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NC State Wolfpack

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The Wolfpack split cleanly by venue in 2025: 6-1 and five covers at home, 1-4 and one cover on the road. One unit on NC State to win returned 3.45 at home and lost 3.64 away.

Two records in one

NC State finished 7-5 straight up and 6-6 against the spread, and the even line hides a wide gap. At home the Wolfpack went 6-1 with five covers; on the road, 1-4 with one, a road cover rate that only six FBS sides undercut (seven equalled it).

The Wolfpack at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (7)won 6 (85.7%)covered 5 of 7 (71.4%)Away (5)won 1 (20.0%)covered 1 of 5 (20.0%)Favorite (6)won 5 (83.3%)covered 4 of 6 (66.7%)Underdog (6)won 2 (33.3%)covered 2 of 6 (33.3%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The road cover was the road win, 34-24 at Wake Forest at -7.5. The four road losses all missed: 33-45 at Duke at +3.5, 7-36 at Notre Dame at +24.5, 34-53 at Pittsburgh at +5.5 and 7-41 at Miami at +16.5.

Home underdogs

Two home wins came at a price: 48-36 over Georgia Tech at +150 and 21-11 over Florida State at +210, 3.6 units between them. Those two are most of why only 13 FBS teams made more on the moneyline at home. Ten of the 12 games carried a price (Campbell and North Carolina did not), and the season figure across them was 0.19 units down.

One unit on the Wolfpack to win, every game0-2-1+1-0.19 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 10 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The home misses were both as big favorites: 24-17 over East Carolina at -13.5, and a 21-23 loss to Virginia Tech at -10.5.

Month and total

October cost two units, with losses at Notre Dame and Pittsburgh. November gave back 2.6: three wins in four games and three covers. Seven of 12 went over, and 22 FBS teams went over more often, so we see no lean in the total.

The Wolfpack 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-28 v East Carolina Pirates 24-172025-09-06 v Virginia Cavaliers 35-312025-09-11 at Wake Forest Demon Deacons 34-242025-09-20 at Duke Blue Devils 33-452025-09-27 v Virginia Tech Hokies 21-232025-10-04 v Campbell Fighting Camels 56-102025-10-11 at Notre Dame Fighting Irish 7-362025-10-25 at Pittsburgh Panthers 34-532025-11-01 v Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 48-362025-11-15 at Miami Hurricanes 7-412025-11-21 v Florida State Seminoles 21-112025-11-29 v North Carolina Tar Heels 42-19Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
7-5 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The Wolfpack beat Memphis 31-7 in the Gasparilla Bowl.

Questions and answers

What was NC State’s road cover record in 2025?

1-4, the lone cover the 34-24 win at Wake Forest.

Did NC State win as a home underdog in 2025?

Both times: Georgia Tech at +150, Florida State at +210.

Is NC State a cover team overall?

Not in 2025: 6-6 against the number, five of the covers at home.

Past games

  1. Louisville at NC State · 3 OctOur number has NC State by 5.8.

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