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Texas State Bobcats

College Football2 predictions

The Bobcats covered four of their 12 games in 2025, a rate only nine FBS teams fell below. Texas State scored 36.08 points a game and still lost six times, three of them by three points or fewer.

Short of the number

Texas State’s 6-6 season came with a 4-8 mark against the spread, a rate 16 other FBS teams matched. As a favorite it was 4-4 straight up and 2-6 against the number, and the eight moneyline bets lost 3.49 units; only four FBS teams lost more as favorites. Even the wins fell short: 35-3 over Nicholls at -32.5 and 31-14 over UL Monroe at -20.5 both missed.

The Bobcats 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-30 v Eastern Michigan Eagles 52-272025-09-06 at UTSA Roadrunners 43-362025-09-13 at Arizona State Sun Devils 15-342025-09-20 v Nicholls Colonels 35-32025-10-04 at Arkansas State Red Wolves 30-312025-10-11 v Troy Trojans 41-482025-10-18 at Marshall Thundering Herd 37-402025-10-28 v James Madison Dukes 20-522025-11-08 at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 39-422025-11-15 at Southern Miss Golden Eagles 41-142025-11-22 v UL Monroe Warhawks 31-142025-11-29 v South Alabama Jaguars 49-26Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
6-6 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

October

Four games, four losses, four misses, four units. 30-31 at Arkansas State at -14.5, 41-48 against Troy at -7.5, 37-40 at Marshall at -2.5, and 20-52 against James Madison at +7.5. A fifth straight loss followed on 8 November, 39-42 at Louisiana at -3.5.

One unit on the Bobcats to win, every game0-4-3-2-1+1-2.49 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 12 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

With the points

As an underdog the Bobcats went 2-2 both ways and made one unit: 43-36 at UTSA at +165 and 41-14 at Southern Miss at +135. The two underdog losses were at Arizona State, 15-34, and the James Madison game.

Points and the total

Only 14 FBS teams scored more than Texas State’s 36.08 a game, and it allowed 30.58. Texas State’s totals went over seven times in 12. Home and road were alike against the spread, two covers in six each.

The Bobcats at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (6)won 4 (66.7%)covered 2 of 6 (33.3%)Away (6)won 2 (33.3%)covered 2 of 6 (33.3%)Favorite (8)won 4 (50.0%)covered 2 of 8 (25.0%)Underdog (4)won 2 (50.0%)covered 2 of 4 (50.0%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The season ended with a 41-10 win over Rice in the Armed Forces Bowl.

Questions and answers

How often did Texas State cover in 2025?

Four times in 12, with eight misses.

How did Texas State do as a favorite in 2025?

4-4 straight up, two covers in eight, 3.49 moneyline units lost.

Do Texas State games go over the total?

In 2025, 7 of 12 went over.

Past games

  1. Texas St at San Diego St · 3 OctOur number has San Diego State by 10.8.
  2. Cardinals at Texas St · 26 SepNo bet.

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