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Los Angeles Lakers

NBA

As moneyline favorites in 2025-26 the Lakers made 4.84 units, second in the NBA, and they went 15-2 in March. Oklahoma City beat them all four times, and the Lakers covered none of the four.

A favorite that held its price

The Lakers were favored 49 times. They won 38 of those, covered 30, 61.2%, and a unit on each made 4.84 units; only the Philadelphia 76ers made more as favorites. Given points, they went 15-18 and covered 15 of 33.

Across all 82 games: 53-29, 45 covers, 54.9%, with five teams covering more often. Backing them to win every night returned 6.96 units.

The Lakers at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (41)won 28 (68.3%)covered 24 of 41 (58.5%)Away (41)won 25 (61.0%)covered 21 of 41 (51.2%)Favorite (49)won 38 (77.6%)covered 30 of 49 (61.2%)Underdog (33)won 15 (45.5%)covered 15 of 33 (45.5%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Their home cover rate was 58.5%, 24 of 41; four teams did better at home and the Indiana Pacers matched it. On the road they covered 21 of 41.

The season had a shape

November went 11-2 and made 5.14 units, including the longest price they cashed all season, +300 in a 123-115 win at the Portland Trail Blazers on 3 November. December through February then ran 20-20 and gave back 8.42; inside it sat a 132-119 home loss to the Spurs at -285 on 10 December and a 124-112 loss at the Sacramento Kings at -360 on 12 January. March was the run to know about: 15-2, 12 covers in 17, and 7.67 units.

One unit on the Lakers to win, every game0+2+4+6+8+6.96 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 82 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Oklahoma City, and the rest of the West

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Lakers in all four meetings and Los Angeles covered none: 4 units lost backing the Lakers. The San Antonio Spurs won three of four. Two Western teams went the other way, 4-0 to the Lakers: the New Orleans Pelicans, with three Lakers covers, and the Utah Jazz, with two. The Minnesota Timberwolves lost all three meetings and the Lakers covered each, 4.65 units. The Memphis Grizzlies did the same, 0-3 with three Lakers covers, and the Golden State Warriors lost three of four. The Phoenix Suns were met five times and won three.

The Lakers against the teams they played mostPhoenix Suns2-3, covered 2Dallas Mavericks3-1, covered 2Golden State Warriors3-1, covered 3LA Clippers2-2, covered 1New Orleans Pelicans4-0, covered 3Oklahoma City Thunder0-4, covered 0Sacramento Kings3-1, covered 3San Antonio Spurs1-3, covered 1
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The total

Lakers games landed 41 over, 41 under. No side of the total stood out.

Questions and answers

Do the Lakers cover when they are favored?

In 2025-26 they covered 30 of 49 games as favorites, 61.2%.

How did the Lakers do against the Thunder?

They lost all four regular-season meetings in 2025-26 and covered none.

Were the Lakers profitable on the moneyline in 2025-26?

Yes: a unit on every game made 6.96 units, 4.84 of it in games they were favored.