2025 NFL Week 18 Odds and Predictions For Each Game

The 2025-26 NFL regular season comes to a close with a loaded Week 18 slate that features playoff positioning, division titles, and win-and-in scenarios across both conferences. Unlike most weeks, motivation varies heavily from game to game, making it critical to understand which teams still have something to play for, and which ones are already looking toward the offseason.

Several divisional matchups headline the board, including Ravens vs. Steelers, Lions vs. Bears, and Chiefs vs. Raiders, while a handful of heavy favorites are laying big numbers against eliminated opponents. With postseason futures hanging in the balance, and Super Bowl dreams still alive for 15 teams, Week 18 is often one of the trickiest NFL betting weeks of the year.

Additionally, there are no Thursday Night Football or Monday Night Football games. All 16 NFL games will be played on Sunday, January 4. With that said, let’s take a look at the NFL Week 18 odds and make our early Week 18 picks.

NFL Week 18 Schedule

NFL Week 18 Odds

Week 18 is where the betting board fully separates into two camps: teams fighting for playoff seeding or division titles, and teams simply trying to get through the final week healthy. That contrast often produces some of the clearest NFL odds edges of the season, especially when motivation lines up cleanly with matchup advantages.

One of the headline games on the slate is Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, a winner-take-all matchup for the AFC North. Divisional games like this tend to draw heavy action across both sides and totals, and this one also profiles as a strong spot for bettors looking into player prop bets, depending on quarterback availability and late injury news.

The Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions matchup highlights another common Week 18 theme. Chicago is still jockeying for playoff positioning, while Detroit was eliminated last week. Games with this kind of motivational imbalance often see sharper movement across major sports betting sites, particularly if the favorite gets out to a clean start.

There are also several games featuring teams that have already locked in postseason spots but are continuing to play starters, including Los Angeles Rams vs. Arizona Cardinals. Situations like this can create inflated spreads, but they also offer opportunities when one side maintains focus while the other is clearly counting down the clock to the offseason.

At the other end of the board, lower-profile games with limited urgency on both sides tend to attract attention from bettors targeting unders or situational angles. These slower-paced matchups often show up on weekly Underdogs of the Week lists once line movement settles late in the week.

With that said, if you’re looking for additional betting help for Week 18 or future playoff slates, be sure to check out the industry’s top handicapping memberships for access to expert NFL picks. You can also take advantage of free trials and close out the regular season with a strong position heading into the postseason.

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NFL Week 18 Predictions

Let’s take a look at the full slate of NFL Week 18 matchups and make our NFL picks for each game.

Carolina Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Odds

The NFC South comes down to one game, and it doesn’t get cleaner than this: the winner of Panthers vs. Buccaneers takes the division and punches a playoff ticket. The Carolina Panthers limp into this spot after a 27–10 loss to Seattle that highlighted just how thin their offensive margin can be. Bryce Young completed 14 of 24 passes for only 54 yards, averaging a painfully low 2.3 yards per attempt. Carolina struggled to create anything downfield, and once drives stalled early, the entire offense felt compressed. Against a Tampa Bay defense that will sell out to stop the run and force throws, Carolina needs a very different passing performance than what showed up last week.

The Panthers did at least show some fight on the ground, finishing with 99 rushing yards as a team. Rico Dowdle led the way with 59 yards on 12 carries, while Bryce Young chipped in 27 yards and a short rushing touchdown. Still, none of that translated into sustained pressure. Carolina failed to record a single play longer than 11 yards on offense, and no receiver topped 16 yards. That lack of explosiveness makes it extremely difficult to win a high-stakes division game on the road, especially if Tampa Bay grabs an early lead and forces Carolina into obvious passing situations.

On the other side, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers come home after a frustrating 20–17 loss in Miami that was closer than the final score suggests. Baker Mayfield threw for 346 yards and averaged nearly eight yards per attempt, but two interceptions flipped the game at critical moments. Tampa’s passing attack was sharp overall, with Jalen McMillan and Chris Godwin Jr. both topping 100 yards and Mike Evans finding the end zone. The issue was balance. The Buccaneers managed just 53 rushing yards on 16 carries, allowing Miami to sit in coverage and make Mayfield beat them late.

