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Michigan Wolverines

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Michigan football won every one of its nine games as the favorite in 2025 and covered only four. As the underdog the Wolverines went 0-3, against the spread too.

Winning without covering

Michigan finished the 2025 regular season 9-3 and 4-8 against the spread. Of the 136 FBS teams, only nine covered less often; 16 others matched the rate.

The Wolverines 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-30 v New Mexico Lobos 34-172025-09-06 at Oklahoma Sooners 13-242025-09-13 v Central Michigan Chippewas 63-32025-09-20 at Nebraska Cornhuskers 30-272025-10-04 v Wisconsin Badgers 24-102025-10-11 at USC Trojans 13-312025-10-18 v Washington Huskies 24-72025-10-25 at Michigan State Spartans 31-202025-11-01 v Purdue Boilermakers 21-162025-11-15 at Northwestern Wildcats 24-222025-11-22 at Maryland Terrapins 45-202025-11-29 v Ohio State Buckeyes 9-27Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
9-3 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The nine games as favorites were nine wins. Five of them fell short of the number: 34-17 over New Mexico at -34.5, 24-10 over Wisconsin at -17.5, 31-20 at Michigan State at -13.5, 21-16 over Purdue at -22.5 and 24-22 at Northwestern at -10.5. On the moneyline, eight of the nine were priced, and one unit on Michigan in each returned 2.07; 13 FBS programs did better laying the price.

One unit on the Wolverines to win, every game0-1+0.07 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 10 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Three times an underdog

The other three games were losses by 11 or more: 24-13 at Oklahoma at +3.5, 31-13 at USC at +2.5, and 27-9 to Ohio State at +10. No cover in any of them. No FBS side with underdog games had a lower cover rate getting points; two others also went without one.

The Wolverines at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (6)won 5 (83.3%)covered 2 of 6 (33.3%)Away (6)won 4 (66.7%)covered 2 of 6 (33.3%)Favorite (9)won 9 (100.0%)covered 4 of 9 (44.4%)Underdog (3)won 0 (0.0%)covered 0 of 3 (0.0%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Defense and the total

Michigan allowed 18.67 points a game; only 15 FBS teams allowed fewer, and one matched it. Michigan’s totals broke even, six overs and six unders. The season ended with a 41-27 loss to Texas in the Citrus Bowl.

Questions and answers

How did Michigan do as a favorite in 2025?

Nine wins in nine, four covers, and 2.07 moneyline units up over eight priced games.

Did Michigan cover as an underdog in 2025?

No: 0-3 straight up and 0-3 against the spread.

How often did Michigan cover in 2025?

Four times in 12, a rate nine FBS teams fell below.

Past games

  1. Michigan at Minnesota · 3 OctOur number has Minnesota winning by 3.
  2. Iowa at Michigan · 26 SepOur number has Michigan by 1.4.
  3. Miners at Michigan · 19 SepThe Michigan vs UTEP recap began with upset noise and ended as a blowout.
  4. Oklahoma at Michigan · 12 SepThe Oklahoma vs Michigan recap rewarded bettors who took the points and never needed them.

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