NHL
SpreadTotalMoneyLA+1.5U 5.5+136VGK-1.5O 5.5-162
NHL · Saturday 10 October
Kings at Golden Knights Final Score: Golden Knights Win 2-1 in Overtime
Final: Vegas Golden Knights 2, Los Angeles Kings 1 in overtime, Saturday 10 October at T-Mobile Arena.
Our call lost. Before the game this page said: “Bet the Kings at +136.” The Kings moneyline lost: Los Angeles lost 2-1 in overtime.
What decided it
Vegas won the overtime by 1. Vegas had 32 shots to Los Angeles’s 27, and scored 2 power-play goals to 1.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Kings | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Vegas Golden Knights | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
The last DraftKings moneyline ESPN holds for the game is Los Angeles Kings +142, Vegas Golden Knights -170, with a total of 6.5. Vegas, the favourite, won. The 3 goals went under the total.
What comes next
Los Angeles plays next against the Ottawa Senators on Thursday 29 October. Vegas plays next against the New Jersey Devils on Friday 30 October.
The prediction, as published before the game
Everything below is the page as it stood before the game, kept unchanged as the record. It was titled “Kings at Golden Knights Best Pick, Prediction and Odds”.
Bet the Kings at +136. Our number makes this a coin flip, and the price does not.
The Vegas Golden Knights are -162 and the Los Angeles Kings +136 at DraftKings, which is a 40.7% chance for Los Angeles once the margin is removed. Our number gives the Kings 50.0%. The gap is 9.3 points. A side is a bet when the gap is 5 points or more, so the Kings are a bet.
When this page first went up on 29 September, no line had been posted, and the call was either side at +123 or longer. The Kings opened at +130 and have drifted to +136. Both are past +123, so the full number agrees with the first page, and the side is the Kings.
How the number is built
One clause: our home win chance is the average of the home team’s 2025-26 home win rate and the visitor’s 2025-26 road loss rate, where a win in overtime or a shootout counts as a win. Games at a neutral site are left out of both.
The Golden Knights went 20-12-9 at home, meaning 20 wins, 12 regulation losses and 9 losses after regulation. That is a 48.8% home win rate over 41 games. The Kings went 20-10-11 on the road and lost 21 of 41, a 51.2% road loss rate. The average is 50.0% for Vegas, which leaves 50.0% for Los Angeles.
The margin is the few points a book builds into both prices so that they add to more than 100%. At -162 and +136 the two prices add to 104.2%. Removed, it leaves the Golden Knights at 59.3% and the Kings at 40.7%.
That is a wide gap, and it should be read for what it is. Our number is built from last season’s home and road rates only, and the market prices things it does not see. It is a new season, rosters change over a summer, and this page has no measure of what changed. No game from 2026-27 is in these figures. The evidence is 41 home games for the Golden Knights and 41 road games for the Kings.
The Golden Knights at home, the Kings on the road
The Golden Knights at home scored 3.56 goals a game and allowed 3.10, ahead by 0.46 a game, and still won fewer than half their home games. Nine of their 21 home losses came after regulation. The Kings on the road scored 2.85 and allowed 2.90.
Overtime runs through both records. Vegas lost 17 games after regulation across the season, and 26 of its 82 went past 60 minutes. The Kings lost 20 after regulation, 11 of them on the road, and 33 of their games went past 60 minutes. In one-goal games Los Angeles went 21-6-20.
The Kings were better away than at home, where they went 15-17-9. Vegas went 19-14-8 on the road, one win fewer than at home.
Across the full season the Golden Knights finished 39-26-17 with 95 points and outscored opponents by 15 goals. In the playoffs they beat the Utah Mammoth 4-2, the Anaheim Ducks 4-2 and the Colorado Avalanche 4-0, then lost 4-2 to the Carolina Hurricanes. The Kings finished 35-27-20 with 90 points, were outscored by 22 goals, and lost their one playoff series 4-0 to the Colorado Avalanche.
The teams met four times in 2025-26 and split them. Los Angeles won 6-5 in a shootout in Vegas on 8 October 2025 and 6-4 at home on 25 February. Vegas won 3-2 in overtime in Los Angeles on 14 January and 4-1 at home on 5 February. Four games prove nothing, and the method does not use them.
Pick: Kings +136
Bet the Kings on the moneyline at +136. The gap is 9.3 points against a 5-point threshold.
The line opened at Golden Knights -155 and Kings +130 and has moved toward Vegas since. Read on 9 October 2026 at 15:17 UTC, DraftKings via ESPN, Vegas was -162 and Los Angeles +136.
What changes it
A large move toward Los Angeles. Against Vegas at -162 the Kings would still be a bet at even money. At Golden Knights -132 and Kings +112 the gap would be 4.7 points and a pass. At +123 or longer the Kings are a bet whatever Vegas is priced at. The Golden Knights would need +123 or longer too, which is not where this line is.
A price is only one of the unknowns. This page states nothing about either lineup on 10 October. Check the lineups before you bet.
The total and the puck line
The total is 5.5, over -130 and under +110. The Golden Knights’ games went over 5.5 in 47 of 82 and the Kings’ in 39 of 82. Vegas’s home games averaged 6.66 goals, Los Angeles’s road games 5.75.
The two over rates, 57.3% and 47.6%, average 52.4%. The over at -130 is priced at 54.3% with the margin removed, so the under is priced at 45.7% against our 47.6%. The gap is 1.8 points. Pass on the total.
The puck line has the Golden Knights -1.5 at +164 and the Kings +1.5 at -198. Vegas won by two goals or more in 23 of 82 games. Los Angeles lost by two or more in 21 of 82. Averaged, Vegas -1.5 lands 26.8% of the time against 36.3% priced, so the Kings +1.5 land 73.2% against 63.7% priced. That is a gap of 9.5 points. Our method bets the moneyline only, so on the puck line a gap this size is a lean: the Kings +1.5, at a price of -198. The bet stays the moneyline at +136.
Kings at Golden Knights, Saturday 10 October, 10:00 PM ET, T-Mobile Arena. Prices: DraftKings via ESPN, read 9 October 2026, 15:17 UTC. Results: ESPN, read 9 October 2026. Nothing here states who is available.