That imbalance is something Tampa Bay will want to correct here, but the matchup still favors the Buccaneers. Carolina just allowed Seattle to control tempo and field position, and Tampa’s receivers are far more capable of punishing soft coverage. Defensively, the Buccaneers held Miami to 20 points and limited big passing plays, while Carolina’s offense showed little ability to capitalize on mistakes. With the division on the line and a playoff spot at stake, Tampa Bay is in a strong position to dictate pace, lean on its passing game early, and let its defense do the rest once ahead.

Carolina Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Predictions

Spread: Buccaneers –2.5 (–118)
Tampa Bay has the more reliable passing attack and far more ways to score. Carolina’s offensive ceiling is simply too low to trust in this spot.

Total: Under 43.5 (–105)
Carolina struggles to generate explosive plays, and Tampa Bay will be content to protect a lead rather than push tempo late.

Moneyline: Buccaneers (–142)
With the NFC South title on the line, Tampa Bay has the clearer path to a clean, controlled win at home.

Bet: Buccaneers –2.5, Under 43.5, Buccaneers ML

Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers Odds

The NFC West title and the No. 1 seed in the NFC come down to one final showdown, and Seahawks vs. 49ers delivers exactly the kind of chaos Week 18 is famous for. The Seattle Seahawks arrive riding momentum after a convincing 27–10 win over the Carolina Panthers, a game where they controlled the line of scrimmage from start to finish. Seattle leaned heavily on the run, piling up 163 rushing yards and two touchdowns, while keeping the passing game efficient and mistake-light. Sam Darnold did not need to do much through the air, but he avoided catastrophic errors and let the ground game dictate the flow.

Zach Charbonnet was the engine of that offense, rushing for 110 yards and two scores while averaging more than six yards per carry. Seattle’s offensive approach was clear: shorten the game, win first down, and keep pressure off the quarterback. That formula worked perfectly against Carolina, and it becomes even more important here. The Seahawks know they cannot win a shootout if turnovers creep in, so protecting the football and staying ahead of the chains will be the priority again.

The San Francisco 49ers come into this matchup fresh off a wild 42–38 win over the Chicago Bears that showed both their ceiling and their volatility. Brock Purdy threw for 303 yards and three touchdowns, but the real story was balance. San Francisco rushed for 200 yards as a team, led by Christian McCaffrey’s 140 yards and a touchdown. The 49ers scored in every quarter and consistently answered Chicago’s punches, which is exactly what top seeds are supposed to do in pressure spots.

What makes this matchup fascinating is the contrast in styles. San Francisco is comfortable turning games into track meets, while Seattle wants to slow everything down and keep possessions limited. The 49ers’ defense has allowed points recently, but the offense keeps covering those cracks by staying aggressive and explosive. With the division crown and home-field advantage on the line, San Francisco holds the edge because it has more ways to score and more margin if the game opens up. Seattle can absolutely hang around, but the 49ers are built for this moment.

Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers Predictions

Spread: 49ers –1.5 (–110)
San Francisco’s offensive balance and ability to score quickly give them the edge in a game that could swing on a single possession.

Total: Over 49.5 (–108)
Both teams come in off high-yardage performances, and San Francisco has shown it can push games into the 40s on its own.

Moneyline: 49ers (+100)
With the No. 1 seed on the line, San Francisco’s firepower makes them the safer side to win outright at home.

Bet: 49ers –1.5, Over 49.5, 49ers ML

Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Odds

The AFC South comes down to one final game, and the Jacksonville Jaguars enter Week 18 with a chance to close the door after winning seven straight. Jacksonville is coming off a controlled 23–17 road win over the Indianapolis Colts, a game that showcased how comfortable this team has become playing patient, efficient football. Trevor Lawrence threw for 263 yards while spreading the ball around, and the Jaguars leaned on their run game and defense once they had control. This was not flashy, but it was professional, and that matters in a division-clinching spot.

Jacksonville’s offense stayed balanced throughout, finishing with 121 rushing yards and two scores on the ground. Travis Etienne Jr. handled the bulk of the work, while Trevor Lawrence added two rushing touchdowns that kept Indianapolis on its heels. The Jaguars also won the hidden areas of the game by avoiding big mistakes and keeping the Colts from generating explosive plays. That formula has powered this seven-game run, and it travels well into a Week 18 matchup against a Tennessee team that has struggled to close games.

