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Florida State heads to South Bend playing its cleanest basketball of the season. The record still looks rough, but the recent stretch is more important for bettors than the full-body numbers. FSU has simplified the offense, cut the turnovers, and started getting real production from its perimeter scorers. That matters on the road, where empty possessions usually decide whether you cover or spend 40 minutes sweating a one-possession game. Notre Dame is in the opposite place. The Irish are competing, but the defense hasn’t held up, and the offensive efficiency comes and goes. When the shots aren’t falling, the late-clock possessions turn into tough twos and missed free throws, which makes it hard to win close games. It also makes

Kansas State is in one of those Big 12 spirals where every game feels like it starts at a deficit. The record says this season is already on the edge, but the bigger betting angle is availability and confidence. The Wildcats have been shorthanded, they just took a blowout, and now they have to go on the road again to face a TCU team that’s also searching for traction. TCU isn’t exactly stable either. The Horned Frogs are coming off a flat performance, and the early-game offense has been a problem. That creates a weird handicap for bettors: both teams have real flaws, both teams have motivation, and the market usually prices these spots based on which side is less

SMU walks into Pittsburgh in the exact kind of game that makes bubble teams sweat. The Mustangs have enough quality on the résumé to stay in the conversation, but they also have the kind of profile where a bad loss can linger because the margin between “in” and “work left” is thin. Two straight losses have raised the urgency, and this is a spot where style points matter less than taking care of business. Pitt is sitting near the bottom of the ACC, but this is still a home game against a team that wants to play with pace and shoot. If SMU lets turnovers and missed free throws turn into live-ball chances the other way, the number can get

Louisville heads to Winston-Salem trying to string wins together in ACC play, and the handicap starts with one simple question: do the Cardinals finally bring their shooting rhythm with them on the road. The last two wins came with the same script, cold start from three, then a second-half pull-away once the tempo and spacing settled. Wake Forest is sliding, and the defense has been the bigger issue than the offense. When the Deacs cannot stay connected on the perimeter, games get away fast because they give up clean threes and early-clock looks. That’s the exact kind of leak Louisville is built to attack, especially with how many attempts the Cardinals are willing to fire up. These are the current