Week 9 of the 2025–26 NFL season kicks off with a Thursday night meeting in Miami and rolls into a full Sunday slate capped by prime-time showcases.

It should still be a festive week for football fans and anyone who wants to bet on NFL games, as we are now at the mid-season point. Teams typically are who they say they are at this stage of the year, which should help us place some winning bets, and also nudge us in the right direction when betting on the Super Bowl.

A few marquee NFL teams are back from byes, and several coin-flip spreads should keep NFL bettors busy. The late-window features multiple heavyweight showdowns before we head to Sunday Night Football and close it out on Monday Night Football.

There is no NFL International Game in Week 9. With that out of the way, let’s dive into the Week 9 board and get our early NFL odds and early Week 9 picks in before numbers shift.

NFL Week 9 Schedule

NFL Week 9 Odds

The NFL odds for week nine look pretty good on paper. We have several marquee matchups, with a huge NFC North clash between the Vikings and Lions being one of the more intense battles of the week.

A first look at the Week 9 NFL odds show several short spreads and a couple of notable favorites at home, creating a healthy mix of chalk and live NFL underdogs. Books have tightened up heading into November, so information matters. Keep an eye on injury reports and late-week line movement.

If you’re shopping for the best number, compare across top sports betting sites and be ready to pounce when a rogue price pops. Expect the public to gravitate toward NFL underdog picks like Miami on Thursday and Buffalo in the late window, while sharper money may hunt value on road dogs in the early games.

I’ll take a look at the history of each week 9 and work my way to my preferred pick for each contest. Want extra help with your Week 9 NFL picks? Check out what the best handicappers have to offer before finalizing your wagers.

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NFL Week 9 Predictions

Let’s take a look at the full slate of NFL Week 9 matchups and make our NFL picks for each game.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Miami Dolphins Odds

The Baltimore Ravens travel to Miami for a Thursday night clash that suddenly feels meaningful again. Lamar Jackson is expected to return after missing several games with a hamstring injury, giving Baltimore a major boost to an offense that’s been inconsistent without him. Despite being on the road, Baltimore enters as a heavy favorite, largely thanks to a defense that ranks among the top five in QB pressure rate and yards allowed per play. The Miami Dolphins, meanwhile, are looking to prove their 34–10 win over Atlanta wasn’t a fluke after a rough start to the season.

The Miami offense found some rhythm last week, scoring 34 points and putting together its best passing performance of the year. Tua Tagovailoa threw for four touchdowns despite averaging under 8.0 yards per attempt, leaning heavily on quick reads and short-area precision to stay ahead of schedule. That approach could serve him well here against a Ravens front that likes to blitz and disguise coverage but can be beaten by timing-based passing. The Dolphins have averaged 27 points per game at home, and that balance will be crucial against a physical Baltimore defense.

On the other side, the Ravens just handled Chicago 30–16 with Tyler Huntley under center, leaning on Derrick Henry for two touchdowns and nearly 180 team rushing yards. With Lamar back, that rushing threat becomes even more dangerous. Miami’s run defense ranks near the bottom of the league in yards per carry and red-zone efficiency, which could spell trouble once Baltimore establishes tempo. Look for offensive coordinator Todd Monken to mix designed QB runs and play-action rollouts to exploit Miami’s linebackers, who’ve struggled with coverage discipline all season.

Defensively, Baltimore’s biggest vulnerability has been explosive plays downfield. They’ve allowed 37 or more points three times this year, and that remains the one crack in their otherwise elite profile. If the Dolphins can create a few chunk gains early — particularly with Jaylen Waddle or De’Von Achane on the edges — they can keep this one competitive into the fourth quarter. However, the Ravens’ depth and balance make them a tough matchup for a Miami team still figuring out its identity. Expect a competitive first half before Baltimore’s physicality takes over late.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Miami Dolphins Predictions

Spread: Dolphins +7.5 (-112)
Miami’s spacing and quick-passing attack should help keep this within a touchdown, even if Baltimore controls time of possession.

Total: Under 50.5 (-110)
Both teams can score, but Thursday night games often lean lower, and both defenses stiffen in the red zone.

Moneyline: Ravens ML (-395)
Lamar Jackson’s return lifts Baltimore enough to secure a controlled win, even if Miami hangs around longer than expected.