The Tennessee Titans come in off a 34–26 loss to the New Orleans Saints, a game that showed some offensive life but also highlighted their defensive problems. Cam Ward threw for 251 yards and two touchdowns, and Tennessee actually moved the ball consistently, finishing with 251 receiving yards as a team. Tony Pollard added 85 yards on the ground, but the Titans could not get stops when they needed them most. New Orleans scored in every half and repeatedly answered Tennessee momentum with long, efficient drives.

That inability to string together defensive stops is what makes this matchup so difficult for Tennessee. Jacksonville has already beaten the Titans earlier this season and is playing its best football at the right time. The Jaguars have been comfortable winning close games, pulling away late, or simply sitting on leads once they get ahead. Tennessee has shown effort, but effort alone has not been enough against teams that can dictate tempo. With the division title on the line and momentum fully on their side, Jacksonville is set up to control this game from the opening quarter.

Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Predictions

Spread: Jaguars –12.5 (–108)
Jacksonville has covered numbers throughout this streak, and Tennessee has not shown the defensive consistency needed to hang around for four quarters.

Total: Under 47.5 (–108)
Jacksonville is happy to slow games down once ahead, and Tennessee struggles to score efficiently when chasing.

Moneyline: Jaguars (–900)
With seven straight wins and the AFC South at stake, Jacksonville is the clear side to win outright.

Bet: Jaguars –12.5, Under 47.5, Jaguars ML

Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans Odds

The AFC South finale sets up as a contrast in motivation and direction, with the Houston Texans riding an eight-game winning streak while the Indianapolis Colts simply try to reach the finish line. Houston comes into Week 18 off a 20–16 road win over the Los Angeles Chargers, a game that perfectly captured how this team has been winning during its surge. C.J. Stroud threw for 244 yards and two touchdowns, Houston protected the football for most of the night, and the defense consistently made the Chargers work for every yard. It was not dominant, but it was controlled, which has become Houston’s identity.

The Texans continue to win with balance and discipline. They rushed for 118 yards as a team, chewed up clock when needed, and leaned on their defense to close things out. Houston has now allowed 17 points or fewer in several games during this streak, and that consistency is what separates them from teams chasing wildcard chaos. Even when the offense stalls briefly, the Texans are comfortable winning ugly, especially at home.

The Indianapolis Colts are trending in the opposite direction after a 23–17 loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars that exposed their limitations. Philip Rivers struggled to push the ball downfield, averaging under five yards per attempt while taking consistent pressure. Indianapolis finished with just 147 passing yards and relied heavily on Jonathan Taylor to stay competitive. With the season effectively over, the expectation is that rookie Riley Leonard will start under center, signaling that the Colts are already shifting toward evaluation mode rather than urgency.

That quarterback change matters. Asking a rookie to step in on the road against one of the hottest defenses in football is a tall order, especially against a Houston team still playing for seeding and momentum. The Texans have shown they can dictate tempo early and sit on leads once ahead, while Indianapolis has struggled to respond when forced out of its comfort zone. With eight straight wins and plenty left to play for, Houston is set up to control this matchup from start to finish.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans Predictions

Spread: Texans –10.5 (–108)
Houston has covered consistently during this streak, and Indianapolis lacks the offensive firepower to keep pace.

Total: Under 38.5 (–102)
A rookie quarterback, a conservative Colts approach, and a Houston defense in rhythm all point toward a slower game.

Moneyline: Texans (–675)
Houston is the motivated side with the far higher ceiling in a game that sets up cleanly.

Bet: Texans –10.5, Under 38.5, Texans ML

Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants Odds

This NFC East finale comes with zero playoff implications, but that does not mean it lacks betting angles. The New York Giants are coming off their best performance of the season, a 34–10 blowout win over the Las Vegas Raiders that finally showed some offensive rhythm. Jaxson Dart was efficient and mobile, throwing for over 200 yards while adding two rushing touchdowns. New York piled up 155 rushing yards and controlled the game from the opening drive, which is something this offense has rarely done all year.

That said, context matters. The Raiders offered little resistance, and the Giants were able to stay ahead of the sticks all afternoon. Wan’Dale Robinson was heavily involved, catching 11 passes, and the offense avoided negative plays. This was a clean, comfortable win, but it came against a defense that has been leaking yards for weeks. Replicating that success against Dallas is a very different challenge, even with nothing on the line.

