NHL
SpreadTotalMoneyUTAH+1.5U 5.5+114NJ-1.5O 5.5-135
NHL · Tuesday 6 October
Mammoth at Devils Final Score: Mammoth Win 5-3
Final: Utah Mammoth 5, New Jersey Devils 3, Tuesday 6 October at Prudential Center.
Our call won. Before the game this page said: “Our number makes this a coin flip, and the price makes the Mammoth a 44.9% underdog. Take the Mammoth at +114; it stays a bet at +113, and at +112 it becomes a pass.” The Mammoth moneyline won: Utah won 5-3.
What decided it
Utah won the second period by 2. Utah had 31 shots to New Jersey’s 33, and scored 2 power-play goals to 1.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Mammoth | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| New Jersey Devils | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
The last DraftKings moneyline ESPN holds for the game is Utah Mammoth +105, New Jersey Devils -125, with a total of 6.5. New Jersey, the favourite, lost. The 8 goals went over the total.
What comes next
Utah plays next at the Pittsburgh Penguins on Thursday 29 October. New Jersey plays next at the Colorado Avalanche on Wednesday 28 October: our prediction.
The prediction, as published before the game
Everything below is the page as it stood before the game, kept unchanged as the record. It was titled “Mammoth at Devils Best Pick, Prediction and Odds”.
Our number makes this a coin flip, and the price makes the Mammoth a 44.9% underdog. Take the Mammoth at +114; it stays a bet at +113, and at +112 it becomes a pass.
When this page first went up on 29 September, no line had been posted, and the call was either side at +123 or better. The line is now up, and against the Devils at -135 the Mammoth clear the threshold at the shorter price of +114.
The New Jersey Devils are -135 and the Utah Mammoth +114 at DraftKings. With the margin removed, that is a 55.1% chance for the Devils and 44.9% for the Mammoth. Our number is 50.0% each. The gap is 5.1 points on the Mammoth, and a side is a bet when the gap is 5 points or more.
How the number is built
One clause: our home win chance is the average of the home team’s 2025-26 home win rate and the visitor’s 2025-26 road loss rate, where a win in overtime or a shootout counts as a win.
The Devils went 21-17-3 at home, meaning 21 wins, 17 regulation losses and 3 losses after regulation. That is a 51.2% home win rate over 41 games. The Mammoth went 21-17-3 on the road and lost 20 of 41, a 48.8% road loss rate. The average of 51.2 and 48.8 is 50.0 for the Devils, and 50.0 for the Mammoth.
The margin is the few points a book builds into both prices so that they add to more than 100%. Here they add to 104.2%. Removed from -135 and +114, it leaves the Devils at 55.1% and the Mammoth at 44.9%.
It is a new season. Rosters change over a summer, and this page has no measure of what changed. Last season is the only evidence in hand: 41 home games for the Devils and 41 road games for the Mammoth. No game from 2026-27 is in these figures.
The Devils at home, the Mammoth on the road
The records match. The goals do not. The Devils at home scored 2.95 goals a game and allowed 3.02. The Mammoth on the road scored 3.20 and allowed 2.83, so they outscored opponents away from home while the Devils were outscored in their own building.
The method counts wins, not goals, so that difference does not move our number. It leans to Utah, the side this page bets, and it is noted here as evidence the method leaves out.
Across the full season the Mammoth finished 43-33-6 with 92 points and outscored opponents by 28 goals. They lost their one playoff series 4-2 to the Vegas Golden Knights. The Devils finished 42-37-3 with 87 points, outscored by 24 goals, and did not reach the playoffs. Each team went past 60 minutes in 16 of its 82 games. In one-goal games the Devils went 20-8-3 and the Mammoth 16-11-6.
The teams met twice in 2025-26, and New Jersey won both: 2-1 in Utah on 19 December and 4-1 at home on 3 January. Two games are a small sample, and the method does not use them.
Pick: Mammoth moneyline
Utah Mammoth +114. Our number is 50.0%, the market’s is 44.9%, and the 5.1-point gap clears the 5-point threshold by a tenth of a point.
Both prices opened at -135 and +114. Read on 6 October 2026 at 08:14 UTC, DraftKings via ESPN, they had not moved.
What changes it
The price, and the margin here is thin. With the Devils at -135, the Mammoth at +113 leave a gap of 5.0 points and the bet stands. At +112 the gap is 4.9, and the call becomes a pass. At +123 or longer the Mammoth are a bet whatever the Devils are priced at. The Devils become a bet at +123 or longer.
A price is only one of the unknowns. This page states nothing about either lineup on 6 October. Check the lineups before you bet.
The total and the puck line
The total is 5.5, over -135 and under +114. The Devils’ games went over 5.5 in 40 of 82 and the Mammoth’s in 44 of 82. The Devils’ home games averaged 5.97 goals, the Mammoth’s road games 6.03.
The two over rates, 48.8% and 53.7%, average 51.2%. The over at -135 is priced at 55.1% with the margin removed, 3.9 points above that. The under is 48.8% by our count against 44.9% priced, also 3.9 points. Pass on the total.
The puck line has the Devils -1.5 at +195 and the Mammoth +1.5 at -238. The Devils won by two goals or more in 22 of 82 games, and the Mammoth lost by two or more in 22 of 82. Averaged, Devils -1.5 lands 26.8% of the time against 32.5% priced, a gap of 5.7 points. Lean Mammoth +1.5 at -238, a price that returns little. It stays a lean, because the moneyline is the one call this page bets.
Mammoth at Devils, Tuesday 6 October, 7:00 PM ET, Prudential Center. Prices: DraftKings via ESPN, read 6 October 2026, 08:14 UTC. Results: ESPN, read 6 October 2026. Nothing here states who is available.