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Memphis Grizzlies

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The Grizzlies were underdogs 63 times in 2025-26 and won 13; backing them in all of those games cost 25.52 units. On the 19 nights the Memphis Grizzlies were favored they went 12-7 and finished 0.65 units up.

The long price did not pay

A 25-57 season, and one unit on Memphis to win every game lost 24.87. Only the Indiana Pacers and New Orleans Pelicans lost more that way. The underdog games account for all of it and more.

One unit on the Grizzlies to win, every game0-20-15-10-5-24.87 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 82 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Away from Memphis it was worse: 11-29 and 15.64 units lost, with only New Orleans doing worse on the road. At home they went 13-27 and lost 9.43. The two games against Orlando, in Berlin and London, sit in neither column. The best night was a +525 home win over Denver, 125-118. The worst came against Washington: a 130-122 home defeat at -600, then a 116-112 loss in Washington at -290 eight days later.

The spread was kinder

Thirty-seven covers, 45 misses. January had gone 3-11 and cost 7.42 units. The gap between winning and covering grew late: March was 3-14 straight up with 9 covers in 17. April went 0-7 with two covers.

The Grizzlies 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-10-22 v New Orleans Pelicans 128-1222025-10-24 v Miami Heat 114-1462025-10-25 v Indiana Pacers 128-1032025-10-27 at Golden State Warriors 118-1312025-10-29 at Phoenix Suns 114-1132025-10-31 v Los Angeles Lakers 112-1172025-11-02 at Toronto Raptors 104-1172025-11-03 v Detroit Pistons 106-1142025-11-05 v Houston Rockets 109-1242025-11-07 v Dallas Mavericks 118-1042025-11-09 v Oklahoma City Thunder 100-1142025-11-11 at New York Knicks 120-1332025-11-12 at Boston Celtics 95-1312025-11-15 at Cleveland Cavaliers 100-1082025-11-18 at San Antonio Spurs 101-1112025-11-20 v Sacramento Kings 137-962025-11-22 at Dallas Mavericks 102-962025-11-24 v Denver Nuggets 115-1252025-11-26 at New Orleans Pelicans 133-1282025-11-28 at LA Clippers 112-1072025-11-30 at Sacramento Kings 115-1072025-12-02 at San Antonio Spurs 119-1262025-12-05 v LA Clippers 107-982025-12-07 v Portland Trail Blazers 119-962025-12-12 v Utah Jazz 126-1302025-12-15 at LA Clippers 121-1032025-12-17 at Minnesota Timberwolves 116-1102025-12-20 v Washington Wizards 122-1302025-12-22 at Oklahoma City Thunder 103-1192025-12-23 at Utah Jazz 137-1282025-12-26 v Milwaukee Bucks 125-1042025-12-28 at Washington Wizards 112-1162025-12-30 v Philadelphia 76ers 136-1392026-01-02 at Los Angeles Lakers 121-1282026-01-04 at Los Angeles Lakers 114-1202026-01-06 v San Antonio Spurs 106-1052026-01-07 v Phoenix Suns 98-1172026-01-09 v Oklahoma City Thunder 116-1172026-01-11 v Brooklyn Nets 103-982026-01-15 v Orlando Magic 111-1182026-01-18 v Orlando Magic 126-1092026-01-21 v Atlanta Hawks 122-1242026-01-23 v New Orleans Pelicans 127-1332026-01-26 at Houston Rockets 99-1082026-01-28 v Charlotte Hornets 97-1122026-01-30 at New Orleans Pelicans 106-1142026-01-31 v Minnesota Timberwolves 114-1312026-02-02 v Minnesota Timberwolves 137-1282026-02-04 at Sacramento Kings 129-1252026-02-06 at Portland Trail Blazers 115-1352026-02-07 at Portland Trail Blazers 115-1222026-02-09 at Golden State Warriors 113-1142026-02-11 at Denver Nuggets 116-1222026-02-20 v Utah Jazz 123-1142026-02-21 at Miami Heat 120-1362026-02-23 v Sacramento Kings 114-1232026-02-25 v Golden State Warriors 112-1332026-02-27 at Dallas Mavericks 124-1052026-03-01 at Indiana Pacers 125-1062026-03-03 at Minnesota Timberwolves 110-1172026-03-04 v Portland Trail Blazers 114-1222026-03-07 v LA Clippers 120-1232026-03-09 at Brooklyn Nets 115-1262026-03-10 at Philadelphia 76ers 129-1392026-03-12 v Dallas Mavericks 112-1202026-03-13 at Detroit Pistons 110-1262026-03-16 at Chicago Bulls 107-1322026-03-18 v Denver Nuggets 125-1182026-03-20 v Boston Celtics 112-1172026-03-21 at Charlotte Hornets 101-1242026-03-23 at Atlanta Hawks 107-1462026-03-25 v San Antonio Spurs 98-1232026-03-27 v Houston Rockets 109-1192026-03-28 v Chicago Bulls 125-1242026-03-30 v Phoenix Suns 105-1312026-04-01 v New York Knicks 119-1302026-04-03 v Toronto Raptors 96-1282026-04-05 at Milwaukee Bucks 115-1312026-04-06 v Cleveland Cavaliers 126-1422026-04-08 at Denver Nuggets 119-1362026-04-10 at Utah Jazz 101-1472026-04-12 at Houston Rockets 101-132Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
25-57 in 82 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

As favorites the Grizzlies covered 10 of 19; as underdogs, 27 of 63.

Who they met most

Four games against the Los Angeles Clippers: three wins, four covers, 4.09 units. The Denver Nuggets won three of four but Memphis covered three. The Houston Rockets swept all four, and Golden State, the Lakers and Oklahoma City each beat Memphis in all three of their meetings. The Dallas Mavericks were the opponent to back them against: 3-1, three covers, 2.08 units.

The Grizzlies against the teams they played mostDallas Mavericks3-1, covered 3Denver Nuggets1-3, covered 3Houston Rockets0-4, covered 2LA Clippers3-1, covered 4Minnesota Timberwolves2-2, covered 3New Orleans Pelicans2-2, covered 2Portland Trail Blazers1-3, covered 3Sacramento Kings3-1, covered 3
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The total

Forty-three overs, 39 unders. Memphis gave up 120.68 a game, fifth-most in the league, and the overs still led by only four. The months swung hard: 11 unders in 15 in November, then 8 overs in 11 in February and 6 in 7 in April.

Questions and answers

How did the Grizzlies do as underdogs in 2025-26?

13-50, covering 27 of 63, and 25.52 units lost backing them to win.

Were the Grizzlies worth backing as favorites?

In 19 games they went 12-7, covered 10 and returned 0.65 units.

How did Memphis finish the 2025-26 season?

3-14 in March and 0-7 in April, with 11 covers in those 24 games.

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