As we’ve turned the calendars over to December, the NFL is entering crunch time with Week 14 signaling the beginning of the final stretch to the regular season.

This can be seen with the opening matchup of the week as the Detroit Lions host the Dallas Cowboys on Thursday Night Football. Both teams are fighting for NFC Playoff spots, with the Lions in danger of missing the postseason if they can’t turn things around.

Week 14 closes with a Monday Night Football matchup that features the same scenario as the Los Angeles Chargers host the Philadelphia Eagles. The reigning Super Bowl champs are on the ropes after a few tough losses. The Chargers are battling for an AFC Wild Card spot.

The AFC Conference’s seeding is a hot mess with a half dozen teams fighting for the final three Wild Card spots. And, Week 14 is going to have a major impact on the standings with four massive conference matchups: Cincinnati Bengals vs. Buffalo Bills, Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens, Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars, and the Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday Night Football.

Week 14 features four NFL teams on bye, with three of them fighting for Playoff seeding: Carolina Panthers, New England Patriots, New York Giants and San Francisco 49ers.

Without any further delay, let’s take a look at the NFL Week 14 odds and make our early Week 14 picks. There’s no shame in getting your Week 14 NFL bets in early as there is some value on the boards.

NFL Week 14 Schedule

NFL Week 14 Odds

Week 14 is when we come out of a food coma from Week 13’s festivities for the Thanksgiving Holiday. And, thankfully, there are some great matchups in Week 14 with appealing NFL odds.

One game that’s not “must see” is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers hosting divisional rival the New Orleans Saints. The Bucs are this week’s biggest betting favorite at the top sports betting sites, with a spread of -9.0 points and moneyline of -500.

The Rams are the second biggest betting favorite with an eight-point spread and -425 moneyline. There are a few more touchdown spreads that also dot the Week 14 betting landscape. Will any of those games land on our top Underdogs of the week?

The highest total for the week, along with the most exciting player prop bets, is the Cowboys vs. Lions matchup with an Over/Under of 53.5 points. The Bengals vs. Bills features the second-highest total at 52.5 points.

There are a few road favorites to keep an eye on as well, with the Eagles heading to LA favored by 2.5 points, the Broncos heading to LV favored by 7.5 points, and the Rams at Arizona.

With that said, if you are in need of further assistance for Week 14, then check out the industry’s best handicapping membership for elite NFL picks. Not only can you enjoy a free trial, but you will also get access to thousands of picks across all major sports.

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NFL Week 14 Predictions

Let’s take a look at the full slate of NFL Week 14 matchups and make our NFL picks for each game.

Dallas Cowboys vs. Detroit Lions Odds

The Detroit Lions come into Thursday night after a game where their passing offense carried the load but couldn’t overcome several explosive plays allowed on the other side. Jared Goff was extremely efficient, completing 20 of 26 attempts and pushing the ball downfield with one of his best yards-per-attempt marks of the season. His connection with Jameson Williams was the clear bright spot: Williams turned seven catches into 144 yards with multiple chunk gains, including a long catch that instantly flipped field position. If that vertical chemistry carries into Thursday, Detroit’s offense becomes far more dangerous against a Dallas secondary that has been vulnerable to deep shots.

The Lions also leaned heavily on Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery out of the backfield. Gibbs handled 20 carries and remained the most reliable source of early-down yardage, while Montgomery added a short touchdown and contributed as a receiver. Detroit racked up 119 rushing yards overall, showing they can stay balanced even when trailing. That balance is crucial here, because Dallas’ defensive front is at its best when allowed to attack downhill; keeping them honest with Gibbs and Montgomery’s combined workload should prevent the Cowboys from pinning their ears back.

The Dallas Cowboys enter the matchup coming off a high-octane win where Dak Prescott threw for over 300 yards and consistently threatened Kansas City vertically. The Cowboys generated explosives through CeeDee Lamb, who topped 100 yards, and George Pickens, who added another big-play element.

That two-man punch poses a completely different challenge for Detroit’s secondary than they faced on Thanksgiving. The Lions were beaten repeatedly by deep throws — giving up over 50 yards on one play and allowing multiple receivers to clear 20 yards per catch. Cleaning up those coverage busts is absolutely mandatory against Prescott’s aggressive, rhythm-based passing.

The Cowboys also found major success on the ground, totaling 137 rushing yards with both Javonte Williams and Malik Davis generating meaningful gains. That dual-threat ground approach puts stress on linebackers and sets up the play-action concepts where Dallas has been most explosive.

Detroit’s run defense allowed over 120 yards to Green Bay and struggled to prevent second-and-short scenarios. If that carries over, Dallas’ offense will stay on schedule, and the Lions will once again face a quarterback operating from clean pockets with time to hit intermediate lanes. Detroit’s defensive front must show more resistance th

Dallas Cowboys vs. Detroit Lions Predictions

Spread: Lions –3 (–115)
Detroit’s offense showed far more consistency than the final score suggested, and returning home gives the Lions a strong bounce-back spot.

Total: Over 53.5 (–120)
Both teams enter with fully functioning passing attacks and secondaries that have given up big plays. The ingredients for a shootout are all there.

Moneyline: Lions (–180)
Detroit’s balanced offense and improved red-zone efficiency should tilt this toward the home team late.

