The Liberty covered the spread 16 times in 44 games in 2026, the lowest rate of any WNBA team. Away from New York they covered 5 of 22.
Fade the spread
The position is simple: the Liberty won games and lost spread bettors. A 26-18 record came with 16 covers and 28 misses, 36.4%, last of 15 teams.
26-18 in 44 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
The road is where it broke. New York covered 5 of 22 away, 22.7%, the worst road rate in the league. At home they covered 11 of 22.
August shows it plainly: 8-3 straight up, 4 covers in 11. July was worse, 4-5 with one cover in nine, and 2.59 units lost backing them to win that month.
2026 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
Short prices, few covers
They were favored 34 times and covered 12. Only the Seattle Storm, favored in six games, had a lower cover rate as a favorite. On the moneyline those 34 games lost 4.51 units, more than any other team lost backing its own favorites.
Running total over 44 priced 2026 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
The worst nights by price: 98-96 at the Portland Fire at -850 on 12 May, 81-74 to Portland at home at -470 on 25 May, and 86-83 to the Washington Mystics at home at -800 on 19 June.
The best nights came as road underdogs: 93-81 at the Minnesota Lynx at +180 on 18 September, 104-90 at the Atlanta Dream at +130, and 87-76 at the Las Vegas Aces at +114.
Opponents
The Golden State Valkyries swept the Liberty in three games and covered every one; that series cost a New York backer 3 units. The Dallas Wings and the Los Angeles Sparks covered all three meetings too, though New York won two of three against Los Angeles. The Chicago Sky, met four times, lost three and covered three. The Phoenix Mercury were the reverse: three Liberty wins and 1.7 units.
2026 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
Two Liberty games went to overtime, both road wins that missed the spread: 98-93 at Washington and 99-98 at Dallas.
The total
24 overs, 20 unders. Four games apart: no lean.
Questions and answers
Where did the Liberty rank against the spread in 2026?
Last of 15: 16 covers in 44 games.
How many road games did the Liberty cover?
5 of 22, 22.7%, the lowest away rate in the WNBA.
What did backing the Liberty as favorites return?
A loss of 4.51 units over 34 games, the worst return on favorites in the league.
