NHL
SpreadTotalMoneyUTAH-1.5U 5.5-125BOS+1.5O 5.5+105
NHL · Thursday 8 October
Mammoth at Bruins Final Score: Bruins Win 6-1
Final: Boston Bruins 6, Utah Mammoth 1, Thursday 8 October at TD Garden.
Our call won. Before the game this page said: “Bet the Bruins at -102.” The Bruins moneyline won: Boston won 6-1.
What decided it
Boston won the first period by 3. Boston had 22 shots to Utah’s 37, and scored 3 power-play goals to 0.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Mammoth | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Boston Bruins | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
The last DraftKings moneyline ESPN holds for the game is Utah Mammoth -142, Boston Bruins +120, with a total of 6.5. Utah, the favourite, lost. The 7 goals went over the total.
What comes next
Utah plays next at the Pittsburgh Penguins on Thursday 29 October. Boston plays next at the St. Louis Blues on Thursday 29 October.
The prediction, as published before the game
Everything below is the page as it stood before the game, kept unchanged as the record. It was titled “Mammoth at Bruins Best Pick, Prediction and Odds”.
Bet the Bruins at -102. The bet holds down to -121, and stops there.
The Boston Bruins are -102 and the Utah Mammoth -118 at DraftKings, which is a 48.3% chance for the Bruins once the margin is removed. Our number gives the Bruins 59.8%. The gap is 11.5 points. A side is a bet when the gap is 5 points or more, so the Bruins are a bet.
When this page first went up on 29 September, no line had been posted, and the call was the Bruins at -121 or better or the Mammoth at +184 or better. The posted price puts Boston inside its half of that call, so the call is now the Bruins.
How the number is built
One clause: our home win chance is the average of the home team’s 2025-26 home win rate and the visitor’s 2025-26 road loss rate, where a win in overtime or a shootout counts as a win.
The Bruins went 29-11-1 at home, meaning 29 wins, 11 regulation losses and 1 loss after regulation. That is a 70.7% home win rate over 41 games. The Mammoth went 21-17-3 on the road and lost 20 of 41, a 48.8% road loss rate. The average is 59.8% for the Bruins, which leaves 40.2% for the Mammoth.
The margin is the few points a book builds into both prices so that they add to more than 100%. At -102 and -118 the two prices add to 104.6%. Removed, it leaves the Bruins at 48.3% and the Mammoth at 51.7%.
It is a new season. Rosters change over a summer, and this page has no measure of what changed. Last season is the only evidence in hand: 41 home games for the Bruins and 41 road games for the Mammoth. No game from 2026-27 is in these figures. The market has Utah as a slight favourite in Boston, and nothing here can say whether the summer earned that.
The Bruins at home, the Mammoth on the road
The Bruins at home scored 3.54 goals a game and allowed 2.56. The Mammoth on the road scored 3.20 and allowed 2.83. Both sides outscored their opponents in these games, the Bruins by 0.98 a game and the Mammoth by 0.37.
Boston’s home record carries the number. The Bruins won 29 of 41 in Boston and only 16 of 40 away from it, leaving out the Stadium Series game in Tampa, which was played at a neutral site. Utah was close to even on the road, 21 wins in 41.
Across the full season the Bruins finished 45-27-10 with 100 points and outscored opponents by 22 goals, 0.27 a game. They lost their one playoff series 4-2 to the Buffalo Sabres. The Mammoth finished 43-33-6 with 92 points and outscored opponents by 28 goals, 0.34 a game, more than Boston. They lost their one playoff series 4-2 to the Vegas Golden Knights.
The teams met twice in 2025-26 and won one each, both at home. Utah won 3-2 on 19 October, and Boston won 4-1 on 16 December. Two games prove nothing, and the method does not use them.
Pick: Bruins at -102
Bet the Bruins on the moneyline at -102. The gap is 11.5 points against a 5-point threshold.
The line opened at Bruins -115 and Mammoth -105, which put Boston at 51.1% and the gap at 8.7 points. Since then the Bruins have drifted to -102 and the Mammoth shortened to -118, so the gap has widened. Read on 7 October 2026 at 23:11 UTC, DraftKings via ESPN, the Bruins were -102 and the Mammoth -118.
What changes it
A shorter price on the Bruins. The bet holds at -121 or longer, whatever Utah is priced at. Shorter than that, pass. The Mammoth would need +185 or longer, a long way from -118.
A price is only one of the unknowns. This page states nothing about either lineup on 8 October. Check the lineups before you bet.
The total and the puck line
The total is 5.5, over -135 and under +114. The Bruins’ games went over 5.5 in 47 of 82 and the Mammoth’s in 44 of 82. The Bruins’ home games averaged 6.10 goals, the Mammoth’s road games 6.03.
The two over rates, 57.3% and 53.7%, average 55.5%. The over at -135 is priced at 55.1% with the margin removed, less than half a point below our rate. That is short of 5. Pass on the total.
The puck line has the Mammoth -1.5 at +200 and the Bruins +1.5 at -245. The Mammoth won by two goals or more in 27 of 82 games. The Bruins lost by two or more in 19 of 82. Averaged, Utah -1.5 lands 28.0% of the time against 31.9% priced, a gap of 3.9 points. Pass on the puck line.
Mammoth at Bruins, Thursday 8 October, 7:00 PM ET, TD Garden. Prices: DraftKings via ESPN, read 7 October 2026, 23:11 UTC. Results: ESPN, read 7 October 2026. Nothing here states who is available.