Bet: Lions ML (–180), Lions –3 (–115), Over 53.5 (–120) 

Seattle Seahawks vs. Atlanta Falcons Odds

The Seattle Seahawks roll into this matchup off a 26–0 demolition of Minnesota that showcased just how dominant this defense can be when everything clicks. The Seahawks picked off Max Brosmer four times, piled up four sacks, and held the Vikings under 200 total yards in a wire-to-wire shutout. Their front seven consistently collapsed the pocket while the secondary jumped routes, turning every obvious passing down into a high-leverage spot for the pass rush. With the Falcons coming off a game where they allowed the Jets to hit multiple explosives through the air, Seattle’s defensive ceiling becomes a major storyline.

Offensively, the Seahawks didn’t need fireworks to pull away from Minnesota, but they still flashed plenty of upside. Sam Darnold threw for 128 yards and kept the offense on schedule, leaning on Cooper Kupp as his primary chain-mover; Kupp racked up 84 yards on four grabs and repeatedly found soft spots against zone coverage. On the ground, Kenneth Walker and Zach Charbonnet combined for 108 rushing yards and two scores, with Walker providing the burst and Charbonnet finishing runs with power. When Seattle runs it this efficiently and supplements it with timely play-action to Kupp and Jaxon Smith-Njigba, they become extremely difficult to slow down.

The Atlanta Falcons, meanwhile, are heading in the opposite direction after a 27–24 road loss to the Jets where the defense gave up over 200 rushing yards and repeatedly failed to get off the field. The Falcons actually moved the ball well behind Kirk Cousins, who threw for 234 yards and a touchdown, and Bijan Robinson turned 23 carries into 142 yards with a score while adding 51 more yards as a receiver. Kyle Pitts chipped in 82 receiving yards of his own as the Falcons created plenty of offensive production. The problem was situational: Atlanta settled for too many field goals, turned it over once, and couldn’t get the key stops needed to protect a late lead.

That defensive profile is a concern against a Seattle offense that just rushed for 125 yards and has shown the ability to lean on Walker and Charbonnet for long stretches. The Falcons rank near the bottom of the league in yards allowed per carry over the last month and are now tasked with tackling downhill backs for four quarters after being gashed by Breece Hall and Tyrod Taylor. If they commit extra bodies to the box, it opens up one-on-one chances for Kupp and Smith-Njigba on the perimeter — matchups that favor Seattle given the way Darnold has nta.

Seattle Seahawks vs. Atlanta Falcons Predictions

Spread: Seahawks –7.5 (–105)
Seattle’s defense is surging, and Atlanta’s run defense issues make it tough to see the Falcons consistently getting off the field. Laying more than a touchdown is justified with the Seahawks in this form.

Total: Over 43.5 (–115)
Atlanta’s offense is still capable of moving the ball with Cousins, Bijan, and Pitts, and Seattle’s rushing attack plus play-action game should generate steady scoring. Both teams have enough weapons to push this into the mid-40s.

Moneyline: Seahawks (–425)
Given the massive gap in defensive performance and Seattle’s home-field advantage, the Seahawks are the clear side to win outright.

Bet: Seahawks –7.5 (–105), Over 43.5 (–115), Seahawks ML (–425)

New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Odds

The New Orleans Saints head to Tampa after another frustrating offensive outing in Miami where the passing game showed flashes but the overall production still fell short. Tyler Shough threw for over 230 yards with two touchdowns, but he also tossed a pair of interceptions and took multiple sacks as protection broke down. The Saints’ ground game never really took control, and too many drives depended on Shough extending plays. On the positive side, Devaughn Vele and Chris Olave both created separation and combined with Juwan Johnson to give New Orleans a credible trio of options in the short and intermediate areas, which will be important against Tampa’s aggressive zone looks.

Defensively, the Saints once again struggled to contain a dynamic rushing attack. Miami leaned heavily on De’Von Achane, who ripped off several chunk runs and finished with well over 100 yards on the ground, allowing the Dolphins to control tempo without asking Tua Tagovailoa to throw a high volume of passes. New Orleans did a respectable job limiting explosive gains through the air, but they gave up over 160 rushing yards and spent long stretches on the field. That kind of run defense is a problem heading into a matchup with a Tampa team that just leaned on its own backfield to close out a win.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are coming off a 20–17 victory over Arizona in which the offense finally found some balance thanks to the return of Bucky Irving. Irving handled a workhorse role, rushing for nearly 100 yards and a touchdown while also contributing as a receiver out of the backfield. His presence allowed Baker Mayfield to operate in more favorable situations, and Mayfield responded with an efficient, turnover-free day. The passing game also got a lift from the return of Chris Godwin, who immediately stepped back in as a downfield and sideline threat, while Emeka Egbuka provided reliable production underneath. When Tampa can build the offense around Irving’s early-down success and let Mayfield pick his spots, they look far closer to the unit that opened the season hot.

Tampa’s defense gave up close to 300 passing yards to Jacoby Brissett and allowed Arizona to hang around, but they came up with timely plays when it mattered. The front held the Cardinals under 100 rushing yards and consistently forced long fields, and the secondary produced a key interception and several pass breakups. With SirVocea Dennis and Antoine Winfield anchoring a physical spine, this unit matches up well against a Saints offense that has been mistake-prone and ranks near the bottom of the league in scoring. If Tampa can once again ride Irving on the ground and make Shough chase the game from behind, the Buccaneers are well-positioned to create separatio

New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Predictions

Spread: Buccaneers –8.5 (–108)
Tampa Bay has a healthier offense with Irving and Godwin back, and their defensive front should control the line of scrimmage against a Saints team that continues to struggle on early downs.