Bet: Ravens ML (-395), Dolphins +7.5 (-112), Under 50.5 (-110)

Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions Odds

The Detroit Lions return from their bye week at 5–2, looking refreshed and ready to continue their NFC North dominance. Detroit’s 24–9 Monday night win over Tampa Bay showed how dangerous they can be when their defense sets the tone — holding Baker Mayfield to 4.6 yards per attempt while generating four sacks. Jared Goff remains steady, operating the offense through a balanced run game behind Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery. Both backs are healthy and form one of the most explosive backfield duos in football, allowing Detroit to dictate tempo and wear down opposing fronts.

The Minnesota Vikings, meanwhile, head into this divisional matchup with uncertainty under center. Carson Wentz’s season-ending shoulder surgery means rookie J.J. McCarthy is expected to start for the first time since Week 3. McCarthy’s mobility and arm strength give Minnesota a different dimension than Wentz, but his lack of experience will be tested immediately by Detroit’s pass rush, which ranks top five in sacks per game. The Vikings’ offensive line has struggled to hold up against pressure, and their 37–10 loss to the Chargers before the bye only highlighted those protection issues.

For the Vikings to keep this competitive, they’ll need to find quick rhythm throws to Justin Jefferson and T.J. Hockenson — both capable of converting short gains into chunk plays. Minnesota’s run game continues to be nearly nonexistent, averaging just 3.1 yards per carry in their last outing. That puts even more pressure on McCarthy to deliver through the air against a defense that thrives on forcing long third downs. Detroit’s secondary, anchored by improved play at corner and safety, has held opponents under 200 passing yards in three of its last four contests.

Defensively, Minnesota’s front has been up and down but should at least make Goff work through longer drives. The Vikings’ best hope lies in limiting early-down success and keeping Detroit behind the chains. However, that’s easier said than done against a Lions offense that converts over 45% of its third downs and ranks near the top of the league in red-zone efficiency. If Gibbs and Montgomery find traction early, this could turn into another long day for Minnesota’s defense. Detroit’s physicality and depth — especially coming off a bye — make them a tough out at home.

Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions Predictions

Spread: Vikings +8.5 (-110)
Minnesota’s defense has quietly tightened up in recent weeks, and McCarthy’s mobility gives them enough juice to hang inside the number.

Total: Under 47.5 (-110)
Detroit’s run-heavy style and Minnesota’s conservative play-calling should keep the pace slower than expected.

Moneyline: Lions ML (-470)
Detroit’s rest advantage and dominant lines of scrimmage should carry them through comfortably, even if Minnesota makes a few plays late.

Bet: Lions ML (-470), Vikings +8.5 (-110), Under 47.5 (-110)

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Tennessee Titans Odds

The Los Angeles Chargers travel to Nashville to face a Tennessee Titans team looking for stability after a rough 1–7 start. Los Angeles is coming off its most complete performance of the season — a 37–10 rout over Minnesota — where Justin Herbert tossed three touchdowns and the offense racked up over 400 total yards. Rookie back Kimani Vidal set the tone with 117 rushing yards, finally giving L.A. the balanced attack it’s been searching for. When the Chargers run efficiently, Herbert becomes lethal on play action, and this matchup could offer more of the same against a Tennessee defense that has struggled to limit explosive plays.

The Titans’ season hit another low last week in a 38–14 loss to the Colts, but the offense showed a few signs of life despite the lopsided score. Rookie quarterback Cam Ward threw for 259 yards and a touchdown, connecting often with Chimere Dike and tight end Chig Okonkwo. Still, consistency remains the problem — Tennessee continues to stall in the red zone and relies heavily on chunk plays to move the ball. Tyjae Spears and Tony Pollard form a capable backfield tandem, but the Titans’ offensive line has been a liability, ranking near the bottom of the league in sack rate allowed.

If Tennessee wants to compete here, it’ll need to control tempo and keep Herbert on the sideline. That means leaning on Spears and Pollard early and shortening the game with methodical drives. The Chargers’ defense remains their soft spot, giving up over 200 passing yards per game despite last week’s domination. Still, Joey Bosa and Khalil Mack have found their rhythm in recent weeks, combining for nine sacks over the past three games, and that edge pressure could overwhelm a Titans line that’s allowed four or more sacks in four of the last five outings.

Defensively, Tennessee faces a nightmare matchup. The Chargers’ deep receiving corps — led by Ladd McConkey, Oronde Gadsden II, and Keenan Allen — poses problems for a secondary that’s been torched by speed. Los Angeles has scored 30+ points in back-to-back games, and Herbert’s chemistry with his new weapons is growing weekly. Tennessee’s best chance lies in generating takeaways and forcing long drives, but with how easily the Chargers have been moving the chains, that’s a tall order. Expect the Titans to fight early before L.A.’s firepower takes over.

