NFL Defensive Player of the Year Odds: Anderson Leads at +125 Skip to content
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NFL Defensive Player of the Year Odds: Anderson Leads at +125

NFL Defensive Player of the Year Odds and Predictions 2026

Will Anderson Jr. of the Houston Texans is the favorite for NFL Defensive Player of the Year at +125, a 44.4% implied chance, and he leads the league with 7.5 sacks. T.J. Watt of Pittsburgh and Dallas Turner of Minnesota are next at +850 each, and Buffalo’s Greg Rousseau, second in sacks with 6.0, is +1000.

Defensive Player of the Year odds

The board below is DraftKings’ 2026 award market as ESPN carried it at 11:18 UTC on Saturday, October 17, 2026, during Week 6: Seattle and Denver played on Thursday, and the other games are on Sunday and Monday. When this page was last updated, from the board of September 24, Anderson led at +450, with Watt and Aidan Hutchinson at +550. The implied chance is what each price says a player’s chance is, before the sportsbook’s margin is taken out.

PlayerTeamPositionOddsImplied chance
Will Anderson Jr.Houston TexansDE+12544.4%
T.J. WattPittsburgh SteelersLB+85010.5%
Dallas TurnerMinnesota VikingsLB+85010.5%
Fred WarnerSan Francisco 49ersLB+10009.1%
Greg RousseauBuffalo BillsLB+10009.1%
Aidan HutchinsonDetroit LionsDE+12007.7%
Maxx CrosbyLas Vegas RaidersDE+20004.8%
Nik BonittoDenver BroncosLB+28003.4%
Abdul CarterNew York GiantsLB+30003.2%
Danielle HunterHouston TexansDE+40002.4%
Josh Hines-AllenJacksonville JaguarsDE+40002.4%
Jalen CarterPhiladelphia EaglesDT+40002.4%

These 12 names alone add up to 110.1%, and the full market lists 93 players, so the book’s margin is large. A futures bet is worth making only when you rate a player’s chance higher than the price does.

Who is producing so far

PlayerSacksOdds
Will Anderson Jr.7.5+125
Greg Rousseau6.0+1000
Dallas Turner5.5+850
DJ Wonnum5.0not on the board
David Bailey5.0not on the board
T.J. Watt4.5+850
Zach Allen4.5+10000
Elijah Ponder4.5not on the board

These are ESPN’s sack leaders as read at 11:22 UTC on October 17. In September the favorite’s price was built on expectation: Anderson was not among the ten sack leaders then. He leads the list now, and his price has shortened from +450 to +125. Hutchinson has 4.0 sacks and has drifted from +550 to +1200. Six players share the interception lead at three, and none of them is in the top 12 on the board.

Recent Defensive Player of the Year winners

SeasonWinnerTeamPosition
2025Myles GarrettCleveland BrownsDE
2024Pat Surtain IIDenver BroncosCB
2023Myles GarrettCleveland BrownsDE
2022Nick BosaSan Francisco 49ersDE
2021T.J. WattPittsburgh SteelersLB
2020Aaron DonaldLos Angeles RamsDT
2019Stephon GilmoreNew England PatriotsCB
2018Aaron DonaldLos Angeles RamsDT
2017Aaron DonaldLos Angeles RamsDT

Seven of the last nine winners were pass rushers or interior linemen, and two were cornerbacks: Gilmore in 2019 and Surtain in 2024. Donald won three times and Garrett twice. Watt is the one winner from this table in the current top 12.

The season is 17 games long, and these totals come from the first five or six of them. We update this page as the race changes. Every award board is on our NFL awards odds page, the offensive award on our Offensive Player of the Year odds page and the top award on our NFL MVP odds page. Our picks for every Week 6 game are on the NFL predictions page.

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