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Texas el Paso Miners

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The UTEP Miners went 3-9 against the spread in 2025, and just two FBS teams finished below that. They were underdogs eight times, lost all eight, and covered once.

Three covers

UTEP went 2-10. Against the spread it went 3-9, and four FBS teams finished at the same rate. Two covers came as favorites, 42-17 over UT Martin at -7.5 and 35-17 at Sam Houston at -3.5, the two wins. The third was a 10-27 loss at Texas with 40.5 points.

The Miners 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-30 at Utah State Aggies 16-282025-09-06 v UT Martin Skyhawks 42-172025-09-13 at Texas Longhorns 10-272025-09-20 v UL Monroe Warhawks 25-312025-09-27 v Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 11-302025-10-08 v Liberty Flames 8-192025-10-15 at Sam Houston Bearkats 35-172025-10-28 at Kennesaw State Owls 20-332025-11-08 v Jacksonville State Gamecocks 27-302025-11-15 at Missouri State Bears 24-382025-11-22 v New Mexico State Aggies 31-342025-11-29 at Delaware Blue Hens 31-61Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
2-10 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Underdog eight times, no wins

We would not read much into a short UTEP underdog line. Five of the eight underdog games were lined at 4.5 or less, and the Miners lost all five by more: 16-28 at Utah State, 11-30 to Louisiana Tech, 8-19 to Liberty, 27-30 to Jacksonville State and 31-61 at Delaware. One cover in eight underdog games put them fourth from the bottom among 131 FBS teams that took points at least once. The seven priced underdog games lost all seven units.

One unit on the Miners to win, every game0-8-6-4-2-8.01 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 11 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Home favorites that lost

The two losses as favorites were both at home and both close: 25-31 to UL Monroe at -215 and 31-34 to New Mexico State at -200. UTEP covered one of six at home. Backing UTEP in all 11 priced games lost 8.01 units; only five FBS teams lost more.

The Miners at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (6)won 1 (16.7%)covered 1 of 6 (16.7%)Away (6)won 1 (16.7%)covered 2 of 6 (33.3%)Favorite (4)won 2 (50.0%)covered 2 of 4 (50.0%)Underdog (8)won 0 (0.0%)covered 1 of 8 (12.5%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

November

UTEP lost its last four games, failed to cover any of them, and lost 4.0 units. The Miners’ games went over seven times, all four November games among them.

Questions and answers

How often did UTEP cover in 2025?

Three times, all in the first seven games. Two FBS teams did worse.

How did UTEP do as an underdog in 2025?

0-8 straight up and one cover, at Texas getting 40.5 points.

Was UTEP a good moneyline bet in 2025?

No: 8.01 units down over 11 priced games, with only five FBS teams worse.

Past games

  1. Miners at New Mexico · 3 OctOur number has New Mexico by 16.2.
  2. Oregon St at Miners · 26 SepOur number has UTEP winning by 6.1.
  3. Miners at Michigan · 19 SepThe Michigan vs UTEP recap began with upset noise and ended as a blowout.

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