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Detroit Red Wings

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NHLFri 9 Oct
Seattle Kraken
at
Detroit Red Wings
SpreadTotalMoneySEA+1.5U 5.5+120DET-1.5O 5.5-142
Our call

No bet on the Red Wings at -142. Detroit turns into a bet at -109 or better, Seattle at +166 or longer.

Kraken at Red Wings · 9 OctNo bet
Tyler WilliamsRead the predictionKraken at Red Wings prediction

The Red Wings covered the puck line in 25 of 41 road games in 2025-26 and in only 16 of 41 at home. Seven NHL teams had a better road cover rate; at home, 23 had a better one.

Two halves, opposite results

Detroit finished 41-41 and covered exactly half of its 82 puck lines. Split by venue, the halves point opposite ways: 25-16 covering away from home, 16-25 at home, where two teams matched that rate and 23 beat it.

The Red Wings 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-10-09 v Montreal Canadiens 1-52025-10-11 v Toronto Maple Leafs 6-32025-10-13 at Toronto Maple Leafs 3-22025-10-15 v Florida Panthers 4-12025-10-17 v Tampa Bay Lightning 2-12025-10-19 v Edmonton Oilers 4-22025-10-22 at Buffalo Sabres 2-42025-10-23 at New York Islanders 2-72025-10-25 v St. Louis Blues 6-42025-10-28 at St. Louis Blues 5-22025-10-30 at Los Angeles Kings 4-32025-10-31 at Anaheim Ducks 2-52025-11-02 at San Jose Sharks 3-22025-11-04 at Vegas Golden Knights 0-12025-11-07 v New York Rangers 1-42025-11-09 v Chicago Blackhawks 1-52025-11-13 v Anaheim Ducks 6-32025-11-15 v Buffalo Sabres 4-52025-11-16 at New York Rangers 2-12025-11-18 v Seattle Kraken 4-22025-11-20 v New York Islanders 0-52025-11-22 v Columbus Blue Jackets 4-32025-11-24 at New Jersey Devils 3-42025-11-26 v Nashville Predators 3-62025-11-28 v Tampa Bay Lightning 3-62025-11-29 at Boston Bruins 2-32025-12-02 v Boston Bruins 5-42025-12-04 at Columbus Blue Jackets 5-62025-12-06 at Seattle Kraken 4-32025-12-08 at Vancouver Canucks 4-02025-12-10 at Calgary Flames 4-32025-12-11 at Edmonton Oilers 1-42025-12-13 at Chicago Blackhawks 4-02025-12-16 v New York Islanders 3-22025-12-17 v Utah Mammoth 1-42025-12-20 at Washington Capitals 5-22025-12-21 v Washington Capitals 3-22025-12-23 v Dallas Stars 4-32025-12-27 at Carolina Hurricanes 2-52025-12-28 v Toronto Maple Leafs 3-22025-12-31 v Winnipeg Jets 2-12026-01-01 at Pittsburgh Penguins 3-42026-01-03 v Pittsburgh Penguins 1-42026-01-05 at Ottawa Senators 5-32026-01-08 v Vancouver Canucks 5-12026-01-10 at Montreal Canadiens 4-02026-01-12 v Carolina Hurricanes 4-32026-01-13 at Boston Bruins 0-32026-01-16 v San Jose Sharks 4-22026-01-18 v Ottawa Senators 4-32026-01-21 at Toronto Maple Leafs 2-12026-01-22 at Minnesota Wild 3-42026-01-24 at Winnipeg Jets 5-12026-01-27 v Los Angeles Kings 1-32026-01-29 v Washington Capitals 3-42026-01-31 v Colorado Avalanche 0-52026-02-02 at Colorado Avalanche 2-02026-02-04 at Utah Mammoth 1-42026-02-26 at Ottawa Senators 2-12026-02-28 at Carolina Hurricanes 2-52026-03-02 at Nashville Predators 4-22026-03-04 v Vegas Golden Knights 3-42026-03-06 v Florida Panthers 1-32026-03-08 at New Jersey Devils 3-02026-03-10 at Florida Panthers 3-42026-03-12 at Tampa Bay Lightning 1-42026-03-14 at Dallas Stars 2-32026-03-16 v Calgary Flames 5-22026-03-19 v Montreal Canadiens 3-12026-03-21 v Boston Bruins 2-42026-03-24 v Ottawa Senators 2-32026-03-27 at Buffalo Sabres 5-22026-03-28 v Philadelphia Flyers 3-52026-03-31 at Pittsburgh Penguins 1-52026-04-02 at Philadelphia Flyers 4-22026-04-04 at New York Rangers 1-42026-04-05 v Minnesota Wild 4-52026-04-07 v Columbus Blue Jackets 3-42026-04-09 v Philadelphia Flyers 6-32026-04-11 v New Jersey Devils 3-52026-04-13 at Tampa Bay Lightning 3-42026-04-15 at Florida Panthers 1-8Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margin0
41-41 in 82 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Underdog value, favorite cost

The market made the Red Wings favorites 40 times and underdogs 42, and they went 20-20 and 21-21. Backing them as underdogs made 3.60 units; as favorites it lost 5.32, and they covered the puck line in only 11 of those 40. As underdogs they covered 30 of 42. Nine of their 20 wins as favorites came by a single goal.

The Red Wings at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (41)won 21 (51.2%)Away (41)won 20 (48.8%)Favorite (40)won 20 (50.0%)Underdog (42)won 21 (50.0%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

A season of swings

One unit on every game finished 1.71 units down, but no stretch of it was flat. October: 8-4, 5.11 up. November: 5-9, 5.18 down. December: 11-4, 5.28 up. Then March went 5-9 for 4.54 down and April 2-6 for 4.26 down.

One unit on the Red Wings to win, every game0+2+4+6+8-1.71 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 82 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Toronto yes, Boston no

Detroit beat Toronto in all four meetings, three of them as the underdog, for 4.25 units. Boston went the other way: 3-1 over Detroit, and the Red Wings missed the puck line in all four. Pittsburgh won all three, while Ottawa lost three of four to Detroit.

The Red Wings against the teams they played mostBoston Bruins1-3Florida Panthers1-3Ottawa Senators3-1Tampa Bay Lightning1-3Toronto Maple Leafs4-0Buffalo Sabres1-2Carolina Hurricanes1-2Columbus Blue Jackets1-2
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Prices that went wrong

Detroit won its three longest prices away from home: 2-0 at Colorado at +160 on 2 February, 5-2 at Washington and 5-3 at Ottawa, both at +136. The worst defeats by price went the other way: 1-5 at home to Chicago at -185, and 1-8 at Florida at -175 on 15 April.

One goal, overtime, the total

Detroit’s longest winning run was five games. Detroit went 18-15 in one-goal games; 21 went past regulation, 15 to overtime and 6 to a shootout. On the total, nothing to lean on: 42 overs, 40 unders, with Detroit scoring 2.94 goals a game and allowing 3.15.

Questions and answers

Are the Red Wings a better puck line bet home or away?

Away: 25 covers in 41 road games in 2025-26, against 16 in 41 at home.

Did backing Detroit as the favorite pay?

No: 20-20 as favorites for 5.32 units lost, and 11 puck line covers in 40 games.

How did the Red Wings do against Toronto?

4-0 in 2025-26, three of the wins as underdogs, for 4.25 units on the moneyline.

Past games

  1. Senators at Red Wings · 6 OctNo bet
  2. Jets at Red Wings · 4 OctThe Jets lost 25 of 41 on the road last season.
  3. Rangers at Red Wings · 2 OctThe Rangers won 20 of 41 on the road last season.

NHL teams