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Grant Weller

Grant Weller writes about the number before he writes about the game. Every call he publishes starts from a price, our own figure for the same game, and the gap between the two. If that gap is not big enough to pay for the vig, he says so and passes, which is why some of his weeks are quiet. He publishes the threshold before the pick, not after it, so a reader can see the rule he is holding himself to. He shows the opening price beside the current one, with the time and the book, and he names the thing that would kill the call — the injury, the move, the weather. Where the data runs out, he says that too, in the same flat voice he uses for everything else.

NFLSun 4 Oct
Detroit Lions
at
Carolina Panthers
SpreadTotalMoneyDET-3.5U 51.5-192CAR+3.5O 51.5+160
Our call

Final: Carolina Panthers 32, Detroit Lions 26, Sunday 4 October at Bank of America Stadium.

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