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Washington Capitals

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NHLFri 9 Oct
New York Rangers
at
Washington Capitals
SpreadTotalMoneyNYR+1.5U 5.5+120WSH-1.5O 5.5-142
Our call

No bet on the Capitals at -142. Washington turns into a bet at -107 or better, New York at +162 or longer.

Rangers at Capitals · 9 OctNo bet
Tyler WilliamsRead the predictionRangers at Capitals prediction
NHLSun 11 Oct
Seattle Kraken
at
Washington Capitals
Our call

Our number has the Capitals at 62.2%. They are a bet at -133 or better, the Kraken at +205 or longer.

Kraken at Capitals · 11 OctOur number has the Capitals at 62.2%.
Tyler WilliamsRead the predictionKraken at Capitals prediction

The Capitals made money at home in 2025-26 and gave more of it back on the road: 3.15 units up in Washington, 5.28 down away. Every Capitals prediction starts with where the game is played, and with a total that went under 45 times in 82.

Back them in Washington

The Capitals went 25-16 at home and 18-23 on the road, and the moneyline followed the split. Backing Washington on the moneyline in all 41 home games returned 3.15 units; only five NHL teams made more at home. The same bet away lost 5.28, and only six teams lost more on the road.

The Capitals at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (41)won 25 (61.0%)Away (41)won 18 (43.9%)Favorite (53)won 30 (56.6%)Underdog (29)won 13 (44.8%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Home was still where the worst upsets came. Their three shortest-priced defeats were all in Washington: 3-2 to Chicago at -250, 3-1 to the Islanders at -225, 3-1 to Boston at -185.

Covering as the favorite

Washington were favorites in 53 games, won 30 of them, and covered the -1.5 in 24; only three NHL teams covered more often as favorites. As underdogs they covered the +1.5 in 21 of 29. On the moneyline the favorite games lost 1.76 units and the underdog games 0.37, from a 13-16 record. Across the season that came to 45 covers in 82; nine teams did better and Calgary matched it.

