Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Picks and Predictions May 6th 2025

Series Snapshot

The Mets and Diamondbacks meet for the fifth time in eight days, having split the first four games in Phoenix. New York aims to press its 5–4 comeback from Monday, while Arizona seeks to reclaim momentum behind its home-grown arms.

Defensive Drama

Francisco Lindor’s sprawling tag on Alek Thomas in the ninth inning preserved Monday’s win, highlighting a defense that pairs highlight-reel plays with reliable fundamentals. That agility at the hot corner could prove pivotal again against Arizona’s aggressive baserunners.

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Pitching Matchup

Zac Gallen (2–4, 4.93 ERA) delivers a sharp slider and has struck out eight over six innings in his last start versus New York, owning a 3.41 career ERA in eight meetings. Opposite him, David Peterson (2–1, 3.06 ERA) looks for his third straight win after allowing one run over five frames in his last outing, hoping his changeup keeps the D-backs off-balance.

Offense Focus

Pete Alonso’s .349 average and 1.143 OPS have fueled New York’s lineup, while Juan Soto’s power and Francisco Alvarez’s on-base skills round out a deep order. Arizona counters with Alek Thomas’s speed atop the lineup and Ketel Marte’s disciplined approach to set the table for Eduardo Escobar’s pop.

Wagering Window

With two pitchers who thrive on weak contact, the early under on total runs carries value before bullpens enter. For deeper angles and player props, check out our MLB Picks Today.

Scoreline Forecast

Expect a low-scoring duel through six innings before New York’s lineup depth and late-game swagger carry them past Arizona.