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Atlanta Hawks

NBANext: at Magic, Wed1 prediction

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NBAWed 21 Oct
Atlanta Hawks
at
Orlando Magic
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The Atlanta Hawks visit the Orlando Magic on Wednesday 21 October at Kia Center in Orlando, with tip-off at 7:00 PM ET. The Magic are 2.5-p…

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Marcus ReedsRead the predictionHawks at Magic prediction

The Hawks covered the spread in 44 of 82 games in 2025-26 and in none of the 11 they played against Toronto, Chicago and Charlotte. Any Hawks prediction against one of those three starts from that zero.

Three opponents, zero covers

Atlanta met the Toronto Raptors four times, lost all four and missed the spread in every one. Against the Chicago Bulls it was 0-3, three misses. The Charlotte Hornets lost once in four and still covered all four. Eleven games, no Hawks cover, and 9.66 units gone backing them to win.

The Hawks against the teams they played mostBoston Celtics2-2, covered 2Brooklyn Nets4-0, covered 2Charlotte Hornets1-3, covered 0Cleveland Cavaliers2-2, covered 2Detroit Pistons1-3, covered 2Miami Heat1-3, covered 1Orlando Magic4-0, covered 4Philadelphia 76ers4-0, covered 3
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The best results came inside the same conference: 4-0 with four covers against the Orlando Magic, 4.55 units up, and 4-0 with three covers against the Philadelphia 76ers.

The season in two months

A 46-36 team that covered 53.7% of the time: six NBA teams did better, and Denver, Detroit, New Orleans, Philadelphia and Portland matched it exactly. Two months made and broke it.

The Hawks 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-10-22 v Toronto Raptors 118-1382025-10-24 at Orlando Magic 111-1072025-10-25 v Oklahoma City Thunder 100-1172025-10-27 at Chicago Bulls 123-1282025-10-29 at Brooklyn Nets 117-1122025-10-31 at Indiana Pacers 128-1082025-11-02 at Cleveland Cavaliers 109-1172025-11-04 v Orlando Magic 127-1122025-11-07 v Toronto Raptors 97-1092025-11-08 v Los Angeles Lakers 122-1022025-11-10 at LA Clippers 105-1022025-11-12 at Sacramento Kings 133-1002025-11-13 at Utah Jazz 132-1222025-11-16 at Phoenix Suns 124-1222025-11-18 v Detroit Pistons 112-1202025-11-20 at San Antonio Spurs 126-1352025-11-22 at New Orleans Pelicans 115-982025-11-23 v Charlotte Hornets 113-1102025-11-25 at Washington Wizards 113-1322025-11-28 v Cleveland Cavaliers 130-1232025-11-30 at Philadelphia 76ers 142-1342025-12-01 at Detroit Pistons 98-992025-12-03 v LA Clippers 92-1152025-12-05 v Denver Nuggets 133-1342025-12-06 at Washington Wizards 131-1162025-12-12 at Detroit Pistons 115-1422025-12-14 v Philadelphia 76ers 120-1172025-12-18 at Charlotte Hornets 126-1332025-12-19 v San Antonio Spurs 98-1262025-12-21 v Chicago Bulls 150-1522025-12-23 v Chicago Bulls 123-1262025-12-26 v Miami Heat 111-1262025-12-27 v New York Knicks 125-1282025-12-29 at Oklahoma City Thunder 129-1402025-12-31 v Minnesota Timberwolves 126-1022026-01-02 at New York Knicks 111-992026-01-03 at Toronto Raptors 117-1342026-01-05 at Toronto Raptors 100-1182026-01-07 v New Orleans Pelicans 117-1002026-01-09 at Denver Nuggets 110-872026-01-11 at Golden State Warriors 124-1112026-01-13 at Los Angeles Lakers 116-1412026-01-15 at Portland Trail Blazers 101-1172026-01-17 v Boston Celtics 106-1322026-01-19 v Milwaukee Bucks 110-1122026-01-21 at Memphis Grizzlies 124-1222026-01-23 v Phoenix Suns 110-1032026-01-26 v Indiana Pacers 132-1162026-01-28 at Boston Celtics 117-1062026-01-29 v Houston Rockets 86-1042026-01-31 at Indiana Pacers 124-1292026-02-03 at Miami Heat 127-1152026-02-05 v Utah Jazz 121-1192026-02-07 v Charlotte Hornets 119-1262026-02-09 at Minnesota Timberwolves 116-1382026-02-11 at Charlotte Hornets 107-1102026-02-19 at Philadelphia 76ers 117-1072026-02-20 v Miami Heat 97-1282026-02-22 v Brooklyn Nets 115-1042026-02-24 v Washington Wizards 119-982026-02-26 v Washington Wizards 126-962026-03-01 v Portland Trail Blazers 135-1012026-03-04 at Milwaukee Bucks 131-1132026-03-07 v Philadelphia 76ers 125-1162026-03-10 v Dallas Mavericks 124-1122026-03-12 v Brooklyn Nets 108-972026-03-14 v Milwaukee Bucks 122-992026-03-16 v Orlando Magic 124-1122026-03-18 at Dallas Mavericks 135-1202026-03-20 at Houston Rockets 95-1172026-03-21 v Golden State Warriors 126-1102026-03-23 v Memphis Grizzlies 146-1072026-03-25 at Detroit Pistons 130-1292026-03-27 at Boston Celtics 102-1092026-03-28 v Sacramento Kings 123-1132026-03-30 v Boston Celtics 112-1022026-04-01 at Orlando Magic 130-1012026-04-03 at Brooklyn Nets 141-1072026-04-06 v New York Knicks 105-1082026-04-08 at Cleveland Cavaliers 116-1222026-04-10 v Cleveland Cavaliers 124-1022026-04-12 at Miami Heat 117-143Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
46-36 in 82 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

December was 3-11, and one unit on Atlanta every night lost 8.49. March was 13-2 with 11 covers in 15 and 3.72 units won. November, 10-5, paid most: 7.04 units.

Back them away, and as the dog

On the road the Hawks covered 23 of 41 and the moneyline returned 2.74 units. At home: 21 covers in 41 and 2.66 units lost. The longest price they cashed was on the road too: +225 at Golden State, 124-111. Same split on price: 2.51 units won in 39 games as underdogs, where only six teams did better, and 2.42 lost in 42 priced games as favorites.

One unit on the Hawks to win, every game0-2+2+4+6+0.08 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 81 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Across all 81 priced games, blind support ended 0.08 units up. Atlanta’s moneyline was flat overall, made on the road and as the dog and handed back at home and as the favorite.

The total

Forty-one overs and 41 unders, while Atlanta scored 118.46 a game, sixth in the league. January leaned under, 10 of 16, and the rest of the year evened it out. On Atlanta totals we had no side all season.

Questions and answers

Did the Hawks ever cover against the Raptors in 2025-26?

No. Four games, four Atlanta losses, four misses against the spread.

Where did the Hawks pay, home or away?

Away: 23 covers in 41 and 2.74 units won on the moneyline. In Atlanta they covered 21 of 41 and lost 2.66 units.

Which month cost Hawks backers most?

December 2025: 3-11, and 8.49 units lost on the moneyline.

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