The Dallas Cowboys enter Week 18 after a 30–23 road win over the Washington Commanders, a game that showed both their upside and their flaws. Dak Prescott threw for over 300 yards and spread the ball around, while the Cowboys rushed for 211 yards as a team. Dallas controlled large stretches of the game, but defensive lapses kept Washington hanging around longer than expected. That inconsistency has been a theme, especially on the road.

With the postseason already out of reach, this game sets up as more of a motivation test than anything else. Dallas still has far more offensive firepower, and the Giants have struggled all season against teams that can generate pressure. New York’s offensive line held up last week, but Dallas brings a different level of physicality. Even without playoff stakes, this matchup leans toward the team that can score more easily and punish mistakes, which still points to Dallas.

New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys Predictions

Spread: Cowboys –5.5 (–110)
Dallas has the clearer offensive edge and should be able to separate if the Giants fall behind early.

Total: Under 52.5 (–110)
With both teams lacking urgency and New York likely leaning run-heavy again, this total feels inflated.

Moneyline: Cowboys (–275)
Dallas has more paths to win even if this turns sloppy late.

Bet: Cowboys –5.5, Under 52.5, Cowboys ML

Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals Odds

The Cleveland Browns enter the Week 18 finale with nothing at stake beyond pride, and the recent results reflect a team that has struggled to generate offense. Cleveland has leaned heavily on defense to stay competitive, but scoring points has been a consistent issue, especially against capable passing attacks.

The Cincinnati Bengals also have no postseason path, but this matchup sets up well for their strengths. Joe Burrow has been sharp down the stretch, and the Bengals offense has shown it can move the ball efficiently when playing at home. Cincinnati is more willing to push tempo, which gives them a clear ceiling edge in a game like this.

Cleveland’s offense has been conservative by necessity, relying on short passes and hoping the defense can keep things close. That approach works against limited offenses, but it becomes far tougher when the opponent can score quickly and force adjustments. If the Browns fall behind early, the game script tilts heavily toward Cincinnati.

With no playoff urgency on either side, motivation matters. Cincinnati has more continuity on offense and more ways to create chunk plays, which makes them the safer side to control the game. Cleveland can hang around early, but the gap in offensive firepower is hard to ignore.

Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals Predictions

Spread: Bengals -7.5 (-108)
Cincinnati has the offensive edge and should be able to separate if they build a lead.

Total: Under 44.5 (-110)
Cleveland’s slow pace and limited scoring profile keep this total in check.

Moneyline: Bengals (-410)
Cincinnati has more paths to a clean win, even if the game turns sloppy late.

Bet: Bengals -7.5, Under 44.5, Bengals ML

Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings Odds

This game sits in a strange spot motivation-wise. The Green Bay Packers already locked up a playoff berth, and all signs point to them treating Week 18 as a tune-up rather than a must-win. That means backups and rotational players will get extended run, especially on offense, which lowers the ceiling but also adds volatility. When teams pull starters, execution tends to dip, pace slows, and game plans stay pretty conservative.

The Minnesota Vikings are in a similar boat with their postseason hopes long gone, but the incentives are different. This is a chance to close the year on a positive note at home after a low-scoring 23–10 win over the Detroit Lions. Minnesota leaned heavily on the ground game in that one and got by without asking much from the passing attack. That approach makes sense again here, especially against a Packers defense that may not be playing its full starting unit.

From a matchup standpoint, this profiles as a game where neither offense is eager to open things up. Green Bay’s backup-heavy lineup limits explosive plays, while Minnesota has shown a clear preference for leaning on the run when the stakes are low. Drives may be long and methodical, but points should be harder to come by, especially if both teams are content to avoid unnecessary risks.

The spread reflects Green Bay’s decision to sit key players more than Minnesota’s overall strength. While the Vikings deserve to be favored at home, laying close to a touchdown in a game with limited urgency on both sides always comes with risk. This feels less like a blowout setup and more like a slow, somewhat clunky finish to the regular season.

Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings Predictions

Spread: Vikings -6.5 (-105)
Minnesota should control the game flow, but the number feels a bit rich given the expected pace and lack of urgency.

