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Milwaukee Bucks

NBA

Backing the Bucks as favorites in 2025-26 lost 9.17 units in 29 games, more than any NBA team except the Golden State Warriors. As underdogs Milwaukee came out close to level, 0.25 units down in 53 games.

Short prices, losing returns

Milwaukee was favored 29 times and won 14. One unit on the Bucks in each of those games lost 9.17, 31.6% of the stakes; only the Golden State Warriors lost more backing favorites. They covered 11 of the 29.

Two of those defeats came against the Washington Wizards, each time laying 10.5: 114-113 at home on 31 December at -500, and 129-126 in Washington on 1 December at -425. Washington took the season series 3-1.

The Bucks at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (41)won 19 (46.3%)covered 20 of 41 (48.8%)Away (41)won 13 (31.7%)covered 16 of 41 (39.0%)Favorite (29)won 14 (48.3%)covered 11 of 29 (37.9%)Underdog (53)won 18 (34.0%)covered 25 of 53 (47.2%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

As underdogs the Bucks went 18-35 and finished 0.25 units down. The longest prices that landed were +455 at the Oklahoma City Thunder, a 110-93 win on 12 February, and +440 at the Phoenix Suns on 21 March.

One unit on the Bucks to win, every game0-10-5-9.42 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 82 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

February against March

Milwaukee’s season swung hard from month to month. It opened with October at 4-1, five covers in five games and 3.91 units up. February: 8-4, eight covers, 12.35 units up. March: 4-13, six covers, 6.84 down. November had already cost 8.98 at 5-11. Over all 82 games, one unit on Milwaukee each time lost 9.42.

The Bucks 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-10-22 v Washington Wizards 133-1202025-10-24 at Toronto Raptors 122-1162025-10-26 at Cleveland Cavaliers 113-1182025-10-28 v New York Knicks 121-1112025-10-30 v Golden State Warriors 120-1102025-11-01 v Sacramento Kings 133-1352025-11-03 at Indiana Pacers 117-1152025-11-04 at Toronto Raptors 100-1282025-11-07 v Chicago Bulls 126-1102025-11-09 v Houston Rockets 115-1222025-11-10 at Dallas Mavericks 116-1142025-11-12 at Charlotte Hornets 100-1112025-11-14 v Charlotte Hornets 147-1342025-11-15 v Los Angeles Lakers 95-1192025-11-17 at Cleveland Cavaliers 106-1182025-11-20 v Philadelphia 76ers 114-1232025-11-22 v Detroit Pistons 116-1292025-11-24 v Portland Trail Blazers 103-1152025-11-26 at Miami Heat 103-1062025-11-28 at New York Knicks 109-1182025-11-29 v Brooklyn Nets 116-992025-12-01 at Washington Wizards 126-1292025-12-03 v Detroit Pistons 113-1092025-12-05 v Philadelphia 76ers 101-1162025-12-06 at Detroit Pistons 112-1242025-12-11 v Boston Celtics 116-1012025-12-14 at Brooklyn Nets 82-1272025-12-18 v Toronto Raptors 105-1112025-12-21 at Minnesota Timberwolves 100-1032025-12-23 at Indiana Pacers 111-942025-12-26 at Memphis Grizzlies 104-1252025-12-27 at Chicago Bulls 112-1032025-12-29 at Charlotte Hornets 123-1132025-12-31 v Washington Wizards 113-1142026-01-02 v Charlotte Hornets 122-1212026-01-04 at Sacramento Kings 115-982026-01-07 at Golden State Warriors 113-1202026-01-09 at Los Angeles Lakers 105-1012026-01-11 at Denver Nuggets 104-1082026-01-13 v Minnesota Timberwolves 106-1392026-01-15 at San Antonio Spurs 101-1192026-01-19 at Atlanta Hawks 112-1102026-01-21 v Oklahoma City Thunder 102-1222026-01-23 v Denver Nuggets 100-1022026-01-27 at Philadelphia 76ers 122-1392026-01-29 at Washington Wizards 99-1092026-02-01 at Boston Celtics 79-1072026-02-03 v Chicago Bulls 131-1152026-02-04 v New Orleans Pelicans 141-1372026-02-06 v Indiana Pacers 105-992026-02-09 at Orlando Magic 99-1182026-02-11 at Orlando Magic 116-1082026-02-12 at Oklahoma City Thunder 110-932026-02-20 at New Orleans Pelicans 139-1182026-02-22 v Toronto Raptors 94-1222026-02-24 v Miami Heat 128-1172026-02-25 v Cleveland Cavaliers 118-1162026-02-27 v New York Knicks 98-1272026-03-01 at Chicago Bulls 97-1202026-03-02 v Boston Celtics 81-1082026-03-04 v Atlanta Hawks 113-1312026-03-07 v Utah Jazz 113-992026-03-08 v Orlando Magic 91-1302026-03-10 v Phoenix Suns 114-1292026-03-12 at Miami Heat 105-1122026-03-14 at Atlanta Hawks 99-1222026-03-15 v Indiana Pacers 134-1232026-03-17 v Cleveland Cavaliers 116-1232026-03-19 at Utah Jazz 96-1282026-03-21 at Phoenix Suns 108-1052026-03-23 at LA Clippers 96-1292026-03-25 at Portland Trail Blazers 99-1302026-03-28 v San Antonio Spurs 95-1272026-03-29 v LA Clippers 113-1272026-03-31 v Dallas Mavericks 123-992026-04-01 at Houston Rockets 113-1192026-04-03 v Boston Celtics 101-1332026-04-05 v Memphis Grizzlies 131-1152026-04-07 at Brooklyn Nets 90-962026-04-08 at Detroit Pistons 111-1372026-04-10 v Brooklyn Nets 125-1082026-04-12 at Philadelphia 76ers 106-126Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
32-50 in 82 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Against the spread

The Bucks went 36-46 against the spread. On the road the Bucks covered 16 times in 41 (39.0%), level with the Indiana Pacers; only Washington and the New York Knicks covered less often on the road. At home it was 20 of 41. Straight up they were 19-22 at home and 13-28 away, and the moneyline lost 3.02 units at home against 6.41 on the road.

The Philadelphia 76ers won all four meetings and Milwaukee covered none. Indiana went the other way, 0-4 against the Bucks. The Cleveland Cavaliers won three of four, yet Milwaukee covered three times.

The total

Of the 81 games with a posted total, 42 went under and 39 over: no lean. Milwaukee scored 110.63 points a game; only the Brooklyn Nets scored fewer.

Questions and answers

Did the Bucks pay as favorites in 2025-26?

No: 14-15 in 29 games as the favorite, and 9.17 units lost.

Which month made money on Milwaukee?

February, 8-4 with eight covers and 12.35 units up; October added 3.91.

How did Milwaukee do against Philadelphia?

The 76ers won all four games and the Bucks covered none.