Total: Under 42.5 (–102)
New Orleans has been one of the lowest-scoring teams in football, and Tampa’s preferred game script with a run-heavy attack and a defense that tightens in the red zone points toward a lower total.

Moneyline: Buccaneers (–440)
With the NFC South race tightening and the Bucs coming off a confidence-building win, this sets up as another spot where they can lean on their defense and running game to secure a home victory in this NFC South contest.

Bet: Buccaneers –8.5 (–108), Under 42.5 (–102), Buccaneers ML (–440)

Tennessee Titans vs. Cleveland Browns Odds

The Tennessee Titans travel to Cleveland in one of the ugliest offensive spots on the Week 14 board. The Titans are coming off a 25–3 home loss to Jacksonville where they never found a rhythm in any phase. Cam Ward completed 24 of 38 passes for just 141 yards with no touchdowns, averaging a meager 3.7 yards per attempt, and the team finished with only 67 rushing yards. Tony Pollard had 60 of those yards on 10 carries, but negative plays and constant long-yardage situations doomed any chance of sustained drives. When your longest completion goes for 16 yards to Chig Okonkwo and you’re settling for a single field goal at home, it’s a glaring red flag heading into a road date with one of the league’s toughest defenses.

The Cleveland Browns are also coming off a loss, but the context is very different. The Browns fell 26–8 to San Francisco, yet the defense once again showed why it’s viewed as an elite unit. They held Brock Purdy to 168 passing yards on 30 attempts and limited the 49ers’ potent run game to just 91 yards on 33 carries. The problem was Cleveland’s own offense, which sputtered outside of a few big plays from Harold Fannin Jr. and Jerry Jeudy. Shedeur Sanders threw for 149 yards and a touchdown without a pick, but the Browns leaned on the ground game, where five different players combined for 138 rushing yards and never fully threatened to keep pace with San Francisco’s efficiency.

The matchup here heavily favors Cleveland’s defense against Tennessee’s struggling attack. The Browns’ front, led by guys like Myles Garrett and Curtis Robinson, consistently collapses pockets and disrupts timing before routes can develop. That’s a nightmare scenario for Ward, who just completed fewer than 60% of his passes and absorbed three sacks against a Jaguars defense that isn’t nearly as ferocious as Cleveland’s. If the Browns can bottle up Pollard early and force third-and-long, it is hard to see the Titans consistently moving the ball outside of the occasional checkdown to Tyjae Spears or short completion to Okonkwo.

Offensively, Cleveland doesn’t need fireworks to the most recent contest coming in 2023. The Browns won that 27-3. The Browns are also 20-14 in road games versus the Titans.

Tennessee Titans vs. Cleveland Browns Predictions

Spread: Browns –4.5 (+100)
Tennessee has been one of the least competitive offenses in the league, while Cleveland’s defense consistently forces opponents into miserable efficiency. Laying fewer than a touchdown at home is reasonable.

Total: Under 33.5 (–110)
With both teams favoring the ground game and the Titans’ scoring ceiling extremely low, this projects as a grind where first to 20 probably wins.

Moneyline: Browns (–198)
Cleveland’s defensive dominance and more functional offense give them a clear edge, especially at home against a Titans team that hasn’t topped 24 points all season.

Bet: Browns –4.5 (+100), Under 33.5 (–110), Browns ML (–198)

Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Odds

First place in the AFC South is on the line in Jacksonville, with both the Indianapolis Colts and Jacksonville Jaguars sitting at 8–4 and the Texans surging right behind them. Indianapolis is coming off a 20–16 home loss to Houston in which they moved the ball well at times but couldn’t finish enough drives. Daniel Jones threw for 195 yards with two touchdowns and one interception, and the Colts got their usual heavy workload from Jonathan Taylor, who handled 21 carries and was involved in the passing game as well. Alec Pierce and Josh Downs both cleared 70 and 40 yards respectively, giving Jones multiple trusted options on the perimeter and out of the slot.

Defensively, the Colts quietly played a solid game despite the loss. They held Houston under 110 rushing yards and forced C.J. Stroud into a completion rate just above 60%, but explosive plays to Nico Collins and Jayden Higgins ultimately swung field position. Linebacker Zaire Franklin was everywhere, racking up 13 total tackles and helping limit early-down gains. That kind of active second level is critical against Jacksonville’s short-and-intermediate passing attack, which thrives on timing routes and yards after the catch.

Jacksonville, meanwhile, is coming off a 25–3 demolition of Tennessee that served as a reminder of their ceiling when all three phases click. Trevor Lawrence threw for 229 yards and two touchdowns while taking only three sacks, repeatedly punishing the Titans on key downs. Jakobi Meyers led the way with 90 receiving yards and a 50-yard explosive, while Brenton Strange and Brian Thomas Jr. chipped in with multiple chunk plays of their own. Even with the run game stuck in neutral — Travis Etienne Jr. was held under 30 rushing yards — the Jaguars still found plenty of ways to move the ball through the air.

