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Dallas Mavericks

NBA

Laying points with the Mavericks in 2025-26 brought 9 covers in 24 games, a rate only three NBA teams fell below. Dallas Mavericks predictions for the coming games are above; the record behind that number is below.

When Dallas gave points

The Mavericks were favored 24 times, went 12-12 and covered 9, 37.5%. Only the Cleveland Cavaliers, the Indiana Pacers and the Chicago Bulls covered less often as favorites. One unit on Dallas to win in those games lost 4.82. Getting points, the Mavericks were 14-44 and covered 28 of 58, 48.3%, with the moneyline 6.11 units down.

The Mavericks at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (41)won 16 (39.0%)covered 20 of 41 (48.8%)Away (40)won 10 (25.0%)covered 17 of 40 (42.5%)Favorite (24)won 12 (50.0%)covered 9 of 24 (37.5%)Underdog (58)won 14 (24.1%)covered 28 of 58 (48.3%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The first week set the tone: home losses as favorites to the San Antonio Spurs, 125-92 at -170, and to the Washington Wizards, 117-107 at -425. In February the Sacramento Kings won 130-121 in Dallas with the Mavericks at -310.

26-56, and the spread

Dallas finished 26-56 and covered 37 of 82, 45.1%, level with the Brooklyn Nets, the Memphis Grizzlies and the Minnesota Timberwolves, with twenty teams above. Home covers ran 20 of 41; road covers 17 of 40.

The Mavericks 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-10-22 v San Antonio Spurs 92-1252025-10-24 v Washington Wizards 107-1172025-10-26 v Toronto Raptors 139-1292025-10-27 v Oklahoma City Thunder 94-1012025-10-29 v Indiana Pacers 107-1052025-11-01 v Detroit Pistons 110-1222025-11-03 at Houston Rockets 102-1102025-11-05 v New Orleans Pelicans 99-1012025-11-07 at Memphis Grizzlies 104-1182025-11-08 at Washington Wizards 111-1052025-11-10 v Milwaukee Bucks 114-1162025-11-12 v Phoenix Suns 114-1232025-11-14 v LA Clippers 127-1332025-11-16 v Portland Trail Blazers 138-1332025-11-17 at Minnesota Timberwolves 96-1202025-11-19 v New York Knicks 111-1132025-11-21 v New Orleans Pelicans 118-1152025-11-22 v Memphis Grizzlies 96-1022025-11-24 at Miami Heat 102-1062025-11-28 at Los Angeles Lakers 119-1292025-11-29 at LA Clippers 114-1102025-12-01 at Denver Nuggets 131-1212025-12-03 v Miami Heat 118-1082025-12-05 at Oklahoma City Thunder 111-1322025-12-06 v Houston Rockets 122-1092025-12-12 v Brooklyn Nets 119-1112025-12-15 at Utah Jazz 133-1402025-12-18 v Detroit Pistons 116-1142025-12-20 at Philadelphia 76ers 114-1212025-12-22 at New Orleans Pelicans 113-1192025-12-23 v Denver Nuggets 131-1302025-12-25 at Golden State Warriors 116-1262025-12-27 at Sacramento Kings 107-1132025-12-29 at Portland Trail Blazers 122-1252026-01-01 v Philadelphia 76ers 108-1232026-01-03 v Houston Rockets 110-1042026-01-06 at Sacramento Kings 100-982026-01-08 at Utah Jazz 114-1162026-01-10 at Chicago Bulls 107-1252026-01-12 v Brooklyn Nets 113-1052026-01-14 v Denver Nuggets 109-1182026-01-15 v Utah Jazz 144-1222026-01-17 v Utah Jazz 138-1202026-01-19 at New York Knicks 114-972026-01-22 v Golden State Warriors 123-1152026-01-24 v Los Angeles Lakers 110-1162026-01-28 v Minnesota Timberwolves 105-1182026-01-29 v Charlotte Hornets 121-1232026-01-31 at Houston Rockets 107-1112026-02-03 v Boston Celtics 100-1102026-02-05 v San Antonio Spurs 123-1352026-02-07 at San Antonio Spurs 125-1382026-02-10 at Phoenix Suns 111-1202026-02-12 at Los Angeles Lakers 104-1242026-02-20 at Minnesota Timberwolves 111-1222026-02-22 at Indiana Pacers 134-1302026-02-24 at Brooklyn Nets 123-1142026-02-26 v Sacramento Kings 121-1302026-02-27 v Memphis Grizzlies 105-1242026-03-01 v Oklahoma City Thunder 87-1002026-03-03 at Charlotte Hornets 90-1172026-03-05 at Orlando Magic 114-1152026-03-06 at Boston Celtics 100-1202026-03-08 at Toronto Raptors 92-1222026-03-10 at Atlanta Hawks 112-1242026-03-12 at Memphis Grizzlies 120-1122026-03-13 v Cleveland Cavaliers 105-1382026-03-15 at Cleveland Cavaliers 130-1202026-03-16 at New Orleans Pelicans 111-1292026-03-18 v Atlanta Hawks 120-1352026-03-21 v LA Clippers 131-1382026-03-23 v Golden State Warriors 131-1372026-03-25 at Denver Nuggets 135-1422026-03-27 at Portland Trail Blazers 100-932026-03-30 v Minnesota Timberwolves 94-1242026-03-31 at Milwaukee Bucks 99-1232026-04-03 v Orlando Magic 127-1382026-04-05 v Los Angeles Lakers 134-1282026-04-07 at LA Clippers 103-1162026-04-08 at Phoenix Suns 107-1122026-04-10 at San Antonio Spurs 120-1392026-04-12 v Chicago Bulls 149-128Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
26-56 in 82 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

One unit on the Mavericks every game finished 10.93 units down, 5.63 of it lost at home and 4.3 on the road. December and January made money, 13-15 together and 8.18 units up; February gave most of it back at 2-8 and 6.32 down. The longest price cashed was +750, 130-120 at Cleveland on 15 March.

The West opponents

The Spurs beat Dallas four times and the Mavericks covered none; the last was 139-120 with Dallas getting 18.5. Minnesota also went 4-0, with one Dallas cover. The New Orleans Pelicans won three of four and Dallas covered none of them. The Houston Rockets were the reverse: a 2-2 split, and Dallas covered all four. Sacramento took two of three, and Dallas covered none of those. Only Brooklyn lost every meeting, 3-0 to Dallas with three Mavericks covers.

The Mavericks against the teams they played mostDenver Nuggets2-2, covered 3Houston Rockets2-2, covered 4LA Clippers1-3, covered 2Los Angeles Lakers1-3, covered 2Memphis Grizzlies1-3, covered 1Minnesota Timberwolves0-4, covered 1New Orleans Pelicans1-3, covered 0San Antonio Spurs0-4, covered 0
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The total

Unders took 45 of the 82, 54.9%, a rate beaten by four teams; Brooklyn, Chicago and the Phoenix Suns matched the Mavericks’ rate.

Questions and answers

How did the Mavericks cover when favored?

Rarely in 2025-26: 9 covers in 24 games as favorite, 37.5%, fourth-lowest of the 30 teams.

How did the Mavericks do against the Spurs?

0-4, and Dallas did not cover once.

Is the under the Mavericks lean?

A mild one: 45 of 82 Dallas games stayed under in 2025-26, 54.9%.