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Cleveland Cavaliers

NBA

The Cavaliers won 52 games in 2025-26 and covered the spread in only 33 of 82, tied with the Washington Wizards for the fewest in the NBA. At home Cleveland covered 16 of 41, the lowest home rate in the league.

Winning without covering

Cleveland went 52-30 straight up and 33-49 against the spread, a 40.2% cover rate. The Washington Wizards finished on the same rate; no team was lower.

The Cavaliers 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-10-22 at New York Knicks 111-1192025-10-24 at Brooklyn Nets 131-1242025-10-26 v Milwaukee Bucks 118-1132025-10-27 at Detroit Pistons 116-952025-10-29 at Boston Celtics 105-1252025-10-31 v Toronto Raptors 101-1122025-11-02 v Atlanta Hawks 117-1092025-11-05 v Philadelphia 76ers 132-1212025-11-07 at Washington Wizards 148-1152025-11-08 v Chicago Bulls 128-1222025-11-10 at Miami Heat 138-1402025-11-12 at Miami Heat 130-1162025-11-13 v Toronto Raptors 113-1262025-11-15 v Memphis Grizzlies 108-1002025-11-17 v Milwaukee Bucks 118-1062025-11-19 v Houston Rockets 104-1142025-11-21 v Indiana Pacers 120-1092025-11-23 v LA Clippers 120-1052025-11-24 at Toronto Raptors 99-1102025-11-28 at Atlanta Hawks 123-1302025-11-30 v Boston Celtics 115-1172025-12-01 at Indiana Pacers 135-1192025-12-03 v Portland Trail Blazers 110-1222025-12-05 v San Antonio Spurs 130-1172025-12-06 v Golden State Warriors 94-992025-12-12 at Washington Wizards 130-1262025-12-14 v Charlotte Hornets 111-1192025-12-17 at Chicago Bulls 111-1272025-12-19 v Chicago Bulls 125-1362025-12-22 v Charlotte Hornets 139-1322025-12-23 v New Orleans Pelicans 141-1182025-12-25 at New York Knicks 124-1262025-12-27 at Houston Rockets 100-1172025-12-29 at San Antonio Spurs 113-1012025-12-31 v Phoenix Suns 129-1132026-01-02 v Denver Nuggets 113-1082026-01-04 v Detroit Pistons 110-1142026-01-06 at Indiana Pacers 120-1162026-01-08 at Minnesota Timberwolves 122-1312026-01-10 v Minnesota Timberwolves 146-1342026-01-12 v Utah Jazz 112-1232026-01-14 at Philadelphia 76ers 133-1072026-01-16 at Philadelphia 76ers 117-1152026-01-19 v Oklahoma City Thunder 104-1362026-01-21 at Charlotte Hornets 94-872026-01-23 v Sacramento Kings 123-1182026-01-24 at Orlando Magic 119-1052026-01-26 v Orlando Magic 114-982026-01-28 v Los Angeles Lakers 129-992026-01-30 at Phoenix Suns 113-1262026-02-01 at Portland Trail Blazers 130-1112026-02-04 at LA Clippers 124-912026-02-07 at Sacramento Kings 132-1262026-02-09 at Denver Nuggets 119-1172026-02-11 v Washington Wizards 138-1132026-02-19 v Brooklyn Nets 112-842026-02-20 at Charlotte Hornets 118-1132026-02-22 at Oklahoma City Thunder 113-1212026-02-24 v New York Knicks 109-942026-02-25 at Milwaukee Bucks 116-1182026-02-27 at Detroit Pistons 119-1222026-03-01 at Brooklyn Nets 106-1022026-03-03 v Detroit Pistons 113-1092026-03-08 v Boston Celtics 98-1092026-03-09 v Philadelphia 76ers 115-1012026-03-11 at Orlando Magic 122-1282026-03-13 at Dallas Mavericks 138-1052026-03-15 v Dallas Mavericks 120-1302026-03-17 at Milwaukee Bucks 123-1162026-03-19 at Chicago Bulls 115-1102026-03-21 at New Orleans Pelicans 111-1062026-03-24 v Orlando Magic 136-1312026-03-25 v Miami Heat 103-1202026-03-27 v Miami Heat 149-1282026-03-30 at Utah Jazz 122-1132026-03-31 at Los Angeles Lakers 113-1272026-04-02 at Golden State Warriors 118-1112026-04-05 v Indiana Pacers 117-1082026-04-06 at Memphis Grizzlies 142-1262026-04-08 v Atlanta Hawks 122-1162026-04-10 at Atlanta Hawks 102-1242026-04-12 v Washington Wizards 130-117Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
52-30 in 82 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

At home the Cavaliers covered 16 of 41, 39.0%, last of the 30 teams. On the road it was 17 of 41. Straight up the Cavaliers were 27-14 at home and 25-16 away. The longest winning streak ran to seven games.

The Cavaliers at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (41)won 27 (65.9%)covered 16 of 41 (39.0%)Away (41)won 25 (61.0%)covered 17 of 41 (41.5%)Favorite (67)won 46 (68.7%)covered 25 of 67 (37.3%)Underdog (15)won 6 (40.0%)covered 8 of 15 (53.3%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Laying the points

Cleveland was favored in 67 games, won 46 and covered 25, 37.3%. Two teams covered less often as favorites: the Indiana Pacers and the Chicago Bulls. In 15 games as underdogs they covered 8; the longest price that landed was +160, a 130-116 win at the Miami Heat on 12 November.

The three shortest prices that lost were all at home: 130-120 to the Dallas Mavericks on 15 March at -1200, 119-111 to the Charlotte Hornets at -625, and 123-112 to the Utah Jazz at -575.

One unit, every game

Backing Cleveland to win all 82 games lost 7.35 units; the favorite games alone cost 5.81. November set the tone at 9-6 with 5 covers in 15 and 2.36 units lost. December was the worst month, 7-7 and 3.64 units down. March showed the gap between winning and covering most plainly: 10-5 straight up, 4 covers in 15.

One unit on the Cavaliers to win, every game0-8-6-4-2-7.35 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 82 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The East

Chicago split four games with Cleveland and the Cavaliers covered none of them. The Philadelphia 76ers and Washington lost all four meetings; backing Cleveland against Philadelphia made 2.35 units. Indiana also lost four times to Cleveland, and the Cavaliers covered just one of those games.

The Cavaliers against the teams they played mostAtlanta Hawks2-2, covered 2Charlotte Hornets3-1, covered 1Chicago Bulls2-2, covered 0Detroit Pistons2-2, covered 3Indiana Pacers4-0, covered 1Miami Heat2-2, covered 2Milwaukee Bucks3-1, covered 1Orlando Magic3-1, covered 2
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The total

Forty overs and 42 unders: no lean. Cleveland scored 119.52 points a game, fourth in the NBA, and allowed 115.41.

Questions and answers

How did Cleveland fare against the spread in its own building?

Badly in 2025-26: 16 of 41 home games, 39.0%, the lowest home cover rate in the NBA.

How often did Cleveland cover as a favorite?

25 times in 67 games as the favorite, 37.3%; only two teams were lower.

What did a unit on the Cavaliers every game return in 2025-26?

A loss of 7.35 units, on a 52-30 record.