Pittsburgh Panthers

Nine of the Panthers’ 12 games in 2025 finished over the posted total, a share no FBS team topped, and Pitt covered six of seven as the favorite. Our Pittsburgh football predictions weigh both numbers first.

Over the total

Pittsburgh’s games went over in 9 of 12 regular-season games. No FBS team went over more often; five shared the rate. The Panthers scored 35.08 points a game and gave up 24.92. The three unders: 30-13 at Syracuse, 15-37 to Notre Dame and 7-38 to Miami.

Laying the points

Pitt was favored seven times, won six and covered six. Only nine FBS teams beat that cover rate when favored; two matched it. The one miss was the 24-31 loss at West Virginia at -290. Duquesne, beaten 61-9, had no moneyline posted; the other six favorite games returned 0.43 units at short prices.

October

Four games, four wins, four covers, 4.19 units: 48-7 over Boston College, 34-31 at Florida State at +300, 30-13 at Syracuse and 53-34 over NC State. November went 2-2 both ways.

Home and away

On the road Pitt went 4-1 and covered four; one unit on each of the five away games returned 3.63. The six priced home games lost 2.05, with home losses to Louisville 27-34 at +125, Notre Dame at +380 and Miami at +205.

As underdogs the Panthers won two of five: Florida State, and 42-28 at Georgia Tech at +115.

The season ended in the Military Bowl, a 17-23 loss to East Carolina.

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