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Tennessee Titans Predictions

Spread: Titans +10 (-110)
Tennessee’s ground game and pace control could keep this within single digits if Ward avoids turnovers.

Total: Under 43.5 (-115)
Both teams play slower, with Tennessee’s offensive limitations likely capping scoring.

Moneyline: Chargers ML (-575)
Herbert’s efficiency and the Chargers’ defensive front should be enough to secure a comfortable road win.

Bet: Chargers ML (-575), Titans +10 (-110), Under 43.5 (-115)

Atlanta Falcons vs. New England Patriots Odds

The New England Patriots stay home off a convincing 32–13 win over Cleveland in which the pass rush overwhelmed the Browns for 11 sacks and the offense struck explosively through the air. Star QB Drake Maye averaged 11.8 yards per attempt with three touchdowns and the Patriots piled up 177 rushing yards, spreading the ball to Mack Hollins, Kayshon Boutte, DeMario Douglas, and Austin Hooper. That balanced profile gives them multiple ways to attack a Falcons defense that prefers to keep a roof on coverage.

The Atlanta Falcons are trying to steady the ship after a 34–10 loss to Miami. Kirk Cousins worked the underneath game (21/31 for 173 yards) while the ground attack never got going (45 team rushing yards), leaving the offense behind the sticks. The bright spot was Kyle Pitts (9 receptions, 59 yards) as a chain mover, but Atlanta needs more early-down efficiency from Bijan Robinson and the short passing game to keep third downs manageable. Atlanta hopes to have Michael Penix Jr. back under center after he missed last week’s game due to injury.

The trench battle leans toward New England. The Patriots’ front just teed off on Cleveland and now faces a Falcons line that struggled to create push or keep Cousins in rhythm last week. If Atlanta can’t run, New England’s disguised pressures and five-man games will force longer drops, where mistakes tend to follow. Conversely, the Patriots can lean on a two-headed rushing look — TreVeyon Henderson (10–75) and Maye’s designed/keeper element (7–50) — to keep Atlanta guessing before taking vertical shots.

Expect New England to play from in front with a methodical script and selective deep balls, while Atlanta counters with tempo control and quick-game concepts to Pitts, Drake London, and backs in space. If the Falcons avoid turnovers and steal a few short fields, the back door is very live; otherwise, the Patriots’ balance and pass rush should carry a low-to-mid-40s total and a one-score, home-favorite result.

Atlanta Falcons vs. New England Patriots Predictions

Spread: Falcons +6.5 (-110)
Atlanta’s defense and ball control can shrink the margin against a still-developing Patriots offense.

Total: Under 45.5 (-110)
Both teams favor slower pace and ground-leaning scripts, keeping overall scoring chances capped.

Moneyline: Patriots ML (-258)
New England’s home edge and defensive front tilt the outright result their way.

Bet: Patriots ML (-258), Falcons +6.5 (-110), Under 45.5 (-110)

San Francisco 49ers vs. New York Giants Odds

The San Francisco 49ers come in off a 26–15 loss at Houston in which the offense sputtered for long stretches. With Mac Jones starting, the 49ers threw for 193 yards (2 TD, 1 INT) and managed just 48 rushing yards as the Texans controlled script with balance and explosives. If Brock Purdy returns from his toe injury, the passing game should regain its rhythm on play-action and glance routes — a meaningful upgrade for third-down efficiency and red-zone sequencing.

Defensively, the Niners were stressed by C.J. Stroud (318 yards, 2 TD) and Houston’s run game (157 yards), a reminder that San Francisco can be moved by spread formations and perimeter runs when the front doesn’t win early. That said, this matchup tilts toward a rebound: the Giants’ offense has leaned on quick game and field position, and they’ve struggled to finish drives when forced to march the length of the field.

The New York Giants just fell 38–20 to Philadelphia. Jaxson Dart produced a couple of chunk throws (193 yards, 2 TD), but pressure and negative plays kept the Giants behind the sticks. With Cam Skattebo suffering a dislocated ankle, the ground game shifts to Tyrone Tracy Jr. and Devin Singletary (combined 12 carries, 46 yards vs. PHI). Expect a conservative plan built around early-down runs, option keepers, and underneath targets to Wan’Dale Robinson.

Game state is the swing factor. If the Niners jump ahead and can lean on their four-minute offense, this turns into a possession squeeze that favors San Francisco’s depth. If the Giants keep it close early, their shorten-the-game approach and red-zone defense can make this tighter than market perception. Purdy’s status pushes the needle — his return meaningfully raises San Francisco’s ceiling against a defense that prefers zone and rally tackling.

