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Denver Nuggets

NBA

In 2025-26 the over landed in 51 of 82 Nuggets games, the highest rate in the NBA. When the Nuggets were underdogs they won 13 of 25 and returned 14.36 units.

The over, first

Denver scored 122.07 points a game, the most in the NBA, and allowed 116.93. Fifty-one of its 82 games went over and 31 under, 62.2%. No team’s games went over more often; the Utah Jazz were next, with 49.

The Nuggets 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-10-23 at Golden State Warriors 131-1372025-10-25 v Phoenix Suns 133-1112025-10-27 at Minnesota Timberwolves 127-1142025-10-29 v New Orleans Pelicans 122-882025-10-31 at Portland Trail Blazers 107-1092025-11-03 v Sacramento Kings 130-1242025-11-05 v Miami Heat 122-1122025-11-07 v Golden State Warriors 129-1042025-11-08 v Indiana Pacers 117-1002025-11-11 at Sacramento Kings 122-1082025-11-12 at LA Clippers 130-1162025-11-15 at Minnesota Timberwolves 123-1122025-11-17 v Chicago Bulls 127-1302025-11-19 at New Orleans Pelicans 125-1182025-11-21 at Houston Rockets 112-1092025-11-22 v Sacramento Kings 123-1282025-11-24 at Memphis Grizzlies 125-1152025-11-28 v San Antonio Spurs 136-1392025-11-29 at Phoenix Suns 130-1122025-12-01 v Dallas Mavericks 121-1312025-12-03 at Indiana Pacers 135-1202025-12-05 at Atlanta Hawks 134-1332025-12-07 at Charlotte Hornets 115-1062025-12-11 at Sacramento Kings 136-1052025-12-15 v Houston Rockets 128-1252025-12-18 v Orlando Magic 126-1152025-12-20 v Houston Rockets 101-1152025-12-22 v Utah Jazz 135-1122025-12-23 at Dallas Mavericks 130-1312025-12-25 v Minnesota Timberwolves 142-1382025-12-27 at Orlando Magic 126-1272025-12-29 at Miami Heat 123-1472025-12-31 at Toronto Raptors 106-1032026-01-02 at Cleveland Cavaliers 108-1132026-01-04 at Brooklyn Nets 115-1272026-01-05 at Philadelphia 76ers 125-1242026-01-07 at Boston Celtics 114-1102026-01-09 v Atlanta Hawks 87-1102026-01-11 v Milwaukee Bucks 108-1042026-01-13 at New Orleans Pelicans 122-1162026-01-14 at Dallas Mavericks 118-1092026-01-17 v Washington Wizards 121-1152026-01-18 v Charlotte Hornets 87-1102026-01-20 v Los Angeles Lakers 107-1152026-01-22 at Washington Wizards 107-972026-01-23 at Milwaukee Bucks 102-1002026-01-27 v Detroit Pistons 107-1092026-01-29 v Brooklyn Nets 107-1032026-01-30 v LA Clippers 122-1092026-02-01 v Oklahoma City Thunder 111-1212026-02-03 at Detroit Pistons 121-1242026-02-04 at New York Knicks 127-1342026-02-07 at Chicago Bulls 136-1202026-02-09 v Cleveland Cavaliers 117-1192026-02-11 v Memphis Grizzlies 122-1162026-02-19 at LA Clippers 114-1152026-02-20 at Portland Trail Blazers 157-1032026-02-22 at Golden State Warriors 117-1282026-02-25 v Boston Celtics 103-842026-02-27 at Oklahoma City Thunder 121-1272026-03-01 v Minnesota Timberwolves 108-1172026-03-02 at Utah Jazz 128-1252026-03-05 v Los Angeles Lakers 120-1132026-03-06 v New York Knicks 103-1422026-03-09 at Oklahoma City Thunder 126-1292026-03-11 v Houston Rockets 129-932026-03-12 at San Antonio Spurs 136-1312026-03-14 at Los Angeles Lakers 125-1272026-03-17 v Philadelphia 76ers 124-962026-03-18 at Memphis Grizzlies 118-1252026-03-20 v Toronto Raptors 121-1152026-03-22 v Portland Trail Blazers 128-1122026-03-24 at Phoenix Suns 125-1232026-03-25 v Dallas Mavericks 142-1352026-03-27 v Utah Jazz 135-1292026-03-29 v Golden State Warriors 116-932026-04-01 at Utah Jazz 130-1172026-04-04 v San Antonio Spurs 136-1342026-04-06 v Portland Trail Blazers 137-1322026-04-08 v Memphis Grizzlies 136-1192026-04-10 v Oklahoma City Thunder 127-1072026-04-12 at San Antonio Spurs 128-118Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
54-28 in 82 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Where the money was: the plus price

Denver was favored 57 times and an underdog 25. The 25 are the story: 13-12 straight up, 18 covers, 72.0%, and 14.36 units on the moneyline. Only the San Antonio Spurs made more as underdogs, and two teams beat that 72.0% cover rate.

As favorites the Nuggets went 41-16 but covered just 26 of 57, and a unit on each of those games lost 2.36. Two of those losses came at -750: 130-127 at home to the Chicago Bulls on 17 November and 125-118 at the Memphis Grizzlies on 18 March.

The Nuggets at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (41)won 28 (68.3%)covered 20 of 41 (48.8%)Away (41)won 26 (63.4%)covered 24 of 41 (58.5%)Favorite (57)won 41 (71.9%)covered 26 of 57 (45.6%)Underdog (25)won 13 (52.0%)covered 18 of 25 (72.0%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Away from Denver

Backing the Nuggets in all 41 road games made 12.85 units, the most in the NBA. In their 41 home games the same bet lost 0.86. Against the spread it ran the same way, 24 covers away and 20 at home, while the wins were close, 26-15 on the road and 28-13 at home. Over the season, every game backed, Denver returned 12.00 units, second only to the Spurs.

January carried the year: 10-6 and 11.01 units, with a 125-124 win at the Philadelphia 76ers at +575 on 5 January. February went the other way, 4-7 and 5.10 units down. April closed 6-0 and 5.57 units up.

One unit on the Nuggets to win, every game0+5+10+12.00 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 82 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The West, four times each

The Jazz lost all four to Denver, yet the Nuggets covered only one of them. Against the Spurs they went 3-1 with three covers and 4.75 units. The Oklahoma City Thunder beat them three times in four, while Denver covered three. The Houston Rockets and Minnesota Timberwolves each lost three of four to Denver, with three Nuggets covers against each.

The Nuggets against the teams they played mostDallas Mavericks2-2, covered 1Golden State Warriors2-2, covered 2Houston Rockets3-1, covered 3Memphis Grizzlies3-1, covered 1Minnesota Timberwolves3-1, covered 3Oklahoma City Thunder1-3, covered 3Portland Trail Blazers3-1, covered 2Sacramento Kings3-1, covered 2
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Questions and answers

How often did Nuggets games go over?

In 2025-26, 51 of 82 went over, 62.2%, the highest over rate in the NBA.

What did the Nuggets return as underdogs?

In 25 games as underdogs in 2025-26 they went 13-12, covered 18 and made 14.36 units on the moneyline.

How did the Nuggets do on the road for bettors?

A unit on them in each of their 41 road games made 12.85 units, the most in the league, and they covered 24.

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