Total: Under 36.5 (-110)
Both teams project to keep things simple, lean run-heavy, and shorten the game.

Moneyline: Vikings (-290)
Minnesota has the cleaner path to a win, even if the margin stays modest.

Bet: Under 36.5, Vikings ML, Packers +6.5

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons Odds

This NFC South contest has no playoff implications, but it is not short on storylines or betting angles. The New Orleans Saints enter Week 18 playing some of their best football of the season, coming off a road win over the Tennessee Titans where the offense finally looked balanced and confident. Tyler Shough pushed the ball downfield, Chris Olave was heavily involved, and the Saints controlled the game flow instead of chasing it.

That late-season surge has been driven by efficiency, not explosiveness. New Orleans has leaned into shorter throws, manageable third downs, and steady rushing production. That formula has kept games close and limited mistakes, which matters in a divisional matchup where familiarity usually keeps things tight. Even without postseason stakes, this Saints group has shown real pride down the stretch.

The Atlanta Falcons are in a similar spot motivation-wise, but their path here has looked very different. Atlanta is coming off a Monday night win over the Los Angeles Rams that leaned heavily on Bijan Robinson. The ground game did the heavy lifting, and the defense capitalized on mistakes to flip field position. That approach worked, but it also masked an offense that still struggles to create chunk plays through the air.

This matchup sets up as a classic divisional grinder. New Orleans wants to control tempo and limit possessions. Atlanta wants to run the ball and avoid putting too much on Kirk Cousins. With both teams essentially playing out the string, this feels more like a field position battle than a shootout, which makes points valuable and mistakes costly.

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons Predictions

Spread: Saints +3.5 (–112)
New Orleans has been the steadier team over the past month, and getting more than a field goal in a rivalry game is appealing. The Saints have enough defensive structure to keep this close even if Atlanta wins late.

Total: Under 43.5 (–105)
Both offenses prefer methodical drives, and neither team has much incentive to push pace. Divisional familiarity and run-heavy game plans point toward fewer explosive plays.

Moneyline: Saints +164
If New Orleans continues its recent form, an outright win is very much in play. This feels closer to a coin flip than the odds suggest.

Bet: Saints +3.5, Under 43.5, Saints ML

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills Odds

This AFC East finale has no playoff drama attached, but motivation still matters. The New York Jets come into Week 18 trying to salvage something positive after a brutal home loss to the New England Patriots. The offense struggled to move the ball consistently, protection broke down, and the passing game never found a rhythm. At this point, the Jets are playing for pride and tape, not results.

The biggest issue for New York is offensive continuity. Even when the run game shows life, the Jets struggle to sustain drives once they fall behind the sticks. That puts pressure on a defense that has already spent far too many snaps on the field this season. Against a disciplined opponent, that tends to snowball quickly.

The Buffalo Bills are in a very different position. Buffalo has already clinched a playoff spot, which puts the focus squarely on health and risk management. Josh Allen took some hits last week, and there is little reason for Buffalo to push starters deep into this game if it stays competitive. That usually leads to a conservative game plan built around the run, field position, and clock control.

This setup creates an interesting betting dynamic. Buffalo is clearly the better team, but motivation favors caution, not aggression. New York is limited offensively, but they should see extended snaps from players trying to prove they belong next season. That combination often leads to slower games and tighter margins than expected.

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills Predictions

Spread: Jets +7 (–105)
With Buffalo likely protecting key players, this number feels inflated. The Jets do not need to win, just hang around.

Total: Under 38.5 (–115)
A conservative Bills approach and a Jets offense that struggles to create explosive plays point toward a lower-scoring game.

Moneyline: Jets +270
This is purely a situational sprinkle. If Buffalo pulls starters early, New York has a path to an ugly win.

Bet: Jets +7, Under 38.5, Jets ML

Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots Odds

The New England Patriots have plenty to play for in this Week 18 matchup, with the No. 1 seed in the AFC still very much on the table. That urgency matters, especially at home, where New England has been ruthless in games that actually mean something. Even with the Miami Dolphins coming in hot, this sets up as a very different test than what Miami has seen the past few weeks.