San Francisco 49ers vs. New York Giants Predictions

Spread: 49ers -2.5 (-120)
With Purdy likely back, San Francisco’s script diversity gives them more answers on third down against pressure.

Total: Under 48.5 (-110)
Both defenses can force long fields, and red-zone stalls keep points modest.

Moneyline: 49ers ML (-148)
San Francisco’s balance and late-game run game are the tie-breakers.

Bet: 49ers ML (-148), 49ers -2.5 (-120), Under 48.5 (-110)

Indianapolis Colts vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Odds

The Indianapolis Colts roll in off a 38–14 dismantling of Tennessee that showcased both explosiveness and balance. Daniel Jones carved up the Titans (21/29, 272 yards, 3 TD) while the run game detonated behind Jonathan Taylor (12 carries, 153 yards, 2 TD, with an 80-yard burst). That early-down success kept the Colts ahead of the sticks and opened the play-action crossers to Michael Pittman Jr. (8–95–1) and Alec Pierce (2–69–1). When Indy controls tempo like that, they’re comfortable stringing together 10–12 play drives and finishing in the red zone.

The Pittsburgh Steelers are coming off a 35–25 home loss to Green Bay in which the defense couldn’t get off the field. The pass rush generated pressure but surrendered 360 passing yards and multiple explosives, while the Packers also found enough on the ground to stay balanced. Offensively, the Steelers mixed Jaylen Warren (13–62) with short-to-intermediate throws; there were flashes — Roman Wilson (4–74–1) and DK Metcalf (5–55–1) — but too many stalled series and third-and-longs.

The matchup tilts toward Indy’s script. The Colts are most dangerous when they win first down, and Pittsburgh’s defense is at its best in obvious passing situations — not when opponents can keep the whole call sheet open. Taylor’s perimeter speed and Jones’ play-action footwork stress Pittsburgh’s linebackers horizontally, and Indy’s quick-game answers help mitigate the Steelers’ edge pressure. If the Colts avoid negative plays, they’ll sustain possession and grind clock.

Pittsburgh’s path is the familiar one: compress the game, steal a possession with special teams/turnovers, and hit a couple of verticals off run action. The problem is Indy’s defense has tightened in the low red zone and limited explosives the last few weeks. If the Steelers can’t consistently win early downs, the Colts’ front will earn enough passing-down wins to keep a lid on the total and tilt the field-position battle toward the road favorite.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Predictions

Spread: Colts -3 (-115)
Indy’s early-down success rate projects better against Pittsburgh’s boom-bust front.

Total: Under 49.5 (-105)
Explosives are possible, but both teams stall enough in the red zone to clip the ceiling.

Moneyline: Colts ML (-170)
Quarterback efficiency and run-game balance lean toward Indianapolis.

Bet: Colts ML (-170), Colts -3 (-115), Under 49.5 (-105)

Denver Broncos vs. Houston Texans Odds

The Denver Broncos roll into Houston after a 44–24 statement over Dallas, their most complete effort of the season. Bo Nix was crisp and decisive (19/29, 247 yards, 4 TD), and the run game finally stacked explosives behind J.K. Dobbins (15–111) and RJ Harvey (7–46). That balance unlocked play-action and red-zone shot plays to Pat Bryant and Evan Engram, giving Denver a sustainable script that travels. Defensively, the Broncos have tightened coverage leverage and cut down busts, a profile that plays in lower-total environments.

The Houston Texans just handled San Francisco 26–15 with C.J. Stroud dealing (30/39, 318 yards, 2 TD) and zero sacks taken. The Texans mixed in enough ground game (157 rushing yards; Woody Marks 11–62–1, Nick Chubb 17–56) to stay on schedule, letting Stroud pepper intermediate windows to Xavier Hutchinson and Jaylin Noel. If Nico Collins clears concussion protocol, Houston’s vertical tree widens and stresses Denver’s safeties on seams and posts.

The hinge here is early-down offense. When Denver runs efficiently, Nix lives in second-and-manageable and the Broncos can play keep-away; when they don’t, Houston’s four-man rush can squeeze spacing without blitzing. Conversely, if the Texans protect like they did vs. the 49ers (no sacks), Stroud’s ball placement punishes off-coverage and keeps chains moving. Red-zone execution tilts the scoring: Denver has leaned on tight-end usage and perimeter fades; Houston has preferred quick-hitting runs and RPO slants.

Given the modest total and both defenses’ recent form, possessions matter. Denver’s special teams and red-zone defense have delivered timely stops the last few weeks, giving them a slight situational edge. But Houston’s home field, cleaner protection, and potential Collins return make the back door very live in a one-score game that swings on a single takeaway.