The Jags’ defense was equally dominant, holding Tennessee to just three points and under 70 rushing yards while limiting Cam Ward to a modest 141 passing yards on 38 attempts. They generated consistent pressure with three sacks and kept everything in front of them, forcing the Titans to string together long drives they weren’t capable of finishing. That performance bodes well against a Colts offense that leans heavily on Taylor and intermediate throws to Pierce and Downs. In in Jacksonville since 2014.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Predictions

Spread: Colts +1.5 (–110)
Jacksonville may have the higher ceiling at home, but the Colts have been competitive every week, and their balanced offense with Taylor, Pierce, and Downs should keep this within a field goal.

Total: Under 48.5 (–112)
Both defenses just held divisional opponents to 20 points or fewer, and with so much at stake in the AFC South race, expect more conservative decision-making and an emphasis on controlling the clock.

Moneyline: Jaguars (–125)
Lawrence’s efficiency, the Jaguars’ deeper receiving corps, and home-field advantage give Jacksonville a slight edge in a game that could decide the division.

Bet: Colts +1.5 (–110), Under 48.5 (–112), Jaguars ML (–125)

Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets Odds

The Miami Dolphins continued their turnaround with a 21–17 win over the Saints that highlighted just how different this Dolphins team looks compared to the early part of the season. Instead of relying on shootouts, they leaned heavily on De’Von Achane, who carried the ball 22 times for 134 yards and a score, repeatedly gashing New Orleans on early downs. Tua Tagovailoa attempted only 23 passes and threw for 157 yards with one interception, but he did more than enough to keep the offense on schedule, targeting Darren Waller and Jaylen Waddle for the most critical completions. Waller’s two long catches, including a 34-yard strike, showed that Miami can still generate explosives even in a more run-centric approach.

Defensively, the Dolphins did a solid job containing Tyler Shough and the Saints’ passing game, holding him to 239 yards on 38 attempts with two interceptions. While New Orleans moved the ball at times through Devaughn Vele and Juwan Johnson, Miami’s defense tightened in the red zone and forced key mistakes, including a fumble and multiple stalled drives. Linebackers and safeties rallied to the ball well, helping hold the Saints to just 81 rushing yards on 27 carries. That kind of effort travels, and it’s particularly encouraging heading into a matchup with a Jets offense that has struggled with consistency and turnover issues.

The New York Jets enter Week 14 off a dramatic 27–24 win over Atlanta where they overcame a shaky passing performance from Tyrod Taylor. Taylor completed 19 of 33 attempts for 159 yards, tossing two interceptions but also keeping drives alive with timely scrambles and intermediate completions. The stars of the day were Adonai Mitchell and Breece Hall: Mitchell erupted for 102 yards and a touchdown on eight receptions, including a 52-yard bomb that flipped the game, while Hall logged 68 rushing yards and a score on 19 carries. New York still has stretches where the offense bogs down, but the emergence of Mitchell gives them a legitimate vertical threat to pair with Hall’s dual-threat versatility.

On defense, the Jets showed both strengths and weaknesses against the Falcons. They held Atlanta to 58 rushing yards from non-Bijan Robinson backs, but Robinson himself piled up 142 yards and a touchdown on 23 carries as New York again struggled to finish tackles against a premier runner. The secondary, led by Malachi Moore and Quincy Williams, made several big plays and limited Kirk Cousins to 7.1 yards per attempt, yet lapses in run fits kept the Falcons competitive and eight of the last 10 matchups.

Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets Predictions

Spread: Dolphins –2.5 (–115)
Miami has clearly embraced a formula built around Achane and a tightening defense, and that profile matches up well against a Jets team that has struggled to sustain drives and protect the football.

Total: Under 41.5 (–110)
Both defenses are capable, and Miami’s recent shift toward a run-heavy, clock-draining script points to fewer possessions. Unless the Jets hit multiple deep shots to Mitchell, this projects as more of a grind than a track meet.

Moneyline: Dolphins (–155)
With the more stable quarterback situation and a rushing attack in rhythm, Miami is the side more likely to control game flow and escape with a close road win.

Bet: Dolphins –2.5 (–115), Under 41.5 (–110), Dolphins ML (–155)

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens Odds

The Baltimore Ravens return home after an ugly 32–14 loss to Cincinnati in which the offense never truly settled in. Lamar Jackson threw for over 220 yards and found Isaiah Likely for a long touchdown, but three interceptions and three sacks stalled multiple promising drives. The Ravens still ran the ball effectively, with Derrick Henry topping 60 yards and Jackson adding chunk gains on scrambles, yet negative plays and turnovers kept them from matching Cincinnati’s scoring pace. Even so, the underlying production suggests this offense is still capable of moving the ball consistently when it cleans up the mistakes.

Defensively, the Ravens had one of their worst outings of the season, allowing Joe Burrow to throw for more than 250 yards while the Bengals’ backfield combined for over 120 rushing yards. Cincinnati repeatedly converted in the intermediate passing game, with Ja’Marr Chase and Andrei Iosivas both hitting explosive plays down the sideline. That performance should create a focused response from a Baltimore unit that has otherwise been one of the more efficient defenses in the AFC, particularly at home. Against a Steelers offense that just managed only seven points, the matchup still tilts heavily toward the Ravens’ side of the ball.

The Pittsburgh Steelers enter Week 14 off a 26–7 home loss to Buffalo where almost nothing worked offensively. Aaron Rodgers completed just 10 passes for 117 yards with an interception, and the Steelers mustered only 58 rushing yards as a team. Their longest passing play went to Darnell Washington, while DK Metcalf and Kenneth Gainwell contributed modest gains but couldn’t flip field position often enough. When Pittsburgh falls behind early, their lack of explosive plays and inconsistency in protection make sustained comebacks extremely difficult.