Miami deserves credit for how it has finished the season. The Dolphins have won games, moved the ball, and shown life on offense with Quinn Ewers under center. Ewers has been efficient, decisive, and aggressive downfield, and the offense has leaned into a faster tempo that has helped mask some roster limitations. That said, this step up in competition is significant, especially against a Patriots defense that thrives on pressure and forcing mistakes.

The Patriots are coming off a dominant win over the New York Jets that showcased just how high their ceiling can be when everything clicks. Drake Maye carved up the Jets secondary, the offense stayed balanced, and the defense completely smothered New York from the opening drive. New England plays fast, finishes drives, and punishes teams that fall behind early. That formula has been consistent in big spots.

This matchup also puts Miami in a tough position defensively. The Dolphins have struggled against teams that can sustain long drives and win in the short passing game, which is exactly how New England likes to operate. If the Patriots jump out to an early lead, Miami will be forced to press, and that is where this spread starts to feel very reasonable.

New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins Predictions

Spread: Patriots -10.5 (-110)
New England has motivation, home field, and a clear edge on both lines of scrimmage. If the Patriots play with the same intensity they showed last week, this can get out of hand quickly.

Total: Over 45.5 (-112)
Miami’s offense has enough juice to contribute, and New England has been piling up points lately. This total feels reachable even if the Patriots do most of the scoring.

Moneyline: Patriots (-650)
Not much creativity needed here. New England has far more paths to win, especially with seeding on the line.

Bet: Patriots -10.5, Over 45.5, Patriots ML

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Denver Broncos Odds

This game sits in a very clear motivation gap. The Los Angeles Chargers have already clinched a playoff berth and are focused on getting to the Wild Card round healthy. With Justin Herbert set to sit so he can rest his fractured left hand, the Chargers’ offense takes a major step down and shifts into survival mode rather than attack mode.

Last week’s loss to the Houston Texans showed how thin the margin already was even with Herbert playing. Without him, the ceiling drops quickly. Expect a conservative approach built around shortening the game, avoiding mistakes, and getting out without injuries. That usually means fewer explosive plays and longer, grind-it-out drives if they can sustain anything at all.

The Denver Broncos are in the opposite spot. Denver is still trying to hold onto the No. 1 seed in the AFC and cannot afford to stumble at home. Sean Payton has no reason to pull back here, especially against a Chargers team that is openly prioritizing rest over results.

From a matchup standpoint, this lines up cleanly for Denver. The Broncos’ defense should control the game against a backup-led offense, while the offense only needs to be efficient rather than explosive to build separation. This feels less like a shootout setup and more like a steady, controlled win where Denver dictates pace from start to finish.

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Denver Broncos Predictions

Spread: Broncos -12.5 (-110)
Denver’s motivation edge is massive, and the Chargers’ offense without Justin Herbert is unlikely to keep pace for four quarters.

Total: Under 37.5 (-110)
Los Angeles should play slow and conservative, and Denver does not need to push tempo once it gets ahead.

Moneyline: Broncos (-850)
Denver has far more paths to win, especially with the Chargers treating this like a rest-and-reset game.

Bet: Broncos -12.5, Under 37.5, Broncos ML

Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles Odds

The Washington Commanders head into Week 18 with very little on the line, and it has shown in recent weeks. Injuries have piled up, the offense has lacked consistency, and the overall urgency just has not been there. Washington has struggled to protect the quarterback and has leaned heavily on short throws and conservative game plans to simply get through games.

The Philadelphia Eagles, on the other hand, still have some incentive to handle business. While the NFC East title is already locked up, playoff seeding is not fully settled, and this is a spot where Philadelphia should want a clean, controlled win at home. Their defense has carried them through much of the season, especially against teams that struggle to sustain long drives.

From a matchup perspective, this sets up well for Philadelphia. Washington has had issues moving the ball against disciplined defenses, and the Eagles do a strong job of limiting explosive plays. That forces the Commanders to string together long drives, something they have not done consistently all year.

This game also profiles as slower than the total might suggest. Philadelphia is comfortable leaning on the run and letting the defense dictate pace, while Washington is unlikely to take many chances. That combination points toward a game where points come in spurts rather than in bunches.

Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles Predictions

Spread: Eagles −7 (−108)
Philadelphia has the defensive edge and enough offense to separate if Washington struggles to finish drives.

Total: Under 41.5 (−115)
The pace should be controlled, with long possessions and limited explosive plays.