Denver Broncos vs. Houston Texans Predictions

Spread: Texans +1.5 (-115)
In a low-total game, the hook on the home side carries value and covers late-game variance.

Total: Under 39.5 (-110)
Both teams lean into conservative, ball-control scripts that chew clock and cap possessions.

Moneyline: Broncos ML (-118)
Denver’s recent defensive surge and special-teams edge nudge them ahead in the coin-flip range.

Bet: Broncos ML (-118), Texans +1.5 (-115), Under 39.5 (-110)

Carolina Panthers vs. Green Bay Packers Odds

The Green Bay Packers return home after a 35–25 win in Pittsburgh in which the offense looked explosive and balanced. Jordan Love diced up the Steelers with efficient downfield work, spreading the ball to Tucker Kraft and Christian Watson while maintaining enough ground threat to stay on schedule. When the Packers sequence quick game into shot plays, they dictate tempo and keep the defense in conflict — a profile that tends to travel and scale at home.

The Carolina Panthers‘ offense is searching for answers. With Andy Dalton filling in last week, the Panthers were sacked seven times and mustered little through the air while playing from behind. The run game showed occasional life with committee contributions, but negative plays and long down-and-distance situations derailed drives. If Bryce Young returns, the menu expands — more movement throws and RPOs — but protection and separation still have to improve for sustained success.

Matchup-wise, Green Bay’s front can squeeze this game early. The Packers mixed coverage and rushed with discipline against Pittsburgh, and that approach should translate versus a Panthers line that has struggled against stunts and games. Offensively, expect Green Bay to feature quick rhythm to set up intermediate shots, then lean run in the fourth quarter if they’re ahead — a script that also nudges the total toward the under.

For Carolina to hang around, they’ll need short fields, explosive YAC from the underneath game, and a plus turnover margin. Otherwise, Green Bay’s trench edge and red-zone efficiency create a steady drip that’s tough to match over four quarters. The back door is always in play with this number, but game state likely favors a Packers-controlled result.

Carolina Panthers vs. Green Bay Packers Predictions

Spread: Packers -12.5 (-115)
Green Bay’s pass rush and red-zone offense support a multi-score margin.

Total: Under 44.5 (-105)
A Packers-led script trends run-heavy late, suppressing overall play volume.

Moneyline: Packers ML (-950)
Large talent and situational edges at home.

Bet: Packers ML (-950), Packers -12.5 (-115), Under 44.5 (-105)

Chicago Bears vs. Cincinnati Bengals Odds

The Cincinnati Bengals stay home after that wild 39–38 loss to the Jets, a game that nevertheless showcased a balanced, explosive offense. Cincinnati piled up 181 rushing yards with big plays from Samaje Perine (9–94) and Chase Brown (12–73), which opened clean play-action looks for Joe Flacco (21/34, 223 yards, 2 TD). With Ja’Marr Chase commanding 12 targets (12–91), the Bengals again proved they can toggle between ground chunks and perimeter isolation wins.

The Chicago Bears‘ 30–16 loss in Baltimore offered real passing progress. Caleb Williams threw for 285 yards (25/38), with Rome Odunze (7–114) and DJ Moore creating chunk gains on crossers and digs. The issues were situational: a thin run game (96 team rushing yards) and too many long third downs after negative plays. When Chicago gets one-dimensional, red-zone efficiency and ball security become swing variables.

Matchup-wise, Cincinnati’s path is straightforward: lean on early-down runs to keep second-and-shorts, then let Flacco hunt favorable matchups to Chase (and a rotating WR2) against single-high looks. The Bears just allowed 177 Ravens rushing yards, so re-establishing Perine/Brown should stress Chicago’s linebackers and protect the Bengals’ protection plan. If the ground game hits, Cincinnati’s red-zone sequencing improves and the pace stays on their terms.

Chicago’s counter is tempo and quick game to keep Williams ahead of schedule, mixing QB movement and screen/YAC touches for Odunze and Moore. They can move the ball between the 20s and have back-door potential if the Bengals’ defense again leaks explosives. But depth and drive sustainability favor Cincinnati, especially at home with a script that minimizes variance.

Chicago Bears vs. Cincinnati Bengals Predictions

Spread: Bengals -7 (-110)
Cincinnati’s run/pass balance and perimeter winners support a comfortable margin.

Total: Over 45.5 (-110)
Chicago can score late, and Cincinnati’s offense has multiple explosive avenues.

Moneyline: Bengals ML (-325)
Home field and higher offensive floor make the Bengals a solid straight-up play.