The Steelers’ defense also struggled to hold up against Buffalo’s physical run game, surrendering 249 rushing yards, including 144 to James Cook alone. That kind of performance is particularly concerning with Henry and Jackson on deck, as Baltimore can stress fronts horizontally and vertically on the ground. If the Ravens can replicate anything close to Buffalo’s rushing success, they’ll control time of possession and keep Pittsburgh’s struggling offense pinned i

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens Predictions

Spread: Ravens –6 (–108)
Pittsburgh has lost four of its last five and is coming off a blowout where both lines were clearly outmatched. Baltimore’s combination of run game and pass rush should be enough to win by a touchdown or more.

Total: Under 43.5 (–112)
The Steelers have failed to crack double digits in two of their last three, and Baltimore is likely to lean on Henry and Jackson to grind clock after building a lead. That points toward a lower-scoring, run-heavy script.

Moneyline: Ravens (–305)
With a significant edge at quarterback, a more dynamic offense, and home-field advantage, the Ravens are the clear side to win outright and take the lead in the AFC North.

Bet: Ravens –6 (–108), Under 43.5 (–112), Ravens ML (–305)

Washington Commanders vs. Minnesota Vikings Odds

The Minnesota Vikings return home trying to pick up the pieces after a brutal 26–0 loss in Seattle. Rookie Max Brosmer completed 19 of 30 passes but threw four interceptions and absorbed four sacks as the Vikings’ protection repeatedly broke down. The run game never really bailed him out, with Minnesota finishing with just 66 rushing yards, and their longest play from scrimmage went for 29 yards to T.J. Hockenson. The good news is that Hockenson and Jordan Addison still produced usable numbers, combining for 11 catches and nearly 100 yards, but this passing game badly needs cleaner pockets and better early-down efficiency.

Defensively, the Vikings actually held up fairly well considering the offensive issues. They limited Sam Darnold to 128 passing yards and allowed only one completion longer than 24 yards. The problem was on the ground, where Kenneth Walker and Zach Charbonnet combined for 108 yards and two scores as Seattle finished with 125 rushing yards overall. That run-defense concern looms large against a Washington offense that just watched Marcus Mariota and the backfield rack up 143 rushing yards in Denver.

The Washington Commanders, meanwhile, are coming off a heartbreaking 27–26 overtime loss to the Broncos but showed real signs of life on offense. Mariota threw for 294 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions, adding 55 rushing yards on 10 carries to keep plays alive. Zach Ertz was a chain-moving machine with 10 catches for 106 yards, while Terry McLaurin erupted for 96 yards and a score on seven receptions. When Washington gets that kind of production from its top two pass-catchers and incorporates Mariota’s mobility, it becomes a much more difficult offense to defend than its season-long numbers suggest.

Washington’s defense remains highly volatile but still dangerous. They gave up 321 passing yards to Bo Nix and 87 rushing yards to Denver, yet also forced a fumble and held the Broncos to 3.8 yards per carry. The seconast two trips to Minnesota, but are 7-8 as the road team in this series.

Washington Commanders vs. Minnesota Vikings Predictions

Spread: Commanders +1.5 (–120)
Washington just went toe-to-toe with a 10–2 Denver team on the road, while Minnesota has managed only 24 total points across its last four outings. With Mariota playing reasonably well and the Commanders’ weapons healthier, taking the points makes sense.

Total: Over 41.5 (–112)
Both defenses give up explosive plays, and Washington’s offense is trending up with Ertz and McLaurin leading the way. Even if the Vikings remain inconsistent, they should be more functional at home than they were in Seattle, which supports a game landing in the mid-40s.

Moneyline: Commanders (+102)
In what looks like a near pick’em, the more stable quarterback situation and recent offensive form give Washington slight value to win outright.

Bet: Commanders +1.5 (–120), Over 41.5 (–112), Commanders ML (+102)

Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers Odds

The Chicago Bears come into Week 14 chasing another divisional win after knocking off Philadelphia 24–15. Chicago’s run game powered the result, with Kyle Monangai erupting for 130 yards on 22 carries and D’Andre Swift adding 125 more on the ground. Caleb Williams had an uneven game statistically, throwing for 154 yards with one touchdown and one interception, but he added 33 rushing yards and used his mobility to extend drives when needed. Chicago leaned heavily on its ground attack for 47 attempts and 281 yards, controlling pace and limiting high-leverage passing situations. Against a Packers defense that has been inconsistent versus the run, that formula is likely to be emphasized again.

The Green Bay Packers are coming off an impressive 31–24 road win in Detroit, a game where Jordan Love delivered one of his sharpest performances of the season. Love completed 18 of 30 passes for 234 yards and threw four touchdowns with no interceptions, showing timing and poise behind an offensive line that did not allow a sack. Christian Watson stretched the field with 80 yards and a touchdown on four catches, while Dontayvion Wicks added 94 yards and another score. The Packers also produced 125 rushing yards, led by Josh Jacobs’ 83 on 17 carries, giving the offense strong balance and keeping Detroit’s defense off balance for four quarters.

