Monday along with the spread, and it is still no edge.

Pick the over 52.5. A defence conceding 30 a game against an offence scoring 25 is how a high number gets cleared.

Prices on this page are the median of 11 US sportsbooks, read on 24 September 2026.