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Washington Wizards

NBA

The Wizards were the underdog in 77 of their 82 games in 2025-26, a league high, and covered in 31 of them, the NBA’s lowest underdog cover rate. Backing Washington to win every game lost 24.17 units.

Getting points every night

Washington went 17-65, the fewest wins in the NBA, and was the underdog in 77 games. With the points they covered 31 of 77, 40.3%; no team covered less often as an underdog. Over the season they went 33-49 against the spread, tied with the Cleveland Cavaliers for the lowest rate in the league.

The Wizards at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (41)won 11 (26.8%)covered 18 of 41 (43.9%)Away (41)won 6 (14.6%)covered 15 of 41 (36.6%)Favorite (5)won 2 (40.0%)covered 2 of 5 (40.0%)Underdog (77)won 15 (19.5%)covered 31 of 77 (40.3%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

On the road the Wizards covered 15 of 41, 36.6%, level with the New York Knicks for the worst away rate. At home it was 18 of 41. Favored only five times, Washington went 2-3 in those games.

One unit, every game

A unit on Washington to win in the 81 games that carried a moneyline lost 24.17. November set the pattern at 1-12 and 12.0 units lost. December was the exception: 6-8 straight up, 8 covers in 14, 11.75 units up. March ran the other way at 1-15 and 13.7 units down, though the Wizards covered 7 of those 16. April finished 0-7.

One unit on the Wizards to win, every game0-20-15-10-5-24.17 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 81 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The longest price that landed was +750 at the Detroit Pistons, a 126-117 win on 5 February.

The Wizards 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-10-22 at Milwaukee Bucks 120-1332025-10-24 at Dallas Mavericks 117-1072025-10-26 v Charlotte Hornets 113-1392025-10-28 v Philadelphia 76ers 134-1392025-10-30 at Oklahoma City Thunder 108-1272025-11-01 v Orlando Magic 94-1252025-11-03 at New York Knicks 102-1192025-11-05 at Boston Celtics 107-1362025-11-07 v Cleveland Cavaliers 115-1482025-11-08 v Dallas Mavericks 105-1112025-11-10 at Detroit Pistons 135-1372025-11-12 at Houston Rockets 112-1352025-11-16 v Brooklyn Nets 106-1292025-11-19 at Minnesota Timberwolves 109-1202025-11-21 at Toronto Raptors 110-1402025-11-22 at Chicago Bulls 120-1212025-11-25 v Atlanta Hawks 132-1132025-11-28 at Indiana Pacers 86-1192025-12-01 v Milwaukee Bucks 129-1262025-12-02 at Philadelphia 76ers 102-1212025-12-04 v Boston Celtics 101-1462025-12-06 v Atlanta Hawks 116-1312025-12-12 v Cleveland Cavaliers 126-1302025-12-14 at Indiana Pacers 108-892025-12-18 at San Antonio Spurs 94-1192025-12-20 at Memphis Grizzlies 130-1222025-12-21 v San Antonio Spurs 113-1242025-12-23 at Charlotte Hornets 109-1262025-12-26 v Toronto Raptors 138-1172025-12-28 v Memphis Grizzlies 116-1122025-12-29 v Phoenix Suns 101-1152025-12-31 at Milwaukee Bucks 114-1132026-01-02 v Brooklyn Nets 119-992026-01-04 v Minnesota Timberwolves 115-1412026-01-06 v Orlando Magic 120-1122026-01-07 at Philadelphia 76ers 110-1312026-01-09 v New Orleans Pelicans 107-1282026-01-11 at Phoenix Suns 93-1122026-01-14 at LA Clippers 105-1192026-01-16 at Sacramento Kings 115-1282026-01-17 at Denver Nuggets 115-1212026-01-19 v LA Clippers 106-1102026-01-22 v Denver Nuggets 97-1072026-01-24 at Charlotte Hornets 115-1192026-01-27 v Portland Trail Blazers 115-1112026-01-29 v Milwaukee Bucks 109-992026-01-30 v Los Angeles Lakers 111-1422026-02-01 v Sacramento Kings 116-1122026-02-03 v New York Knicks 101-1322026-02-05 at Detroit Pistons 126-1172026-02-07 at Brooklyn Nets 113-1272026-02-08 v Miami Heat 101-1322026-02-11 at Cleveland Cavaliers 113-1382026-02-19 v Indiana Pacers 112-1052026-02-20 v Indiana Pacers 131-1182026-02-22 v Charlotte Hornets 112-1292026-02-24 at Atlanta Hawks 98-1192026-02-26 at Atlanta Hawks 96-1262026-02-28 v Toronto Raptors 125-1342026-03-02 v Houston Rockets 118-1232026-03-03 at Orlando Magic 109-1262026-03-05 v Utah Jazz 112-1222026-03-08 at New Orleans Pelicans 118-1382026-03-10 at Miami Heat 129-1502026-03-12 at Orlando Magic 131-1362026-03-14 at Boston Celtics 100-1112026-03-16 v Golden State Warriors 117-1252026-03-17 v Detroit Pistons 117-1302026-03-19 v Detroit Pistons 95-1172026-03-21 v Oklahoma City Thunder 111-1322026-03-22 at New York Knicks 113-1452026-03-25 at Utah Jazz 133-1102026-03-27 at Golden State Warriors 126-1312026-03-29 at Portland Trail Blazers 88-1232026-03-30 at Los Angeles Lakers 101-1202026-04-01 v Philadelphia 76ers 131-1532026-04-04 at Miami Heat 136-1522026-04-05 at Brooklyn Nets 115-1212026-04-07 v Chicago Bulls 98-1292026-04-09 v Chicago Bulls 108-1192026-04-10 v Miami Heat 117-1402026-04-12 at Cleveland Cavaliers 117-130Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
17-65 in 82 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Milwaukee, and four sweeps

The Milwaukee Bucks were the team Washington handled: 3-1, three covers, 7.15 units up, two of the wins as 10.5-point underdogs. The Indiana Pacers also lost three of four to them. Detroit won three of four, but the +750 win alone left backing Washington in that series 4.5 units up. The Charlotte Hornets, Cleveland, the Miami Heat and the Philadelphia 76ers each beat Washington four times out of four, for 16 units lost backing the Wizards in those games.

The Wizards against the teams they played mostAtlanta Hawks1-3, covered 1Brooklyn Nets1-3, covered 1Charlotte Hornets0-4, covered 1Cleveland Cavaliers0-4, covered 1Detroit Pistons1-3, covered 3Indiana Pacers3-1, covered 3Miami Heat0-4, covered 1Milwaukee Bucks3-1, covered 3
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The total

Forty-seven of Washington’s 82 games went over, 57.3%. Three teams went over more often and the Miami Heat matched it. The Wizards scored 112.9 points a game and allowed 124.88; only the Utah Jazz allowed more.

Questions and answers

How often did the Wizards cover as underdogs in 2025-26?

31 times in 77, 40.3%: no NBA team covered less often getting points.

Did Wizards games lean to the over?

Yes: 47 of 82 went over, 57.3%, with 35 under.

Which team did Washington beat most often?

The Milwaukee Bucks: 3-1 with three covers and 7.15 units up.

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