The Capitals 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-10-08 v Boston Bruins 1-32025-10-11 at New York Islanders 4-22025-10-12 at New York Rangers 1-02025-10-14 v Tampa Bay Lightning 3-22025-10-17 v Minnesota Wild 5-12025-10-19 v Vancouver Canucks 3-42025-10-21 v Seattle Kraken 4-12025-10-24 at Columbus Blue Jackets 5-12025-10-25 v Ottawa Senators 1-72025-10-28 at Dallas Stars 0-12025-10-31 v New York Islanders 1-32025-11-01 at Buffalo Sabres 3-42025-11-05 v St. Louis Blues 6-12025-11-06 at Pittsburgh Penguins 3-52025-11-08 at Tampa Bay Lightning 2-32025-11-11 at Carolina Hurricanes 4-12025-11-13 at Florida Panthers 3-62025-11-15 v New Jersey Devils 2-32025-11-17 v Los Angeles Kings 2-12025-11-19 v Edmonton Oilers 7-42025-11-20 at Montreal Canadiens 8-42025-11-22 v Tampa Bay Lightning 3-52025-11-24 v Columbus Blue Jackets 5-12025-11-26 v Winnipeg Jets 4-32025-11-28 v Toronto Maple Leafs 4-22025-11-30 at New York Islanders 4-12025-12-02 at Los Angeles Kings 3-12025-12-03 at San Jose Sharks 7-12025-12-05 at Anaheim Ducks 3-42025-12-07 v Columbus Blue Jackets 2-02025-12-11 v Carolina Hurricanes 2-32025-12-13 at Winnipeg Jets 1-52025-12-16 at Minnesota Wild 0-52025-12-18 v Toronto Maple Leafs 4-02025-12-20 v Detroit Red Wings 2-52025-12-21 at Detroit Red Wings 2-32025-12-23 v New York Rangers 3-72025-12-27 at New Jersey Devils 4-32025-12-29 at Florida Panthers 3-52025-12-31 v New York Rangers 6-32026-01-01 at Ottawa Senators 3-42026-01-03 v Chicago Blackhawks 2-32026-01-05 v Anaheim Ducks 7-42026-01-07 v Dallas Stars 1-42026-01-09 at Chicago Blackhawks 5-12026-01-11 at Nashville Predators 2-32026-01-13 v Montreal Canadiens 3-22026-01-15 v San Jose Sharks 2-32026-01-17 v Florida Panthers 2-52026-01-19 at Colorado Avalanche 2-52026-01-21 at Vancouver Canucks 3-42026-01-23 at Calgary Flames 3-12026-01-24 at Edmonton Oilers 5-62026-01-27 at Seattle Kraken 1-52026-01-29 at Detroit Red Wings 4-32026-01-31 v Carolina Hurricanes 4-32026-02-02 v New York Islanders 4-12026-02-03 at Philadelphia Flyers 2-42026-02-05 v Nashville Predators 4-22026-02-25 v Philadelphia Flyers 3-12026-02-27 v Vegas Golden Knights 3-22026-02-28 at Montreal Canadiens 2-62026-03-03 v Utah Mammoth 2-32026-03-07 at Boston Bruins 1-32026-03-09 v Calgary Flames 7-32026-03-11 at Philadelphia Flyers 1-42026-03-12 at Buffalo Sabres 2-12026-03-14 v Boston Bruins 2-32026-03-18 v Ottawa Senators 4-12026-03-20 v New Jersey Devils 2-12026-03-22 v Colorado Avalanche 2-32026-03-24 at St. Louis Blues 0-32026-03-26 at Utah Mammoth 7-42026-03-28 at Vegas Golden Knights 5-42026-03-31 v Philadelphia Flyers 6-42026-04-02 at New Jersey Devils 3-72026-04-04 v Buffalo Sabres 6-22026-04-05 at New York Rangers 1-82026-04-08 at Toronto Maple Leafs 4-02026-04-11 at Pittsburgh Penguins 6-32026-04-12 v Pittsburgh Penguins 3-02026-04-14 at Columbus Blue Jackets 2-1Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margin0
43-39 in 82 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The under

The under landed in 45 Capitals games and the over in 37. Four NHL teams had a bigger share of unders; the Rangers had the same one. Washington scored 3.21 goals a game and allowed 2.98, and 15 games went past regulation, seven decided in overtime and eight by shootout. Washington lost more one-goal games than it won, 13-17.

Winter was the cost

December and January together went 12-18 and lost 7.75 units on the moneyline. From February to the end of the season they went 16-10 and made 4.63. The longest prices they beat: 2-1 at Buffalo at +180 and 4-3 over Carolina at +160.

One unit on the Capitals to win, every game0-5-2.13 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 82 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Columbus four times, Boston and Florida three

Columbus lost all four meetings and Washington covered all four, 3.31 units. Toronto lost all three, again with three covers. Boston and Florida won all three of theirs, with no Capitals cover in any of the six.

The Capitals against the teams they played mostColumbus Blue Jackets4-0New Jersey Devils2-2New York Islanders3-1New York Rangers2-2Philadelphia Flyers2-2Boston Bruins0-3Buffalo Sabres2-1Carolina Hurricanes2-1
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Questions and answers

Are the Capitals a better bet at home or away?

Home: 25-16 and 3.15 units up in 2025-26, against 18-23 and 5.28 units down on the road.

Which way did the total lean in Capitals games?

Toward the under: 45 of 82 in 2025-26, a share only four NHL teams beat.

How did the Capitals do on the puck line as favorites?

24 covers in 53; only three NHL teams covered more often as favorites.

Past games

  1. Penguins at Capitals · 7 OctPenguins +138 or longer
  2. Capitals at Lightning · 3 OctOur number has the Lightning 2.6 points above the price, about half of what a bet needs.
  3. Capitals at Hurricanes · 2 OctThe Hurricanes won 29 of 41 at home last season.

NHL teams