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Utah State Aggies

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The Utah State Aggies went 6-6 in 2025 and covered the spread ten times in 12; only one FBS team covered more often. They covered all six home games, and six of seven as the underdog.

Covering without winning

The Aggies went 6-6 and 10-2 against the spread; one FBS team had a better cover rate, and one tied it. September and November both went 4-0 against the spread while going 2-2 straight up.

The Aggies 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-30 v UTEP Miners 28-162025-09-06 at Texas A&M Aggies 22-442025-09-13 v Air Force Falcons 49-302025-09-20 v McNeese Cowboys 48-72025-09-27 at Vanderbilt Commodores 35-552025-10-11 at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 26-442025-10-17 v San José State Spartans 30-252025-10-25 at New Mexico Lobos 14-332025-11-08 v Nevada Wolf Pack 51-142025-11-15 at UNLV Rebels 26-292025-11-22 at Fresno State Bulldogs 28-172025-11-28 v Boise State Broncos 24-25Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
6-6 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Underdogs who kept it close

We would take the points with this team before the price. As underdogs the Aggies covered six of seven but won only two: 49-30 over Air Force at +155 and 28-17 at Fresno State at +105. The covers in losses were 24-25 to Boise State with 1.5 points, 26-29 at UNLV with 4.5, 35-55 at Vanderbilt with 24.5 and 22-44 at Texas A&M with 34.5. The one underdog miss was 14-33 at New Mexico. The underdog moneyline lost 1.4 units over six priced games, and all 11 priced games together lost 0.91.

One unit on the Aggies to win, every game0+1+2-0.91 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 11 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Home and road

At home Utah State went 5-1 and covered all six, a perfect home mark three other FBS teams shared. On the home moneyline the Aggies returned 2.04 units over six priced games. On the road the Aggies went 1-5 and covered four of six; their road moneyline finished 2.95 units down over five priced games. The two road misses were 14-33 at New Mexico and 26-44 at Hawai’i, where they were favored by 1.5.

The Aggies at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (6)won 5 (83.3%)covered 6 of 6 (100.0%)Away (6)won 1 (16.7%)covered 4 of 6 (66.7%)Favorite (5)won 4 (80.0%)covered 4 of 5 (80.0%)Underdog (7)won 2 (28.6%)covered 6 of 7 (85.7%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Aggies games averaged 31.75 points for and 28.25 against, and seven of them finished under.

The season ended in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl, a 21-34 loss to Washington State.

Questions and answers

How many of their 12 games did the Aggies cover in 2025?

Ten in 12 regular-season games; one FBS team did better.

How did Utah State do at home against the spread in 2025?

It covered all six home games.

Did ten covers make the Aggies a moneyline winner?

No: 0.91 units down over 11 priced games. Four of the ten covers came in losses.

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