The Magic covered 10 of 14 games in November 2025 and 3 of 14 in December, the swing that shaped their 2025-26 against the spread. Orlando Magic predictions for each game sit above; the months, the matchups and the total are below.
November, then December
Orlando went 45-37 and covered 38 of 82, 46.3%. Eighteen NBA teams covered more often and the Chicago Bulls matched it. Most of the story sits in two months.
45-37 in 82 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
November: 10-4, ten covers and 3.6 units won, including road wins at the New York Knicks, 124-107 at +155, and at the Detroit Pistons, 112-109 at +136. December: 7-7, three covers. Four of those seven wins came as favorites and fell short of the number: by five against Chicago laying 9.5, by one against the Miami Heat laying 6.5, by one at the Utah Jazz laying 7.5, and by two at the Indiana Pacers laying 4.5.
Laying the price
Favored 51 times, the Magic went 34-17 and covered 22, 43.1%; 21 teams covered more often as favorites. Their moneyline as favorite lost 2.61 units. The two shortest-priced defeats: 113-108 at the Boston Celtics at -750 on 12 April, and 128-126 at home to Indiana at -535. As underdogs they were 11-20, covered 16 of 31, and lost 3.81 units on the moneyline. Across all 82 priced games, the blind unit finished 6.42 down.
Running total over 82 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
Hawks and Heat
Two Eastern opponents went opposite ways. The Atlanta Hawks won all four meetings and Orlando covered none, a clean 4 units lost. Miami lost all five, NBA Cup quarterfinal included, with three Magic covers and 4.37 units won. Boston and the Charlotte Hornets each took three of four, with one Orlando cover apiece.
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
Home, road and neutral floors
Home covers ran 19 of 40 and road covers 18 of 39, with no split worth a bet. Three games were on neutral floors: a win and a loss against the Memphis Grizzlies in Berlin and London in January, and the NBA Cup semifinal, lost 132-120 to the Knicks.
The total
Forty-four overs and 38 unders, 53.7%. Five teams went over more often, and the Oklahoma City Thunder at the same rate. Not a rank that carries a Magic total by itself.
Questions and answers
How did the Magic do against the spread in December 2025?
Badly: 3 covers in 14 games, after 10 in 14 in November.
What is the Magic’s record against the Hawks?
0-4 in 2025-26, and Orlando failed to cover all four times.
Is there an over lean in Magic games?
A slight one: 44 of 82 went over in 2025-26, 53.7%.