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Evansville heads to Des Moines for a Valley road game where the market is basically saying one thing: Drake should control this from start to finish. The Bulldogs are laying a big number at home, and it makes sense when you look at the overall profiles. Drake has more scoring options, more consistent shot-making, and a much higher week-to-week floor than Evansville. Evansville, though, is the kind of team that can make a spread annoying. The Aces have had games where the offense suddenly shows up, and when that happens, they can hang around because the underdog does not need to be efficient for 40 minutes. They need two good stretches and a close enough margin to keep the back

Sam Houston heads to Springfield for a Conference USA matchup that’s priced tight for a reason. Missouri State is a small home favorite at Great Southern Bank Arena, and the Bears have been reliable in this building. But Sam Houston brings the higher offensive ceiling, and their profile as a strong rebounding team gives them a real path to winning the possession battle, which is usually how road dogs steal games. This is also a pace question. Sam Houston can score, but Missouri State is more comfortable in a controlled game where every trip is valued and the defense keeps the opponent from getting easy points in transition. If Missouri State dictates tempo, the favorite is live. If Sam Houston

Tennessee heads to Athens for a big SEC road test on Wednesday night, and the market is telling you this is close to a coin flip. Georgia is a short home favorite at Stegeman Coliseum, which lines up with how well the Bulldogs have played in this building. Tennessee, though, is the type of team that can travel if the defense and rebounding show up, because they do not need perfect shooting to stay in games. The handicap starts with style. Georgia wants to score in waves, get to the line, and turn any soft defensive stretch into a quick 10-0 run. Tennessee is more comfortable when the game is possession-by-possession, with tough shots, rebounds, and fewer freebies. With the

Bucknell heads to Easton for a Patriot League game that looks ugly on paper, but the betting angles are pretty clear. Both teams have struggled to stack wins, and both are still trying to find a consistent offensive identity. This is the kind of matchup where one clean stretch, five minutes with good shot selection and no turnovers, can decide the whole night. Lafayette is favored at home at Kirby Sports Center with a short number, and that pricing makes sense. Bucknell’s road form has been shaky, and when the Bison fall behind they often end up chasing with low-quality threes. Still, this is a spread you can beat with execution, not talent. If Bucknell controls pace and gets to