The matchup tilts on whether the Bears can repeat last week’s ball-control success while slowing a suddenly efficient Green Bay passing attack. Chicago allowed 230 passing yards and two touchdowns to Jalen Hurts, and although the unit tightened in the red zone, it still showed vulnerability against vertical shots and boundary isolation routes — two areas Love attacked consistently in Detroit. If the Packers’ protection holds up again and Green Bay continues to generate chunk plays to Watson and Wicks, Chicago may struggle to keep pace unless its run game dominates the script. Weather conditions at Lambeau could tighten scoring expectations, but Green Bay’s offensive rhythm and the Bears’ de

Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers Predictions

Spread: Packers –6.5 (–112)
Green Bay’s offense looks refreshed coming off its four-touchdown passing performance, and Chicago’s secondary has allowed steady production through the air in recent weeks.

Total: Under 44.5 (–110)
Both teams leaned run-heavy in Week 13, and if that continues, long drives and fewer possessions should follow.

Moneyline: Packers (–310)
Green Bay holds the quarterback edge, the home-field edge, and the more reliable defensive profile. If the Packers avoid turnovers, they should control pace and emerge with another NFC North divisional win.

Bet: Packers –6.5 (–112), Under 44.5 (–110), Packers ML (–310)

Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders Odds

The Denver Broncos keep stacking wins and now heads to Las Vegas at 10–2 after a 27–26 overtime thriller in Washington. Bo Nix threw for 321 yards on 45 attempts with a touchdown and an interception, showing poise late after a slow first half. The Broncos again leaned on a spread-it-around passing approach with Evan Engram, Courtland Sutton, Adam Trautman and Pat Bryant all topping 40 receiving yards. RJ Harvey handled the bulk of the work on the ground with 13 carries and two scores, giving Denver just enough balance to keep Washington’s defense honest in high-leverage spots.

Defensively, Denver did bend but not quite break against Marcus Mariota and the Commanders. They allowed 294 passing yards and 143 rushing yards, with Zach Ertz and Terry McLaurin combining for 202 yards through the air. Still, the Broncos tightened up in the red zone and came up with the key overtime stop they needed. The bigger picture remains positive: this unit has already fared well against several quality offenses this season, and now faces a Raiders attack that has struggled to sustain drives and has rarely topped the mid-20s.

The Las Vegas Raiders fell 31–14 at home to the Chargers and has now dropped eight of its last nine games. Geno Smith was efficient on paper, going 18 of 23 for 165 yards with two touchdowns, but he also threw a pick and took five sacks as protection collapsed. The run game never got going, with the Raiders finishing with just 31 rushing yards on 18 attempts; Ashton Jeanty led the way with 15 carries for only 31 yards. Brock Bowers remained the bright spot, catching four passes for 63 yards and both scores, but the lack of complementary production made it easy for Los Angeles to key on him in the second half.

On the other side of the ball, the Raiders had no answers for the Chargers’ ground attack, giving up 192 rushing yards at 4.5 yards per carry. Kimani Vidal gashed them for 126 yards and a touchdown on 25 carries, while Justin Herbert barely needed to throw, finishing 15 of 21 for 151 yards with two scores. That’s a concerning setup against a Denver team that can lean on Harvey and its short passing game to methodically control possession. With the Bro

Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders Predictions

Spread: Broncos –7.5 (–110)
Denver has covered comfortably in similar spots this season, and Las Vegas has failed to cover in six of its last seven home games as a road underdog–type profile flipped to Allegiant. With the Broncos’ offense humming and the Raiders’ run defense leaking, laying more than a touchdown is justified.

Total: Under 40.5 (–110)
The Raiders’ offense has been stuck in neutral, and Denver’s defense is more than capable of limiting Geno and a one-dimensional run game. Unless the Broncos completely blow the doors off, this feels like a game where Las Vegas struggles to do its part in pushing the total higher.

Moneyline: Broncos (–410)
Given the form of both teams, Denver is the clear choice to win the AFC West matchup outright, with a sizable edge at quarterback, on the sideline, and along both lines of scrimmage.

Bet: Broncos –7.5 (–110), Under 40.5 (–110), Broncos ML (–410)

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Buffalo Bills Odds

The Cincinnati Bengals go into Buffalo coming off their most complete win of the season — and easily their most important. Joe Burrow returned from months on the shelf with turf toe and immediately elevated the offense, throwing for over 250 yards and distributing the ball with the poise and processing that makes the Bengals dangerous when he’s on the field. Ja’Marr Chase was heavily involved early and often, logging double-digit targets and working the intermediate areas where Burrow has always been most comfortable.

The Bengals also leaned on Chase Brown and Samaje Perine to keep the offense balanced, with both backs combining for more than 110 rushing yards. If Tee Higgins clears concussion protocol and returns in Week 14, Cincinnati adds another explosive layer to an offense that just looked revived on Thanksgiving night.

Defensively, the Bengals delivered their best performance in weeks by completely shutting down Baltimore’s passing rhythm. Cincinnati forced Lamar Jackson into a sub-60% completion rate and intercepted him three times, disrupting the Ravens’ perimeter timing and taking away their middle-of-the-field comfort zones. The Bengals also held Derrick Henry under 70 yards on the ground, limiting his yards after contact and preventing Baltimore from ever settling into their normal run-heavy script. With the pass rush generating pressure without overcommitting extra bodies, Cincinnati’s defense looked significantly sharper and more connected than it had earlier in the season.

