Miami Dolphins

Backing the Dolphins at home in 2025 returned 2.42 units on the moneyline; backing them on the road lost 2.62. Our Dolphins predictions start from that split and from three underdog wins at +215 or longer, with the Miami Dolphins odds for every game.

A 2-7 start, a 5-3 finish

Miami went 7-10 in the 2025 regular season. The first nine games went 2-7. The last eight went 5-3, and November was the turn: three games, three wins, 4.34 units on the moneyline.

Against the spread they were even, eight covers and eight misses, with one game, the November 30 win over the Saints, carrying no line.

Where they played

At home Miami was 4-4 and covered four of the seven lined games; only seven teams covered more often at home, one the same. On the road it was 2-6, three covers in eight. The one neutral-site game was a 16-13 win over the Commanders in Madrid.

They were underdogs 11 times, won three and covered five. As favorites, 3-2 with three covers.

The price on Miami

Sixteen games had a moneyline, and one unit on the Dolphins in each came out 0.53 units up. Thirteen teams did better. Three upsets carried it: 30-13 over the Bills at home at +360, 34-10 in Atlanta at +270, and 20-17 over the Buccaneers at home at +215.

The road took back more than the home games made: eight away games returned 2.62 units down.

The AFC East

Against the Buffalo Bills, a split and two covers: a 31-21 loss in Buffalo while getting 11.5, then the 30-13 home win. Both games against the New York Jets won and covered. Both against the New England Patriots lost, neither covered, the second 38-10 on the final weekend.

The total

Dolphins games went over 10 times and under seven. Seven NFL teams had a higher over rate and five matched it: a mild lean toward the over, no more.

Questions and answers