Bet: Bengals ML (-325), Bengals -7 (-110), Over 45.5 (-110)

New Orleans Saints vs. Los Angeles Rams Odds

The New Orleans Saints limp in after a 23–3 home loss to Tampa Bay in which the offense never found a rhythm. Spencer Rattler started but was benched, and rookie Tyler Shough finished the game; combined, New Orleans managed only 48 rushing yards and took five sacks (5–37). The passing plan skewed short — Rashid Shaheed and Chris Olave were volume outlets — but inefficiency on early downs led to long third-and-distances and stalled red-zone opportunities.

The Los Angeles Rams return from a bye following a 35–7 demolition of Jacksonville in London. Matthew Stafford distributed on schedule behind a clean pocket, and the Rams mixed in just enough ground game with Kyren Williams/Blake Corum to stay balanced. Perhaps more importantly, the defense squeezed the pocket and forced the issue — Jacksonville quarterbacks were sacked seven times (7–32) — a pressure profile that tends to travel post-bye.

A likely quarterback change amplifies volatility for New Orleans. If Shough gets his first NFL start, expect a condensed menu built around quick game, movement throws, and Alvin Kamara in the screen/RPO package to protect the line. That can chew clock and keep the Saints close early, but they’ll need explosives after the catch and a plus turnover margin to keep pace if the Rams’ offense hits its scripted shots.

On the other side, the Rams’ passing battery is positioned to reheat. Puka Nacua is due back from an ankle injury, restoring the full route tree with Davante Adams and the tight ends. Sean McVay can hunt matchups with condensed formations and motion to stress a Saints defense that bends but has struggled when forced to defend for long fields. If L.A.’s line holds up, Stafford’s deep/intermediate accuracy should tilt the second half as the Saints’ defense tires.

New Orleans Saints vs. Los Angeles Rams Predictions

Spread: Rams -3 (-110)
Stafford’s big-play capability plus home field outweigh New Orleans’ defensive strengths.

Total: Over 48.5 (-110)
Both passing games can create chunk gains; end-game aggression lifts scoring in two-minute spots.

Moneyline: Rams ML (-158)
Coaching edge, post-bye prep, and a healthier receiver room lean strongly to Los Angeles.

Bet: Rams ML (-158), Rams -3 (-110), Over 48.5 (-110)

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Las Vegas Raiders Odds

Both teams come off the bye, which tightens game plans and usually boosts early-down efficiency. For the Jacksonville Jaguars, the extra week should help reset the protection plan and re-center around quick game, play-action, and Travis Etienne as both runner and receiver. When the Jaguars stay on schedule, Trevor Lawrence’s accuracy to the short and intermediate windows keeps them out of obvious passing downs and improves red-zone sequencing.

The Las Vegas Raiders lean on Jakobi Meyers as the coverage dictator, then mixes shot plays off condensed formations. The concern is consistency: negative plays on first down have forced long third downs, and protection lapses have shown up against top edge rushers. The bye helps with self-scout and scripted openers, but the Raiders still need a clean turnover game to maximize limited possessions.

Trench play is the hinge. Jacksonville’s front has quietly produced steady pressure and held up against the run; if the Jags can muddy the pocket without heavy blitzing, they can devote extra resources to Adams and make the Raiders string first downs together. On offense, expect Jacksonville to use tempo, RPOs, and designed movement to slow Maxx Crosby and avoid the obvious passing landmarks he feasts on.

Pace likely trends moderate with both staffs comfortable grinding out 10–12 play drives. That nudges the total toward the under unless short fields or explosives after the catch show up. Slight edges in quarterback stability, turnover discipline, and red-zone design tilt a one-score game toward Jacksonville.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Las Vegas Raiders Predictions

Spread: Jaguars -1.5 (-110)
Jacksonville’s steadier early-down offense and QB play earn them the nod in a near pick’em.

Total: Under 46.5 (-110)
Both sides prefer methodical drives and short throws over a true shootout, capping total play volume.

Moneyline: Jaguars ML (-124)
Coaching/self-scout off the bye plus a small turnover edge point to the Jags.

Bet: Jaguars ML (-124), Jaguars -1.5 (-110), Under 46.5 (-110)

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills Odds

This is another heavyweight meeting between Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen, and while the Kansas City Chiefs have dominated this rivalry lately, the Buffalo Bills‘ recent form offers real optimism. The Bills dismantled Carolina 40–9 last week, powered by James Cook’s 216 rushing yards and a relentless downhill run game. Buffalo leaned on gap concepts and play-action to protect Allen, who was efficient in limited dropbacks (12/19, 163 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT). If Cook can again establish early-down rhythm, Buffalo can control pace and force the Chiefs’ defense into heavier fronts — something that opens space for Allen to hit intermediate throws to Dalton Kincaid and Khalil Shakir.

