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American heads to Annapolis in a Patriot League spot where the market is clearly buying Navy’s home profile. The Midshipmen have been one of the more reliable home teams in the league, and laying a modest number here signals the books expect Navy to control tempo, win the glass, and force American into longer possessions than it wants. American’s angle is pretty straightforward. They can shoot enough threes to create volatility, and they’re solid at the line, which matters if this turns into a one or two possession game late. The problem is the road record and the way travel tends to shrink their margins. If the jumpers don’t fall early, American can go through scoring droughts that are hard

UC Riverside walks into a tough Big West road spot at Premier America Credit Union Arena, and the setup is pretty clean for bettors. The Highlanders are 8-16 and have struggled away from home, while CSUN is 14-10 with a strong home profile and a style that can turn a small edge into a double-digit margin when the pace stays up. The number is big enough that you have to decide what you’re betting. If you think CSUN’s rebounding and scoring balance travels to its home floor again, you lay it and live with the variance. If you think UC Riverside can slow the game, protect the ball, and keep possessions from snowballing into transition runs, the dog is at

Maryland Eastern Shore heads to Baltimore for a MEAC game that the market is basically calling a coin flip. That’s interesting given the Hawks’ season-long split: competent at home, shaky on the road. Morgan State doesn’t have a dominant profile either, but they’ve been steadier away from home than Eastern Shore, and they’re coming in with real momentum. This is the type of matchup where the spread is less about “who’s better” and more about which team can control the game state. If it turns into a half-court grind with long possessions, Eastern Shore can survive. If Morgan State gets this into a free-throw and transition game, the Hawks’ road issues tend to show up fast. Tip is Saturday, February

Oklahoma State heads to Tucson for a brutal Big 12 road spot against an Arizona team that has not blinked all season. Arizona is 22-0, 13-0 at McKale Center, and the market is pricing this like a mismatch from the opening tip. The question for bettors is not “can Arizona win.” It’s whether Oklahoma State can score enough to keep the back door open in a game that should be played at Arizona’s preferred speed. The Cowboys are coming off a 99-92 win over BYU and they are built to trade points. They play fast, they shoot it, and they can put up a number even when they are not getting a perfect whistle. That matters here because Arizona’s offense