The Buffalo Bills also enter this matchup with momentum after a 26–7 win over Pittsburgh in which they dominated the line of scrimmage. Buffalo ran for nearly 250 yards as James Cook exploded for 144 on 32 carries, showcasing the power and lateral quickness that has made him one of the AFC’s best young backs. Ray Davis added another 62 yards as the Bills consistently created chunk gains on the ground. Josh Allen wasn’t asked to carry the offense through the air, attempting just 23 passes, but he remained efficient and used his legs effectively to extend drives. This run-heavy approach aligns perfectly with Buffalo’s identity when weather tightens in December.

Buffalo’s defense was equally impressive, holding the Steelers under 120 total passing yards and generating consistent pressure on Aaron Rodgers. Darnell Washington accounted for nearly all of Pittsburgh’s explosive plays, but the Bills largely prevented the Steelers from threatening downfield. Their front seven clogged rushing lanes and forced Pittsburgh off schedule, while the secondary tackled cleanly in space. Against a Bengals offense that regained confidence last week, Buffalo’s ability to win early downs defensively will be critical. The question becomes whether Cincinnati can replicate last week’s efficiency against a much deeper defense.

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Buffalo Bills Predictions

Spread: Bengals +6 (–110)
Burrow’s return dramatically changes Cincinnati’s ceiling, and with Chase heating up — plus a potential Higgins return — the Bengals have enough firepower to stay within a one-possession game.

Total: Under 51.5 (–110)
Buffalo has leaned heavily into a run-centric script, and Cincinnati’s defense looked sharper last week. Fewer possessions and sustained drives push this toward the under.

Moneyline: Bills (–270)
Buffalo’s home-field edge and superior depth give them the slight overall advantage, even if Cincinnati keeps it close throughout.

Bet: Bengals +6 (–110), Under 51.5 (–110), Bills ML (–270)

Los Angeles Rams vs. Arizona Cardinals Odds

The Los Angeles Rams look to bounce back after a 31–28 loss in Carolina, where Matthew Stafford threw for 243 yards and two touchdowns but also tossed a costly interception and dealt with consistent pressure. Los Angeles still generated explosive plays, with Blake Corum rushing for 81 yards on just seven carries and Kyren Williams adding 72 yards and a score. Davante Adams produced 74 receiving yards, while Colby Parkinson chipped in a 27-yard grab. Still, the Rams’ inability to protect Stafford late in the game and their struggles on third down kept them from putting Carolina away.

Defensively, Los Angeles had trouble containing Bryce Young, allowing him to complete 15 of 20 passes for 194 yards and two touchdowns. The Panthers also ran for 164 yards, led by Chuba Hubbard’s 83-yard performance, and consistently found success at the second level. The Rams produced only one sack and rarely disrupted Carolina’s timing, giving up multiple explosive receptions to Jalen Coker and Tetairoa McMillan. With the pass rush cooling off and the run defense leaking, Los Angeles enters Week 14 with glaring issues.

The Arizona Cardinals narrowly fell 20–17 in Tampa Bay but showed encouraging offensive rhythm. Jacoby Brissett threw for 301 yards and two touchdowns and spread the ball effectively, with Trey McBride catching eight passes for 82 yards and Marvin Harrison Jr. posting 69 yards and a touchdown. Bam Knight added 62 rushing yards, keeping the offense balanced and helping Arizona sustain long drives. The Cardinals finished with 291 passing yards and moved the ball steadily throughout the afternoon.

On defense, Arizona held Baker Mayfield to just 184 passing yards and gave up 95 rushing yards, but the unit forced key mistakes and limited big plays. Aside from Chris Godwin’s 31-yard catch, the Cardinals kept Tampa Bay’s receivers in front of them and forced Mayfield into off-platform throws. The run defense allowed a pair of touchdowns but avoided back-breaking gains, and the pass rush generated enough pressure to force late-down stops. Given how much trouble the Rams had protecting Stafford last week, Arizona’s defensive performance should translate well here.

Los Angeles Rams vs. Arizona Cardinals Prediction

Spread: Rams –8.5 (–105)
Los Angeles has more offensive firepower, but its defensive issues and pass-protection inconsistencies open the door for Arizona to stay competitive. Brissett’s recent efficiency and Harrison Jr.’s impact make the Cardinals a strong candidate to cover, especially with the Rams leaking explosive plays on both fronts.

Total: Over 48.5 (–105)
Both teams are coming off games with extended stretches of offensive success, and both defenses allowed big plays last week. With Brissett throwing well and the Rams featuring multiple explosive playmakers, this matchup profiles as one that leans toward points.

Moneyline: Rams –455
Los Angeles remains the more complete team and has the higher ceiling on both sides of the ball, even with its defensive concerns. At home or on the road, the Rams hold the advantage in quarterback play, explosiveness, and overall reliability.

Bet: Rams –8.5 (–105), Over 48.5 (–105), Rams ML (–455)

Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs Odds

The Houston Texans continue to lean on explosive passing to move the ball, but their pass protection remains shaky — C.J. Stroud was hit often and sacked twice in Indianapolis, and Houston still struggled to run the ball efficiently outside of a few Nico Collins chunk gains after the catch.

Even so, Stroud spread the ball well, with Collins, Jayden Higgins, and Dalton Schultz all posting strong receiving lines, giving the Texans enough perimeter juice to stay competitive when games become pass-heavy. Defensively, Houston was solid enough up front to limit Jonathan Taylor’s efficiency and held the Colts to just 16 points, but they did give up several explosive completions downfield, an area that becomes far more dangerous against Patrick Mahomes.

