The Cavaliers won 52 games in 2025-26 and covered the spread in only 33 of 82, tied with the Washington Wizards for the fewest in the NBA. At home Cleveland covered 16 of 41, the lowest home rate in the league.
Winning without covering
Cleveland went 52-30 straight up and 33-49 against the spread, a 40.2% cover rate. The Washington Wizards finished on the same rate; no team was lower.
52-30 in 82 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
At home the Cavaliers covered 16 of 41, 39.0%, last of the 30 teams. On the road it was 17 of 41. Straight up the Cavaliers were 27-14 at home and 25-16 away. The longest winning streak ran to seven games.
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
Laying the points
Cleveland was favored in 67 games, won 46 and covered 25, 37.3%. Two teams covered less often as favorites: the Indiana Pacers and the Chicago Bulls. In 15 games as underdogs they covered 8; the longest price that landed was +160, a 130-116 win at the Miami Heat on 12 November.
The three shortest prices that lost were all at home: 130-120 to the Dallas Mavericks on 15 March at -1200, 119-111 to the Charlotte Hornets at -625, and 123-112 to the Utah Jazz at -575.
One unit, every game
Backing Cleveland to win all 82 games lost 7.35 units; the favorite games alone cost 5.81. November set the tone at 9-6 with 5 covers in 15 and 2.36 units lost. December was the worst month, 7-7 and 3.64 units down. March showed the gap between winning and covering most plainly: 10-5 straight up, 4 covers in 15.
Running total over 82 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
The East
Chicago split four games with Cleveland and the Cavaliers covered none of them. The Philadelphia 76ers and Washington lost all four meetings; backing Cleveland against Philadelphia made 2.35 units. Indiana also lost four times to Cleveland, and the Cavaliers covered just one of those games.
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
The total
Forty overs and 42 unders: no lean. Cleveland scored 119.52 points a game, fourth in the NBA, and allowed 115.41.
Questions and answers
How did Cleveland fare against the spread in its own building?
Badly in 2025-26: 16 of 41 home games, 39.0%, the lowest home cover rate in the NBA.
How often did Cleveland cover as a favorite?
25 times in 67 games as the favorite, 37.3%; only two teams were lower.
What did a unit on the Cavaliers every game return in 2025-26?