The Wild made 9.59 units as underdogs in 2025-26 and lost 4.47 as favorites, and the gap was widest on home ice: 8-2 as home underdogs, 15-16 as home favorites. Minnesota was a bet to take when the market doubted it.
The price decided it
Minnesota went 46-36, favored 48 times and an underdog 34. At a plus price the Wild went 20-14 and returned 9.59 units; only San Jose, Montreal, the Islanders, Buffalo and St. Louis made more that way. Favored, they went 26-22 and lost 4.47, covering the puck line 14 times in 47. Across the season a unit a game finished 5.13 up.
Running total over 82 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
Home favorites who lost more than they won
As home favorites the Wild went 15-16, covered 10 of 31 puck lines and lost 6.55 units. As home underdogs they went 8-2 for 8.04. On the road both roles paid: 12-12 as underdogs for 1.55 units, 11-6 as favorites for 2.08. All three of their shortest-priced losses came on home ice: 4-2 to Toronto at -265, 3-1 to St. Louis at -230, 3-2 in a shootout to Philadelphia at -225.
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
October to November, a swing of more than 13 units
They opened 3-9 and 5.6 units down in October, then went 11-3 in November for 7.97. March took 3.04 back at 6-8. Goals against held at 2.93 a game; only Colorado, Dallas and Tampa Bay allowed fewer, and Carolina and Utah matched it. Twenty-seven games went past regulation, 18 into overtime and nine to a shootout.
46-36 in 82 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
Sweeps both ways
Anaheim, Edmonton and Vegas each lost all three meetings, and the Wild covered all nine, a combined 8.92 units. San Jose won all three of its meetings with Minnesota, a three-unit loss. Nashville split four games, yet Minnesota covered none of the four puck lines.
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
The total
Forty-five over, 37 under; seven NHL teams went over more often, so the total held no lean.
Questions and answers
Should we back the Wild as underdogs?
In 2025-26 that paid 9.59 units on a 20-14 record, sixth-best in the NHL.
How did the Wild do as home favorites?
15-16 in 2025-26, with 10 puck-line covers in 31 and 6.55 units lost.