The Kansas City Chiefs pushed Dallas to the brink in their 31–28 Thanksgiving loss, and Mahomes once again carried the offense with 261 yards and four touchdowns despite heavy pressure. Rashee Rice was highly effective underneath and after the catch, while Xavier Worthy and Travis Kelce added explosive plays to keep the chains moving. Kansas City’s run game was limited, placing even more emphasis on Mahomes’ ability to diagnose Houston’s coverages, especially if the Texans struggle with the same communication lapses that allowed Indy to move the ball through the air. Defensively, the Chiefs were hit for several chunk gains by Dallas’ deep receiving corps and allowed 31 points, highlighting a secondary that has been inconsistent for several weeks.

With both teams entering off emotional, high-scoring games, this matchup may come down to which quarterback handles pressure better — and Mahomes historically excels at home in these spots. Houston has enough skill talent to land counterpunches, but Kansas City’s pass rush against Houston’s shaky protection looms large. If Stroud is again forced into quick throws under duress, Kansas City’s offense should control game flow, especially with the Texans struggling to gen

Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs Predictions

Spread: Chiefs –3.5 (–102)
Houston has been competitive in most spots, but their offensive line issues pose a major problem against a Kansas City front that still creates consistent pressure.

Total: Under 41.5 (–108)
Both teams can score, but Houston’s protection concerns and Kansas City’s recent offensive inconsistency point toward a more controlled game script. Unless both quarterbacks hit multiple deep shots, this total may struggle to get into the mid-40s.

Moneyline: Chiefs (–175)
Kansas City remains one of the toughest home teams in the league, and with Mahomes operating at a high level, the Chiefs are the safer pick to close out drives and secure a win.

Bet: Chiefs –3.5 (–102), Under 41.5 (–108), Chiefs ML (–175)

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Los Angeles Chargers Odds

The Philadelphia Eagles enter Monday with a strong passing structure and an offense that can shift between run-focused and pass-heavy looks. Their defense has held up against different styles all season, though they were absolutely gashed on the ground by Monangai, Swift, and the Bears on Black Friday.

On the LA Chargers’ side, Justin Herbert fractured his left hand but still threw for 151 yards and two touchdowns last week. He was efficient (15/20, 7.6 YPA) and wasn’t sacked, and I’m expecting him to play here. Los Angeles also ripped off 192 rushing yards at 4.5 yards per carry behind a massive 126-yard day from Kimani Vidal, helping them control tempo in the second half.

Defensively, the Chargers were picked apart through the air by Geno Smith (165 yards, two TDs), but the bigger issue was run defense. They allowed 59 yards on just four carries from Vidal two weeks ago and have now given up explosive rushing games in back-to-back weeks. Philadelphia has shown they can toggle their approach depending on opponent, and with Will Shipley unavailable as a rusher for the Eagles, Jalen Hurts’ legs (31 rushing yards last week) may again be a key component of their ground game.

Los Angeles will try to counter with a balanced approach: Herbergles, but Philly did win their last trip to LA in 2017.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Los Angeles Chargers Predictions

Spread: Eagles -2.5 (-118)

Philadelphia has covered comfortably in similar spots, and Los Angeles’ recent wins have come against weaker pass defenses.

Total: Under 40.5 (-105)

The Chargers leaned heavily on the run last week, and Philadelphia just played a lower-tempo game that saw only 45 combined points.

Moneyline: Eagles (-142)

The Eagles hold the more stable defense, the healthier offensive structure, and a more predictable path to scoring.

Bet: Eagles –2.5 (–118), Under 40.5 (–105), Eagles ML (–142)

NFL Week 14 Best Bets

Here are our favorite NFL bets for Week 14:

• Denver Broncos –7.5 vs. Las Vegas Raiders (–110)
• Green Bay Packers –6.5 vs. Chicago Bears (–112)
• Los Angeles Rams –8.5 vs. Arizona Cardinals (–105)

Denver continues to pile up wins and now gets a Raiders team that has lost eight of its last nine games and just gave up 192 rushing yards to the Chargers. With Bo Nix distributing efficiently and RJ Harvey providing balance on the ground, Denver holds meaningful edges on both lines of scrimmage. If the Broncos avoid turnovers, their defensive structure and Washington performance profile carry cleanly into another comfortable cover.

Green Bay finds itself in a favorable spot at home, with Jordan Love throwing four touchdowns last week and the offense showing strong balance between Josh Jacobs’ 83-yard game and multiple explosive plays through the air from Dontayvion Wicks and Christian Watson. Chicago gashed Philadelphia on the ground but remains inconsistent as a passing team, and the Packers’ protection and downfield efficiency give them the tools to separate in the second half.

The Rams face a Cardinals defense that has struggled to generate stops against quality opponents and just allowed 301 passing yards to Jacoby Brissett. Los Angeles saw Matthew Stafford throw for 243 yards and two touchdowns despite Carolina’s strong defensive front, and Rams carry the more reliable offensive ceiling. As long as LA prevents explosive plays from Marvin Harrison Jr., they’re well-positioned to justify the full possession spread.

If you roll these three favorites into an NFL parlay in the approximate range of –110, –112, and –105, the combined odds should land around the +600 region. A $100 wager would return roughly $606. As always, shop for the best numbers across your sportsbook accounts and consider pairing these sides with your favorite College Football parlays for added value.