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Charlotte Hornets

NBA

The Hornets went 44-38 in 2025-26 and covered 50 times in 82 games, the best cover rate of any NBA team. Their games went under the total 50 times too, a number only one team beat.

A cover rate the record hides

A 44-38 team is not where anyone looks for the league’s best cover rate. Charlotte had it: 50 covers, 32 misses, no pushes, 61.0%. The Boston Celtics were next with 49.

The Hornets 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-10-22 v Brooklyn Nets 136-1172025-10-25 at Philadelphia 76ers 121-1252025-10-26 at Washington Wizards 139-1132025-10-28 at Miami Heat 117-1442025-10-30 v Orlando Magic 107-1232025-11-01 v Minnesota Timberwolves 105-1222025-11-02 v Utah Jazz 126-1032025-11-04 at New Orleans Pelicans 112-1162025-11-07 at Miami Heat 108-1262025-11-10 v Los Angeles Lakers 111-1212025-11-12 v Milwaukee Bucks 111-1002025-11-14 at Milwaukee Bucks 134-1472025-11-15 v Oklahoma City Thunder 96-1092025-11-17 at Toronto Raptors 108-1102025-11-19 at Indiana Pacers 118-1272025-11-22 v LA Clippers 116-1312025-11-23 at Atlanta Hawks 110-1132025-11-26 v New York Knicks 101-1292025-11-28 v Chicago Bulls 123-1162025-11-29 v Toronto Raptors 118-1112025-12-01 at Brooklyn Nets 103-1162025-12-03 at New York Knicks 104-1192025-12-05 at Toronto Raptors 111-862025-12-07 v Denver Nuggets 106-1152025-12-12 v Chicago Bulls 126-1292025-12-14 at Cleveland Cavaliers 119-1112025-12-18 v Atlanta Hawks 133-1262025-12-20 at Detroit Pistons 86-1122025-12-22 at Cleveland Cavaliers 132-1392025-12-23 v Washington Wizards 126-1092025-12-26 at Orlando Magic 120-1052025-12-29 v Milwaukee Bucks 113-1232025-12-31 v Golden State Warriors 125-1322026-01-02 at Milwaukee Bucks 121-1222026-01-03 at Chicago Bulls 112-992026-01-05 at Oklahoma City Thunder 124-972026-01-07 v Toronto Raptors 96-972026-01-08 v Indiana Pacers 112-1142026-01-10 at Utah Jazz 150-952026-01-12 at LA Clippers 109-1172026-01-15 at Los Angeles Lakers 135-1172026-01-17 at Golden State Warriors 116-1362026-01-18 at Denver Nuggets 110-872026-01-21 v Cleveland Cavaliers 87-942026-01-22 at Orlando Magic 124-972026-01-24 v Washington Wizards 119-1152026-01-26 v Philadelphia 76ers 130-932026-01-28 at Memphis Grizzlies 112-972026-01-29 at Dallas Mavericks 123-1212026-01-31 v San Antonio Spurs 111-1062026-02-02 v New Orleans Pelicans 102-952026-02-05 at Houston Rockets 109-992026-02-07 at Atlanta Hawks 126-1192026-02-09 v Detroit Pistons 104-1102026-02-11 v Atlanta Hawks 110-1072026-02-19 v Houston Rockets 101-1052026-02-20 v Cleveland Cavaliers 113-1182026-02-22 at Washington Wizards 129-1122026-02-24 at Chicago Bulls 131-992026-02-26 at Indiana Pacers 133-1092026-02-28 v Portland Trail Blazers 109-932026-03-03 v Dallas Mavericks 117-902026-03-04 at Boston Celtics 118-892026-03-06 v Miami Heat 120-1282026-03-08 at Phoenix Suns 99-1112026-03-10 at Portland Trail Blazers 103-1012026-03-11 at Sacramento Kings 117-1092026-03-14 at San Antonio Spurs 102-1152026-03-17 v Miami Heat 136-1062026-03-19 v Orlando Magic 130-1112026-03-21 v Memphis Grizzlies 124-1012026-03-24 v Sacramento Kings 134-902026-03-26 v New York Knicks 114-1032026-03-28 v Philadelphia 76ers 114-1182026-03-29 v Boston Celtics 99-1142026-03-31 at Brooklyn Nets 117-862026-04-02 v Phoenix Suns 127-1072026-04-03 v Indiana Pacers 129-1082026-04-05 at Minnesota Timberwolves 122-1082026-04-07 at Boston Celtics 102-1132026-04-10 v Detroit Pistons 100-1182026-04-12 at New York Knicks 110-96Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
44-38 in 82 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Watch the calendar. November went 4-11 and lost 5.15 units on the moneyline. January went 11-6 and made 9.68. February brought 10 covers in 11 games. March went 10-5 straight up and still lost 0.19 units on the moneyline: two of its home losses came at -298 and -250, 128-120 to the Miami Heat on 6 March and 118-114 to the Philadelphia 76ers on 28 March.

The road paid, the home floor did not

Against the spread the Hornets were good in both places: 26 of 41 at home, 63.4%, a home rate only the New York Knicks beat, and 24 of 41 away. The moneyline split them apart. One unit on Charlotte in every road game made 11.46 units, second only to the Denver Nuggets. The same unit at home lost 5.36. Straight up they were 23-18 away and 21-20 at home.

One unit on the Hornets to win, every game0-10-5+5+6.10 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 82 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The longest price that came in: +675 at the Oklahoma City Thunder on 5 January, a 124-97 win as 15.5-point underdogs. Over the whole season, every game backed, the Hornets returned 6.10 units.

As underdogs they won 16 of 45 and covered 27. As favorites they won 28 of 37 and covered 23.

Under, more often than not

Fifty unders and 32 overs. Only the Celtics went under more often; the Toronto Raptors matched Charlotte’s 50. The Hornets allowed 111.18 points a game; six teams allowed fewer.

The Eastern Conference opponents

The Atlanta Hawks lost three of four to Charlotte and the Hornets covered all four. The Raptors split 2-2 with them, yet Charlotte covered all four of those too. The Washington Wizards lost all four. The Detroit Pistons won all three meetings and covered each, 3.00 units lost backing Charlotte.

The Hornets against the teams they played mostAtlanta Hawks3-1, covered 4Chicago Bulls3-1, covered 3Cleveland Cavaliers1-3, covered 3Indiana Pacers2-2, covered 2Miami Heat1-3, covered 1Milwaukee Bucks1-3, covered 2New York Knicks2-2, covered 1Orlando Magic3-1, covered 3
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Questions and answers

What was the Hornets’ record against the spread in 2025-26?

50-32 with no pushes, 61.0%, the best cover rate in the NBA.

Do Hornets games go over or under the total?

Under 50 times and over 32 in 2025-26; only one NBA team’s games went under more often.

Are the Hornets a good moneyline bet on the road?

Backing Charlotte to win each of its 41 road games in 2025-26 made 11.46 units; at home the same bet lost 5.36.