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Navy Midshipmen

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The Midshipmen were favored eight times in the 2025 regular season, won all eight and covered only twice. Navy football finished 10-2 straight up and 4-8 against the spread, with eight of its 12 games going over the total.

Eight wins as favorites, two covers

Navy went 10-2 in the 2025 regular season and 4-8 against the spread, a 33.3% cover rate. Nine FBS sides out of 136 had a worse cover rate, and 16 shared Navy’s.

The Midshipmen 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-30 v VMI Keydets 52-72025-09-06 v UAB Blazers 38-242025-09-13 at Tulsa Golden Hurricane 42-232025-09-27 v Rice Owls 21-132025-10-04 v Air Force Falcons 34-312025-10-11 at Temple Owls 32-312025-10-25 v Florida Atlantic Owls 42-322025-11-01 at North Texas Mean Green 17-312025-11-08 at Notre Dame Fighting Irish 10-492025-11-15 v South Florida Bulls 41-382025-11-27 at Memphis Tigers 28-172025-12-13 v Army Black Knights 17-16Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
10-2 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

All eight games as favorites were wins, and six of them landed inside the number: 38-24 over UAB at -22.5, 21-13 over Rice at -14.5, 34-31 over Air Force at -13.5, 32-31 at Temple at -10.5, 42-32 over Florida Atlantic at -14.5 and 17-16 over Army at -6. October went 3-0 straight up and 0-3 against the line.

Getting points

Four games as underdogs: two wins, two covers. South Florida fell 41-38 with Navy at +280, a 2.8-unit return. Memphis lost 28-17 with Navy getting 4, a game with no moneyline posted. The two losses, 31-17 at North Texas and 49-10 at Notre Dame, both missed the spread.

The Midshipmen at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (6)won 6 (100.0%)covered 2 of 6 (33.3%)Away (5)won 3 (60.0%)covered 2 of 5 (40.0%)Favorite (8)won 8 (100.0%)covered 2 of 8 (25.0%)Underdog (4)won 2 (50.0%)covered 2 of 4 (50.0%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The moneyline

Ten games carried a posted price, and one unit on Navy in each returned 2.12 units. The five priced home games made 3.31; only 14 FBS teams did better at home. The four priced road games lost 1.58.

One unit on the Midshipmen to win, every game0-1+1+2+2.12 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 10 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The total

Eight of the 12 went over. Only eight FBS teams went over more often; eight others matched it. Navy scored 31.17 points a game and allowed 26.0.

The season closed with a 35-13 Liberty Bowl win over Cincinnati.

Questions and answers

What was Navy’s record against the spread?

4-8 across the 2025 regular season, with nine FBS teams below it.

How did Navy do as a favorite in 2025?

8-0 straight up, 2-6 against the spread.

Did Navy pay as an underdog?

Two wins in four games; the 41-38 win over South Florida at +280 returned 2.8 units.

Past games

  1. Navy at Air Force · 3 OctOur number has Navy winning by 1.2.
  2. Navy at UAB · 25 SepOur number has Navy by 2.6.

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