Skip to content
Scores&Stats
ES
NBA
XFacebookWhatsAppTelegramRedditEmail

Golden State Warriors

NBA

Backing the Warriors as favorites in 2025-26 lost 10.84 units, more than any NBA team lost on itself in that role. Golden State covered 34 of 81 spreads, and only Washington and Cleveland covered less often.

The favorite problem

Golden State was favored 49 times, won 28 and covered 20. One unit on each of those games lost 10.84: thirtieth of 30. The three shortest prices they lost at: -550 at Indiana, 114-109; -500 at Sacramento, 124-118; -425 at home to Portland, 127-123.

One unit on the Warriors to win, every game0-15-10-5-19.85 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 81 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The underdog side did not rescue it. In 32 games as the dog the Warriors went 8-24 and lost 9.01 units. Home or away made no difference: 10.42 units lost at home, 9.43 on the road. Add both roles together and one unit on Golden State every night with a price was 19.85 units in the hole.

Against the spread

Thirty-four covers, 47 misses, 42.0%. The Washington Wizards and Cleveland Cavaliers were the only teams below. At home it was 17 of 40, with only Cleveland and Houston covering less often in their own building; away, 17 of 41.

The Warriors 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-10-21 at Los Angeles Lakers 119-1092025-10-23 v Denver Nuggets 137-1312025-10-24 at Portland Trail Blazers 119-1392025-10-27 v Memphis Grizzlies 131-1182025-10-28 v LA Clippers 98-792025-10-30 at Milwaukee Bucks 110-1202025-11-01 at Indiana Pacers 109-1142025-11-04 v Phoenix Suns 118-1072025-11-05 at Sacramento Kings 116-1212025-11-07 at Denver Nuggets 104-1292025-11-09 v Indiana Pacers 114-832025-11-11 at Oklahoma City Thunder 102-1262025-11-12 at San Antonio Spurs 125-1202025-11-14 at San Antonio Spurs 109-1082025-11-16 at New Orleans Pelicans 124-1062025-11-18 at Orlando Magic 113-1212025-11-19 at Miami Heat 96-1102025-11-21 v Portland Trail Blazers 123-1272025-11-24 v Utah Jazz 134-1172025-11-26 v Houston Rockets 100-1042025-11-29 v New Orleans Pelicans 104-962025-12-02 v Oklahoma City Thunder 112-1242025-12-04 at Philadelphia 76ers 98-992025-12-06 at Cleveland Cavaliers 99-942025-12-07 at Chicago Bulls 123-912025-12-12 v Minnesota Timberwolves 120-1272025-12-14 at Portland Trail Blazers 131-1362025-12-18 at Phoenix Suns 98-992025-12-20 v Phoenix Suns 119-1162025-12-22 v Orlando Magic 120-972025-12-25 v Dallas Mavericks 126-1162025-12-28 at Toronto Raptors 127-1412025-12-29 at Brooklyn Nets 120-1072025-12-31 at Charlotte Hornets 132-1252026-01-02 v Oklahoma City Thunder 94-1312026-01-03 v Utah Jazz 123-1142026-01-05 at LA Clippers 102-1032026-01-07 v Milwaukee Bucks 120-1132026-01-09 v Sacramento Kings 137-1032026-01-11 v Atlanta Hawks 111-1242026-01-13 v Portland Trail Blazers 119-972026-01-15 v New York Knicks 126-1132026-01-17 v Charlotte Hornets 136-1162026-01-19 v Miami Heat 135-1122026-01-20 v Toronto Raptors 127-1452026-01-22 at Dallas Mavericks 115-1232026-01-25 at Minnesota Timberwolves 111-852026-01-26 at Minnesota Timberwolves 83-1082026-01-28 at Utah Jazz 140-1242026-01-30 v Detroit Pistons 124-1312026-02-03 v Philadelphia 76ers 94-1132026-02-05 at Phoenix Suns 101-972026-02-07 at Los Angeles Lakers 99-1052026-02-09 v Memphis Grizzlies 114-1132026-02-11 v San Antonio Spurs 113-1262026-02-19 v Boston Celtics 110-1212026-02-22 v Denver Nuggets 128-1172026-02-24 at New Orleans Pelicans 109-1132026-02-25 at Memphis Grizzlies 133-1122026-02-28 v Los Angeles Lakers 101-1292026-03-02 v LA Clippers 101-1142026-03-05 at Houston Rockets 115-1132026-03-07 at Oklahoma City Thunder 97-1042026-03-09 at Utah Jazz 116-1192026-03-10 v Chicago Bulls 124-1302026-03-13 v Minnesota Timberwolves 117-1272026-03-15 at New York Knicks 107-1102026-03-16 at Washington Wizards 125-1172026-03-18 at Boston Celtics 99-1202026-03-20 at Detroit Pistons 101-1152026-03-21 at Atlanta Hawks 110-1262026-03-23 at Dallas Mavericks 137-1312026-03-25 v Brooklyn Nets 109-1062026-03-27 v Washington Wizards 131-1262026-03-29 at Denver Nuggets 93-1162026-04-01 v San Antonio Spurs 113-1272026-04-02 v Cleveland Cavaliers 111-1182026-04-05 v Houston Rockets 116-1172026-04-07 v Sacramento Kings 110-1052026-04-09 v Los Angeles Lakers 103-1192026-04-10 at Sacramento Kings 118-1242026-04-12 at LA Clippers 110-115Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
37-45 in 82 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

October had started 4-2 with four covers. The finish was the worst of it. March went 5-10 with five covers in 15 and 5.54 units lost; April went 1-6 and lost 5.91 more.

The over

Forty-eight overs and 34 unders, 58.5%. Only Denver Nuggets and Utah Jazz games went over more often. Of the three Warriors bets, the over was the only one that landed more often than not.

The West they met most

The Oklahoma City Thunder won all four meetings. Golden State went 1-3 against the Los Angeles Lakers, the Los Angeles Clippers, the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Portland Trail Blazers. The wins came against the Phoenix Suns, 3-1, and the Memphis Grizzlies, 3-0. The Utah Jazz lost three of four to them, yet Golden State covered only once in those games, and one of the four had no line at all.

The Warriors against the teams they played mostDenver Nuggets2-2, covered 2LA Clippers1-3, covered 1Los Angeles Lakers1-3, covered 1Minnesota Timberwolves1-3, covered 1Oklahoma City Thunder0-4, covered 1Phoenix Suns3-1, covered 2Portland Trail Blazers1-3, covered 1Sacramento Kings2-2, covered 1
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Questions and answers

How much did backing the Warriors as favorites cost in 2025-26?

10.84 units over 49 games, the biggest loss of any NBA team in that role.

How often did Golden State cover the spread?

34 times in 81 games with a line, 42.0%; only two teams covered less often.

Is the over a Warriors trend?

It was in 2025-26: 48 overs in 82, the third-highest rate in the NBA.

NBA teams