Kansas City, meanwhile, handled Washington 28–7 in a game that reinforced how efficient this new-look offense has become. Mahomes spread the ball to ten different receivers, completing 25 of 34 for 299 yards and 3 TDs, with Rashee Rice (9–93–1) and Travis Kelce (9–99–1) commanding key third-down conversions. The Chiefs didn’t dominate on the ground (148 total rushing yards), but they controlled tempo and were methodical in short-yardage situations. That balance will be key against Buffalo’s defensive front, which remains vulnerable when forced into sub packages.

The tactical chess match lies in how Kansas City manages Buffalo’s disguised coverages. The Bills’ safeties rotate late and disguise leverage well, but they’re light at linebacker depth, which Mahomes can exploit with motion and short option routes to Rice and Kelce. On the other side, Buffalo must generate pressure with four — blitzing Mahomes remains a losing proposition — while trusting its secondary to hold up against layered crossing routes. Kansas City’s defense will counter with disguised pressures of its own, looking to contain Allen outside the pocket and force long third downs where their man coverage can hold up.

Given both quarterbacks’ efficiency and red-zone creativity, this one projects to trade scores deep into the fourth quarter. The key difference could be situational discipline — Kansas City’s turnover margin and endgame sequencing remain elite, while Buffalo has shown occasional drive-killing penalties. Expect Mahomes’ precision and Andy Reid’s halftime adjustments to swing a high-scoring contest their way late.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills Predictions

Spread: Chiefs -1.5 (-110)
Mahomes’ control of pace and late-down mastery tilt this toward Kansas City in a tight game.

Total: Over 50.5 (-110)
Both quarterbacks create explosives, and neither defense matches up cleanly with the opposing scheme.

Moneyline: Chiefs ML (-120)
Experience and coaching adjustments give Kansas City a slim but reliable edge.

Bet: Chiefs ML (-120), Chiefs -1.5 (-110), Over 50.5 (-110)

Seattle Seahawks vs. Washington Commanders Odds

The Seattle Seahawks enter this Sunday Night Football matchup fresh off a bye week — a valuable reset after an uneven stretch of offensive execution. The Seahawks’ 27–19 win over Houston showcased flashes of rhythm in the passing game, with Jaxon Smith-Njigba (8–123–1) emerging as a reliable chain mover and Kenneth Walker III (17–66) continuing to pace a balanced ground attack. With the extra rest, Seattle’s offensive line should stabilize against Washington’s front, allowing Sam Darnold more clean-pocket opportunities to attack vertically through play-action. Expect a scripted start heavy on early-down efficiency and field-position control, a hallmark of Seattle’s post-bye tendencies.

The Washington Commanders, meanwhile, fell 28–7 to Kansas City on Monday night with Marcus Mariota starting in place of the injured Jayden Daniels (knee). Mariota was serviceable (21/30, 200 yards, 2 INT) but couldn’t sustain drives against the Chiefs’ disguised coverages. If Daniels can’t go again, Washington’s offense likely remains capped by limited explosiveness — leaning heavily on short-area throws to Terry McLaurin (3–54) and Jeremy McNichols (6–84). The offensive line struggled to handle pressure, allowing two sacks and multiple hurries, and that remains a problem against a rested Seattle pass rush led by Uchenna Nwosu and Leonard Williams.

Defensively, Washington’s structure has improved inside the red zone, but they continue to bleed completions underneath. That’s a dangerous recipe against Seattle’s spacing concepts, where Smith-Njigba and Zach Charbonnet create mismatches on checkdowns and flats. Expect Seattle to mix tempo and personnel groupings to exploit linebacker coverage — especially if the Commanders stay conservative in their fronts. The Seahawks’ defense should also benefit from the extra prep time, with their corners better equipped to disguise press looks and force Mariota (or Daniels) to beat them with precision throws.

The post-bye factor looms large. Seattle has historically executed well in these spots, particularly on the road or in prime time. With steadier offensive rhythm and a defense capable of generating negative plays without blitzing, the Seahawks hold clear situational edges. Washington’s effort and physicality will keep this competitive early, but Seattle’s balance and efficiency should wear them down across four quarters.

Seattle Seahawks vs. Washington Commanders Predictions

Spread: Seahawks -2.5 (-110)
Seattle’s late-down defense and special teams give them the edge in a tight, low-scoring affair.

