Houston Rockets

The Rockets were favored in 72 of 82 games in 2025-26 and covered in 30 of them. At home Houston covered 17 of 41, a rate only the Cleveland Cavaliers fell below.

Seventy-two times the favorite

Houston went 52-30 and was an underdog only ten times; the Oklahoma City Thunder were the one team underdogs less often. As favorites the Rockets went 48-24 and covered 30 of 72, 41.7%. Across the season they were 36-46 against the spread.

The home cover rate was 17 of 41, 41.5%; only the Cleveland Cavaliers were lower. On the road it was 19 of 41. In the ten games as underdogs the Rockets went 4-6 and covered six.

One unit, every game

Backing Houston to win all 82 games lost 7.29 units: 1.55 at home, 5.74 on the road, and 6.41 of the total in the favorite games; three teams lost more backing favorites. Two of the three shortest-priced defeats came at the Sacramento Kings: 111-98 on 11 January at -750 and 125-124 on 21 December at -625. The longest price that landed was +145, a 111-104 win at the Detroit Pistons on 23 January; +136 came in twice, at Oklahoma City on 7 February and at the Golden State Warriors on 26 November.

November was the month to back them: 11-2, nine covers, 3.04 units up. From December through March they covered 20 times in 58 games. The longest winning streak, eight games, ran from 27 March to 9 April.

The West

Two Western opponents never let Houston cover: the Dallas Mavericks and the Los Angeles Clippers, none of four each, with both series split 2-2. The Phoenix Suns lost all four, Houston covering three; the Memphis Grizzlies also lost all four. The Denver Nuggets and the San Antonio Spurs each won three of four, and Houston covered once against each.

The total

Unders 43, overs 39: no lean. Houston allowed 110.01 points a game, fourth-fewest in the league.

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