Moneyline: Eagles (−310)
Philadelphia has far more paths to a clean win at home.

Bet: Eagles −7, Under 41.5, Eagles ML

Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears Odds

The Detroit Lions were officially eliminated from playoff contention last week with their loss to the Minnesota Vikings, and this feels like a tough spot to bounce back. The offense has been uneven down the stretch, the protection has slipped, and the margin for error has disappeared. Detroit still has playmakers, but the urgency is no longer there in the same way.

The Chicago Bears, meanwhile, are in a very different mindset. They have already clinched a playoff spot, but seeding is still in play, and this is the type of game they cannot afford to sleepwalk through. Chicago has leaned on defense and ball control in recent weeks, and that approach plays well against a Detroit team that has struggled to stay clean in the trenches.

From a matchup standpoint, Chicago’s ability to control tempo stands out. The Bears are comfortable shortening the game, leaning on the run, and forcing opponents to earn everything underneath. That puts pressure on Detroit to be efficient on early downs, something they have not done consistently late in the season.

This also profiles as a game where Chicago is happy to win without fireworks. With Detroit out of the race and Chicago focused on playoff positioning, the Bears should be the more focused and disciplined side, especially in the second half.

Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears Predictions

Spread: Bears −3 (−105)
Chicago has the motivational edge and the defensive profile to control the game flow.

Total: Over 50.5 (−110)
Detroit can still contribute points, and Chicago’s offense has been more efficient at home.

Moneyline: Bears (−155)
Chicago has the cleaner path to a win with fewer mistakes.

Bet: Bears −3, Over 50.5, Bears ML

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders Odds

This game has real “burn the tape” energy. The Kansas City Chiefs are completely out of the playoff picture and down to a third-string quarterback after both Patrick Mahomes and Gardner Minshew went down. The result last week was a 13-point effort where the Chiefs barely cracked 60 passing yards and never threatened to stretch the field.

The Las Vegas Raiders somehow looked worse. The Raiders lost 34–10 to the Giants, turned the ball over twice through the air, and averaged just 3.2 yards per carry as a team. Geno Smith and Kenny Pickett combined for two interceptions, four sacks taken, and long stretches where the offense simply stalled out.

Neither team showed any interest or ability to play fast. Kansas City leaned almost exclusively on short throws and conservative rushing attempts, while Las Vegas struggled to sustain drives even with extra possessions. Explosive plays were basically nonexistent on both sides, and both teams were content to punt and reset.

This profiles as one of those ugly, slow Week 18 games where the goal is just to survive four quarters. Kansas City’s defense has at least held up in low-total games, while the Raiders’ offense has given very little reason to believe it can capitalize, even against backups.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders Predictions

Spread: Chiefs –5.5 (–110)
It’s uncomfortable, but Kansas City still has the more functional defense and a better chance to win field position battles.

Total: Under 36.5 (–110)
Neither offense showed any juice last week, and both teams are happy to shorten the game and get out of the season.

Moneyline: Chiefs (–245)
Low ceiling, low chaos favors the team less likely to completely implode.

Bet: Under 36.5, Chiefs –5.5, Chiefs ML

Arizona Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Rams Odds

The Arizona Cardinals are officially out of the playoff picture, and the last few weeks have looked exactly like a team counting the days until the offseason. Arizona managed just 14 points against Cincinnati, struggled to run the ball at all, and leaned heavily on short passing to move the chains. The offense can still produce yardage, but it lacks explosiveness and has very little margin for error once it falls behind.

The Los Angeles Rams, on the other hand, are locked into the postseason and have been clear about their approach. Even though this game does not move the needle much in the standings, Los Angeles plans to keep its starters on the field. That showed up last week, when the Rams pushed the pace offensively, generated chunk plays through the air, and consistently moved the ball despite a few self-inflicted mistakes.

From a matchup perspective, Arizona’s biggest issue is on defense. The Cardinals have struggled to get off the field, and they allow sustained drives that slowly drain clock and flip field position. That plays right into a Rams offense that is comfortable leaning on balance and letting drives develop rather than forcing quick strikes.

This also sets up as a game where Los Angeles does not need to get flashy. With Arizona eliminated and playing loose, the Rams can stay patient, limit risk, and let the talent gap show over four quarters. Even if Arizona hangs around early, the structure and discipline on Los Angeles’ side should tilt things in the second half.