Total: Under 44.5 (-110)
Both offenses play at controlled tempos, and stalled red-zone drives limit the total output.

Moneyline: Seahawks ML (-145)
QB edge, rest advantage, and situational coaching lean heavily toward Seattle.

Bet: Seahawks ML (-145), Seahawks -2.5 (-110), Under 44.5 (-110)

Arizona Cardinals vs. Dallas Cowboys Odds

The Arizona Cardinals return from a bye desperately seeking to end a five-game losing skid, but they’ll face one of the league’s toughest bounce-back teams in Dallas. Jacoby Brissett has filled in admirably the past two weeks, completing 25 of 36 passes for 279 yards and two scores in last week’s loss to Green Bay, though he was sacked six times behind a leaky line. There’s an outside shot Kyler Murray returns from a foot injury, but even if he does, rust and mobility limitations could make the offense even more volatile against a fierce Cowboys front.

The Cardinals’ path to hanging around is built on precision passing and ball security. Tight end Trey McBride continues to be the focal point (10–74–2 vs. GB), while rookie Marvin Harrison Jr. has flashed separation ability when given time to develop routes. Arizona must establish some semblance of balance — Bam Knight and Michael Carter combined for just 94 rushing yards on 28 carries before the bye — to slow down Dallas’ pass rush. Sustained drives will be crucial to keep the game from spiraling early.

For the Dallas Cowboys, a 44–24 loss in Denver exposed both sides of the ball. Dak Prescott struggled to handle pressure (19/31, 188 yards, 2 INT), and the defense was gashed for 179 rushing yards and four touchdowns. Returning home should stabilize their rhythm, though — the Cowboys’ defensive line has historically dominated weaker offensive fronts, and this is a clear mismatch in the trenches. Expect Dallas to unleash heavy early-down pressure and force Brissett (or Murray) into quick decisions.

Offensively, the Cowboys will look to reassert control through their play-action and intermediate passing game. CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens remain the go-to targets in key situations, while Javonte Williams and Dak Prescott’s own legs offer balance in short-yardage spots. If Dallas jumps out early, their pass rush can pin its ears back — a script that’s led to multiple double-digit home wins in recent years. Arizona’s secondary lacks depth to match Dallas’ perimeter weapons, and the Cardinals’ offensive line isn’t built to play from behind, making this a difficult spot for an upset.

Arizona Cardinals vs. Dallas Cowboys Predictions

Spread: Cowboys -11 (-110)
Dallas’ trench dominance and pass-rush ceiling support a multi-score result at home.

Total: Under 46.5 (-110)
A Cowboys-led script trends run-heavy in the fourth, suppressing overall play volume.

Moneyline: Cowboys ML (-560)
Talent gap and home field make Dallas the safe straight-up side.

Bet: Cowboys ML (-560), Cowboys -11 (-110), Under 46.5 (-110)

NFL Week 9 Best Bets

The following are our best bets for Week 9:

• Los Angeles Rams -3 vs. New Orleans Saints (-110)
• Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 vs. Buffalo Bills (-110)
• Seattle Seahawks -2.5 vs. Washington Commanders (-110)

The Rams return from a bye and should benefit from both rest and preparation time. With Puka Nacua expected back from his ankle injury, Matthew Stafford’s offense regains a key weapon against a New Orleans defense that just allowed 23 points to Tampa Bay. The Saints’ QB situation remains unsettled after Spencer Rattler was benched last week, giving Los Angeles a clear edge in stability and home-field advantage.

The Chiefs enter off consecutive blowout wins and now host a Bills team that’s been inconsistent on the road. Kansas City’s pass rush has been dominant, and Patrick Mahomes continues to pick apart soft-zone coverages with Travis Kelce and Rashee Rice as his primary weapons. If Josh Allen is forced into obvious passing downs, expect Kansas City’s disguised pressures to tilt this matchup late.

Coming off a bye, the Seahawks are positioned well for Sunday Night Football against Washington. Seattle’s extra week to prepare helps clean up their protection issues, while Kenneth Walker III and Jaxon Smith-Njigba provide matchup advantages against a Commanders defense that has allowed 28+ points in five of their last six. Whether Jayden Daniels returns or not, the Seahawks’ defensive front should dictate the pace and create short fields for Sam Darnold.

If you roll these three into an NFL parlay at approximate prices of -110, -110, and -110, the combined odds land around +595. A $100 wager would return about $695 total ($595 profit). For more parlay bets, check out our best NFL parlays for each and every week. For the NCAAF fans, we also have some enticing College Football parlays of the week.