Backing the Bucks as favorites in 2025-26 lost 9.17 units in 29 games, more than any NBA team except the Golden State Warriors. As underdogs Milwaukee came out close to level, 0.25 units down in 53 games.
Short prices, losing returns
Milwaukee was favored 29 times and won 14. One unit on the Bucks in each of those games lost 9.17, 31.6% of the stakes; only the Golden State Warriors lost more backing favorites. They covered 11 of the 29.
Two of those defeats came against the Washington Wizards, each time laying 10.5: 114-113 at home on 31 December at -500, and 129-126 in Washington on 1 December at -425. Washington took the season series 3-1.
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
As underdogs the Bucks went 18-35 and finished 0.25 units down. The longest prices that landed were +455 at the Oklahoma City Thunder, a 110-93 win on 12 February, and +440 at the Phoenix Suns on 21 March.
Running total over 82 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
February against March
Milwaukee’s season swung hard from month to month. It opened with October at 4-1, five covers in five games and 3.91 units up. February: 8-4, eight covers, 12.35 units up. March: 4-13, six covers, 6.84 down. November had already cost 8.98 at 5-11. Over all 82 games, one unit on Milwaukee each time lost 9.42.
32-50 in 82 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
Against the spread
The Bucks went 36-46 against the spread. On the road the Bucks covered 16 times in 41 (39.0%), level with the Indiana Pacers; only Washington and the New York Knicks covered less often on the road. At home it was 20 of 41. Straight up they were 19-22 at home and 13-28 away, and the moneyline lost 3.02 units at home against 6.41 on the road.
The Philadelphia 76ers won all four meetings and Milwaukee covered none. Indiana went the other way, 0-4 against the Bucks. The Cleveland Cavaliers won three of four, yet Milwaukee covered three times.
The total
Of the 81 games with a posted total, 42 went under and 39 over: no lean. Milwaukee scored 110.63 points a game; only the Brooklyn Nets scored fewer.
Questions and answers
Did the Bucks pay as favorites in 2025-26?
No: 14-15 in 29 games as the favorite, and 9.17 units lost.
Which month made money on Milwaukee?
February, 8-4 with eight covers and 12.35 units up; October added 3.91.
How did Milwaukee do against Philadelphia?
The 76ers won all four games and the Bucks covered none.