Arizona Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Rams Predictions

Spread: Rams –7.5 (–105)
Los Angeles has the clearer edge on both sides of the ball and should pull away once Arizona runs out of answers.

Total: Under 46.5 (–110)
The Rams can control pace, and Arizona’s offense struggles to finish drives consistently.

Moneyline: Rams (–380)
Los Angeles is the more focused and complete team, even in a game with limited stakes.

Bet: Rams –7.5, Under 46.5, Rams ML

Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Odds

The stakes could not be higher here, with the AFC North title on the line and both teams coming off wildly different performances. Pittsburgh stumbled badly in a 13–6 loss to Cleveland, struggling to generate anything consistent on offense. Aaron Rodgers completed just 21 of 39 passes for 168 yards, and the Steelers failed to score a touchdown despite moving the ball on the ground. The lack of explosiveness continues to cap Pittsburgh’s ceiling, especially when they fall behind the sticks.

Baltimore, meanwhile, looked every bit like a division contender in a 41–24 win over Green Bay. Derrick Henry dominated the game script with 216 rushing yards and four touchdowns, allowing the Ravens to control tempo from start to finish. Even with Tyler Huntley under center, Baltimore leaned into its identity and overwhelmed Green Bay physically. The Ravens ran for over 300 yards as a team and never let the Packers settle into the game.

The quarterback situation is the swing factor. There is a real chance Lamar Jackson returns, but even if he does not, Baltimore has shown it can win with Huntley by simplifying the offense and leaning heavily on the run game. That approach plays well against a Steelers defense that just spent a week on the field and struggled to get off blocks. Pittsburgh’s margin for error shrinks quickly if Baltimore jumps out to an early lead.

From a matchup standpoint, this profiles as a grind-it-out divisional game where field position, clock control, and red-zone execution matter more than fireworks. Pittsburgh wants to shorten the game, but Baltimore is built to do the same while being far more efficient. With the Ravens’ rushing attack dictating terms and the Steelers still searching for offensive rhythm, Baltimore holds the clearer path to winning the division.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Predictions

Spread: Ravens -3.5 (-105)
Baltimore’s ability to control the line of scrimmage gives them the edge in a game that should stay tight early.

Total: Under 40.5 (-105)
Both teams prefer a slower pace, and divisional games like this rarely turn into shootouts.

Moneyline: Ravens (-192)
Baltimore has more ways to win, whether Lamar Jackson plays or Tyler Huntley starts.

Bet: Ravens -3.5, Under 40.5, Ravens ML

NFL Week 18 Best Bets

Here are our favorite NFL bets for Week 18:

• Baltimore Ravens -3.5 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (-105)
• Chicago Bears -3 vs. Detroit Lions (-105)
• Los Angeles Rams -7.5 vs. Arizona Cardinals (-105)

Baltimore draws the clearest path in a winner-take-all AFC North showdown. The Ravens have leaned into their identity late in the season, controlling games on the ground and dictating tempo. Even if Lamar Jackson is limited or unavailable, Baltimore’s run-heavy approach puts pressure on a Pittsburgh offense that has struggled to sustain drives. With the division title at stake, the Ravens’ physical edge makes this spread manageable.

Chicago is still playing for playoff positioning, while Detroit was officially eliminated last week. That difference matters in a divisional game where focus and discipline tend to decide outcomes. The Bears have leaned on defense and ball control down the stretch, limiting mistakes and forcing opponents to play from behind. Against a Lions team that has struggled to stay clean in the trenches, Chicago is set up to control the pace and pull away late.

Los Angeles continues to treat Week 18 seriously despite already clinching a Wild Card spot. Sean McVay has kept his starters on the field, and the Rams’ offense remains capable of separating quickly against weaker defenses. Arizona has had trouble generating stops and has shown little resistance once games tilt out of balance. With the Rams still sharpening for the postseason, this profiles as a focused performance rather than a letdown.

If you roll these three favorites into an NFL parlay, the combined odds should land in the +600 range, depending on where you shop. A $100 wager would return roughly $600. As always, compare prices across your sportsbook accounts and consider pairing these plays with your favorite College Football parlays for additional value.